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Ten predictions (2004)

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Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#71

Post by abrahamsen »

friendly_chap wrote: post #44
seanmcdirmid wrote: post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Thank god we dodged that bullet. I'm just glad people see XML for what it really is (useful, but not that useful). > Not really. We are already in the multicore age, and it will only get moreticore. The problem is multi-threaded has never really took off, even with all the cores we have today. There is still no silverbullet to harnessing parallelism. > Apple's lap…

> useful, but not that useful + 1 > Apple's profits With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US. Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs.

> With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US.

More than half of our students (agriculture/environment at University of Copenhagen) have Macs, the fraction being higher in the earlier classes.

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#72

Post by bazzargh »

[deleted] wrote: post #59
jonaldomo wrote: post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

_that_ profitable??? The company I work for pays $250 a year for Github Enterprise per developer for about 400 developers... That is just one company. 100k/year! They are thinking about extending it to all 2,000 developers. A few months ago they raised $100 million!

[deleted]

Source? According to Scott Chacon himself, it was profitable even back in 2010.

http://techcrunch.com/2010/07/24/github-one-million/

Or this: http://www.linuxuser.co.uk/news/github-gets-100-million-inve...

Announcing the investment on the GitHub blog, CEO Tom Preston-Warner admitted it wasn’t that they necessarily needed it: “Our company has been profitable for years, is growing fast, and doesn’t need money. So why bother? Because we want to be better. We want to build the best products.”

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#73

Post by friendly_chap »

stewbrew wrote: post #64
friendly_chap wrote: post #49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Predicting that a language without a type system is the future is pretty dumb in itself. I give y'all an other one: "cars without brakes are the future".

I simply assume that with "type system" you mean "statically typed language" since lisp is strongly typed, which implies having a "type system": bigloo & typed racket demonstrated that static typing & lisp/scheme aren't incompatible. That prediction was rather unlikely to come true, anyway.

It is entirely unscientific, but let me approach this problem from a practical ($$$) angle:

A type system is something what effortlessly reveals programming errors before my customers do.

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#74

Post by tbassetto »

friendly_chap wrote: post #62
MrScruff wrote: post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US. Indeed. And where I am (also outside the US) I have a hard time seeing non-Apple laptops. Anecdotal evidence isn't really that useful when we're talking about global trends. Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs. Making statements like this cause you come across as overly emotionally invested in your platform, an…

> Emotional investemented No. I happen to use anything. I am not against Apple, I am against the Apple fanboyism. And any type of fanboyism. > Anecdotal evidence http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_operating_system... "For example, most desktop and laptop computers use Microsoft Windows"

> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_operating_system... > "For example, most desktop and laptop computers use Microsoft Windows"

Apples and oranges (no pun intended). We were talking about unit sales, not market share.

Turns out that Apple's laptop sales do not exceed those of HP/Compaq, IBM, Dell and Gateway combined but Apple's iPad sales was already doing it one year ago: http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9223707/iPad_sales_be... and from profit POV I bet it is the same.

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#75

Post by friendly_chap »

kristiandupont wrote: post #63
friendly_chap wrote: post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> useful, but not that useful + 1 > Apple's profits With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US. Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs.

"Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs." Language like this seeds religious discussions. Please avoid it.

You are right, point taken.

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#76

Post by jmspring »

friendly_chap wrote: post #44
seanmcdirmid wrote: post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Thank god we dodged that bullet. I'm just glad people see XML for what it really is (useful, but not that useful). > Not really. We are already in the multicore age, and it will only get moreticore. The problem is multi-threaded has never really took off, even with all the cores we have today. There is still no silverbullet to harnessing parallelism. > Apple's lap…

> useful, but not that useful + 1 > Apple's profits With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US. Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs.

Recent trips (last 6-8 months) - Sydney, London, Germany/Continental Europe - I saw Macs all over. Were they the most numerous? Not really, but they were quite visible.

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#77

Post by qompiler »

10. In five years' time, most programmers will still be average.

Most programmers are average, that's the definition of average. It's like saying in five years most people will still be average.

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#78

Post by ganarajpr »

rdrey wrote: post #22
S4M wrote: post #10

Earlier quoted context omitted.

When reading the article, I had the feeling that prediction #6 was actually FaceBook.

or Reddit.

I think its twitter more than facebook.. Facebook is oriented towards connecting friends.. while twitter is oriented towards people with similiar interests..

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#79

Post by mkr-hn »

benihana wrote: post #40
hittaruki wrote: post #14

Status of these predictions in 2013... 1. XML databases will surpass relational databases in popularity by 2011. What has happened to this idea? 2. Someone will make a lot of money by hosting open-source web applications. github? 3. Multi-threaded programming will fall out of favor by 2012. go? node? 4. Java's "market share" on the JVM will drop below 50% by 2010. clojure? scala? 5. Lisp will be in the top 10 most po…

> 9. Apple's laptop sales will exceed those of HP/Compaq, IBM, Dell and Gateway combined by 2010. Hm... If you count tablets as laptops, then yes, way way way yes.

Why would you do that?

Re: Ten predictions (2004)

#80

Post by yalogin »

friendly_chap wrote: post #44
seanmcdirmid wrote: post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Thank god we dodged that bullet. I'm just glad people see XML for what it really is (useful, but not that useful). > Not really. We are already in the multicore age, and it will only get moreticore. The problem is multi-threaded has never really took off, even with all the cores we have today. There is still no silverbullet to harnessing parallelism. > Apple's lap…

> useful, but not that useful + 1 > Apple's profits With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US. Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs.

That is an unusual extrapolation. So people outside the US buy Apple laptops because they are fanboys? I understand you have complaints/grievances against Apple but this is not r/technology.
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