Lol, I remember reading this :)
Ten predictions (2004)
51–60 of 324 posts
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#521. XML databases will surpass relational databases in popularity by 2011. We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Close enough though. 2. Someone will make a lot of money by hosting open-source web applications. Github is cool but with all the cheapskate web devs (no offense, I am one of them) I don't think it is _that_ profitable. 3. Multi-threaded programming will fall out of favor by 2012. Not really.…
> Lisp will be in the top 10 most popular programming languages by 2010. This failed hard.
On contrary, for me this one was one of the strongest predictions. In my opinion, predictions should be taken in spirit and not by letter. Looking at the rise of Clojure, i dare say that was a great foresight.
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#53Any reason for it not beeing in the web archive?
http://web.archive.org/web/*/https://sites.google.com/site/s...
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#541. XML databases will surpass relational databases in popularity by 2011. We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Close enough though. 2. Someone will make a lot of money by hosting open-source web applications. Github is cool but with all the cheapskate web devs (no offense, I am one of them) I don't think it is _that_ profitable. 3. Multi-threaded programming will fall out of favor by 2012. Not really.…
"6. A new internet community-hangout will appear. One that you and I will frequent. This is such a vague prediction does not even worth mentioning." This is one he nailed - Facebook.
You could repeat the same prediction every year, and you'd probably be right everytime.
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#55Anyone willing to write 10 predictions for 2020?
1) in 2020 most programmers will still be average
2) in 2020 browsers will support a multitude of programming languages natively, most of them functional
3) in 2020 linkedin will be dead
4) in 2020 there will be a huge governmental campaign to teach kids programming, starting in pre-school
5) in 2020 there will be an SVG that is to SVG what HTML5 was to XHTML
6) in 2020 TV will still be mostly watched in 2D
7) in 2020 Steve Ballmer won't be CEO of SonyMicro any longer
8) in 2020 we will finally have an CSS alternative
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#561. XML databases will surpass relational databases in popularity by 2011. We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Close enough though. 2. Someone will make a lot of money by hosting open-source web applications. Github is cool but with all the cheapskate web devs (no offense, I am one of them) I don't think it is _that_ profitable. 3. Multi-threaded programming will fall out of favor by 2012. Not really.…
_that_ profitable???
The company I work for pays $250 a year for Github Enterprise per developer for about 400 developers... That is just one company. 100k/year! They are thinking about extending it to all 2,000 developers.
A few months ago they raised $100 million!
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#57Earlier quoted context omitted.
> We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Thank god we dodged that bullet. I'm just glad people see XML for what it really is (useful, but not that useful). > Not really. We are already in the multicore age, and it will only get moreticore. The problem is multi-threaded has never really took off, even with all the cores we have today. There is still no silverbullet to harnessing parallelism. > Apple's lap…
> useful, but not that useful + 1 > Apple's profits With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US. Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs.
With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US.
Indeed. And where I am (also outside the US) I have a hard time seeing non-Apple laptops. Anecdotal evidence isn't really that useful when we're talking about global trends.
Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs.
Making statements like this cause you come across as overly emotionally invested in your platform, and make others less likely to take your arguments seriously.
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#58Earlier quoted context omitted.
> We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Thank god we dodged that bullet. I'm just glad people see XML for what it really is (useful, but not that useful). > Not really. We are already in the multicore age, and it will only get moreticore. The problem is multi-threaded has never really took off, even with all the cores we have today. There is still no silverbullet to harnessing parallelism. > Apple's lap…
> useful, but not that useful + 1 > Apple's profits With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US. Not counting some fanboys who acquired the taste trough some snob blogs.
> With all respect, I have hard time seeing Apple laptops outside the US.
Maybe Africa? I live in China and I see a lot of them here; China is Apple's second largest market now.
The fanboy argument is funny to no end. I mean, I still can't find a freaking non-Apple laptop that isn't a huge piece of crap. Maybe the X1 will change my mind, but they are on hold right now due to faulty touch screens.
I'm scared to death that only Apple is willing to produce non-crappy laptops these days, that the other PC vendors have given up and are content putting out cheap crap (and expensive crap for the enterprise). Depressing.
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#591. XML databases will surpass relational databases in popularity by 2011. We got NoSQL (esp. JSON based ones) instead of XML. Close enough though. 2. Someone will make a lot of money by hosting open-source web applications. Github is cool but with all the cheapskate web devs (no offense, I am one of them) I don't think it is _that_ profitable. 3. Multi-threaded programming will fall out of favor by 2012. Not really.…
_that_ profitable??? The company I work for pays $250 a year for Github Enterprise per developer for about 400 developers... That is just one company. 100k/year! They are thinking about extending it to all 2,000 developers. A few months ago they raised $100 million!
[deleted]
Re: Ten predictions (2004)
#60Earlier quoted context omitted.
"6. A new internet community-hangout will appear. One that you and I will frequent. This is such a vague prediction does not even worth mentioning." This is one he nailed - Facebook.
You could repeat the same prediction every year, and you'd probably be right everytime.
Nah, mainstream social networks are new.