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Google employee charged with $1M Polymarket insider trading bet on search term

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Re: Google employee charged with $1M Polymarket insider trading bet on search term

#71
post #68

I was curious how a man in Switzerland gets charged in the US for a placing bets on a site that doesn't allow the US to participate. The short answer seems to be that he stole private information from a US company and used that information to enrich himself. And then got that charge enhanced with things like wire fraud and transacting on systems involving US currency. And another commentor suggests that punishing ins…

US charged and arrested a man in Venezuela so...

Don’t think they will mobilize 40 elite soldiers to invade Switzerland airspace just because of a small sum of a million dollars

Re: Google employee charged with $1M Polymarket insider trading bet on search term

#74
post #45
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, but let’s consider the bet the accused took: who is the most searched person in 2025. What benefit is there in knowing this ahead of time? Who is making decisions based on this?

If you run a records company I assume this might be worth some money

It's not always enough to know what - the why is often important.

For example, d4vd is a famous musician, and search stats may indicate his potential popularity and future record sales.

Or the public may be searching his name to find out more about the body found in his car, and the subsequent murder investigation and arrest.

Re: Google employee charged with $1M Polymarket insider trading bet on search term

#75

I was curious how a man in Switzerland gets charged in the US for a placing bets on a site that doesn't allow the US to participate. The short answer seems to be that he stole private information from a US company and used that information to enrich himself. And then got that charge enhanced with things like wire fraud and transacting on systems involving US currency. And another commentor suggests that punishing ins…

He was arrested in New York, so he was in the US

Re: Google employee charged with $1M Polymarket insider trading bet on search term

#77
post #5

Of course he should be punished but the best lesson here is for bettors. Those who wager on "prediction markets": you are betting against people who have access to more information or can influence the outcome of the wager. Don't waste your money.

That's sort of the point of prediction markets: they surface insider information by allowing people to profit off of it. The benefit is to people watching the prices , who can then use that information to make better decisions ahead of the answer being revealed to the public. It's not necessarily to market participants, who need to be aware of who else is trading the market and have a credible reason to believe they…

Nice try to make crimes sound legal.

Re: Google employee charged with $1M Polymarket insider trading bet on search term

#78
post #5

Of course he should be punished but the best lesson here is for bettors. Those who wager on "prediction markets": you are betting against people who have access to more information or can influence the outcome of the wager. Don't waste your money.

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