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Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

newyorker.com

241–250 of 312 posts

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you want to steal my vote, specifically, you can certainly do it. Better get there early though, I vote in the morning. To scale such an effort up to materially affect an election would be incredibly difficult to do, and easy to spot. > If that's really stopping people from voting, then there's something wrong with our DMVs, etc. The DMV sucks: this is news?

On the one hand, I can agree with you. I don't see someone managing to fake 1000s of votes by walking in without identification. That would require a lot of manpower, I imagine. On the other, I think you or I would still be pretty annoyed if someone had walked in and voted for us.

If that happened, you could still file a provisional ballot. If you succeed in proving your eligibility to cast a ballot (and that someone else improperly voted in your place), your provisional ballot will be counted.

This is one reason we know that in-person voter fraud is rare: because there are very few provisional ballots filed due to impersonation.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#242

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Golden quote: "Launching a startup in 2016 is akin to assembling an alt-rock band in 1996 or protesting the Vietnam War in 1971—an act of youthful rebellion gone conformist."

Anyone who was aware of startups before 2010 already knew this.

Lots of people weren't aware of startups before 2010. This article isn't aimed at you.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#243
There are great insights in this piece into how Sam thinks about AI and the future of YC.

But getting profiled in The New Yorker bears a risk, and the risk is that other media organizations try to tell the "down" story, because the down story is the only new thing to say after a subject is painted with such grandiose brush strokes.

Example: Marc Andreessen gets profiled in The New Yorker and a year later the WSJ publishes a hit piece on Andreessen Horowitz's returns. That's how journalists think: "what can I say that's different?" The whole industry plays a kind of ping pong, with one reporter telling an up story so the next can tell the opposite. It's a strange form of job security in an insecure profession. In a sense, you know you made it when they're publishing hit pieces about you.

A New Yorker profile is as good as it gets, and in a sense represents peak exposure, at least for someone in tech. (The Kardashians have other benchmarks...) It's doubly risky because at peak exposure, you get journalists who a) don't know much about tech because they don't specialize in it and therefore b) don't care if they get little things wrong, or subtly damage their source, in the telling of their story. They will move on to other profiles.

This comes out in small ways:

1) These sentences about Google and Facebook show that the reporter has misunderstood something fundamental about Google's history as it relates to the rest of the industry: "In the nineties, before the accelerator era, startups were usually launched by mid-career engineers or repeat entrepreneurs, who sought millions in venture capital and then labored in secret on something complicated that took years to launch. As the price of Web hosting plummeted and PCs and cell phones proliferated, college and grad-school dropouts like Mark Zuckerberg or Larry Page and Sergey Brin could suddenly conjure unicorns on their laptops." Google was building its own racks in the 1990s. And for that matter, Facebook didn't need an accelerator.

2) This passage will alienate most readers, because they simply can't relate to a world where a cushion like this somehow equates with a sacrifice: "Leery of tech’s culture of Golcondan wealth, in which a billion dollars is dismissed as “a buck,” he decided to rid himself of all but a comfortable cushion: his four-bedroom house in San Francisco’s Mission district, his cars, his Big Sur property, and a reserve of ten million dollars, whose annual interest would cover his living expenses. The rest would go to improving humanity."

3) And this will piss off the DOD: "He added, “A friend of mine says, ‘The thing that saves us from the Department of Defense is that, though they have a ton of money, they’re not very competent.’ "

Obviously there are positive passages in the profile, but a reporter like Tad Friend will report the negative passages with a straight face knowing that they will spark controversy, outrage or derision. He will tell a larger story of mad scientists and investors creating technology beyond their ken that spells doom for humanity. He will let his subjects hang themselves, subtly, because he can afford to do that kind of damage and pretend he had no part in it. Drop some little bombs, move on.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#244
post #149

I continue to be impressed by the quality of The New Yorker's reporting. This is so far above and beyond most media coverage about Altman and YC.

My impression: It is 46 pages printed. I opened the link, read three paragraphs, and still not a word about the Manifest Destiny mentioned in the title. Closed it. Way too long. Way too much story telling.

Is this your first time reading the New Yorker?

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#245
post #152
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The city of Paris used to have a gay mayor and a gay man is the CEO of one of the biggest companies in the world, so I'd say bigotry is largely disrupted already.

Actually, homophobia is on the rise worldwide. The apparently approved YC company attitude of utter naïveté about social reality anywhere other than your own back yard (consider the negative impacts of airbnb, for example) is distressing. As I read it, the New Yorker piece makes it abundantly clear that YC is unfit to be leading the changes it thinks are appropriate, "creating the future" etc. What's the size of the…

> Actually, homophobia is on the rise worldwide.

That seems incredibly unlikely. I suspect the opposite is true. Do you have data?

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#247
post #152
post #63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The city of Paris used to have a gay mayor and a gay man is the CEO of one of the biggest companies in the world, so I'd say bigotry is largely disrupted already.

Actually, homophobia is on the rise worldwide. The apparently approved YC company attitude of utter naïveté about social reality anywhere other than your own back yard (consider the negative impacts of airbnb, for example) is distressing. As I read it, the New Yorker piece makes it abundantly clear that YC is unfit to be leading the changes it thinks are appropriate, "creating the future" etc. What's the size of the…

> Actually, homophobia is on the rise worldwide.

Is it? Or is it just more vocal since the progress of the LGBTQ rights movement globally makes homophobia no longer the silent norm of society?

Its often easy to mistake a movement as being stronger when its really just got its hackles up because its wounded and backed into a corner.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#248

I found the most interesting point in the whole article the publicly stated consideration of establishing a China presence. It would appear to make a lot of sense given current capital availability in China, world-leading mobile payment penetration, and US/SF issues with visas, overheads, component sourcing. Get over here!

How is China with 'innovation' though? The portrait we seem to get so often in the West is that China excels at imitation and fails at original thinking. Maybe innovation isn't needed for domestic success, but it is for creating things that penetrate the rest of the world (and, these days, dare I say universe?).

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#249

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not impossible? In today's world finding your full name and address is incredibly easy. Yes, finding which precinct you vote in isn't as easy, but I don't understand why the system is such that having a government issued I.D. is so difficult to obtain. If that's really stopping people from voting, then there's something wrong with our DMVs, etc.

> If that's really stopping people from voting, then there's something wrong with our DMVs, etc. Sure. But sometimes, it seems like the "something wrong with our DMVs" isn't a separate problem, but a fairly deliberate effort to exploit the danger directly created by adding the functioning of the DMV as a dependency in the electoral process. [0] [0] e.g., http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/alabama-dmv-closings-draw-call-fe...

We need to hold our state legislators accountable for doing their job. They know how hard it is for some citizens to get the mandated IDs, and if they don't, they should.

Re: Sam Altman’s Manifest Destiny

#250

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Giving people government IDs is not a trivial problem to solve. Its costs a lot and is hard, while allowing anyone to vote really increases voter turn out (and generally the rates of this type of fraud are very low)

Well, I don't think the fact that it's difficult to do implies we should just give up on it.

I agree, the task of providing gov IDs to every American although difficult is a good idea. So once everyone has an ID, then lets enforce the stricter rules. I think that is a fair compromise. But placing the onus on the voter isn't fair, because so many people simply don't have the time, resources, or ambition to get a new ID. When was the last time you went to the DMV just to upload your civic duty of voting? You have an ID because it affords you other luxuries - luxuries that many people (e.g. the poor, the disabled) don't have.
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