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Google Buzz is brilliant, Facebook just lost half its value

calacanis.com

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Re: Google Buzz is brilliant, Facebook just lost half its value

#51

Why the hell does anyone still read anything that this guy writes. More often than not he's full of shit. Why risk your time trying to figure out which is the case for any single piece of his writing.

It spurs interesting debate when someone puts a strong stake in the ground. I mean, look at this thread :)

He's just following the formula for getting attention. 1. Watch for some news trend 2. Write an inflammatory post 3. Get more followers on Twitter

Re: Google Buzz is brilliant, Facebook just lost half its value

#52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Judging from my group of friends, most people who use Facebook do not use Gmail. I'm not sure how well this transfers to the rest of the world, but for almost all of my Facebook friends, none of them will hear of Buzz through Gmail.

Locking it to the gmail account is a bad idea. It might make business sense for Google but for becoming a Facebook or Twitter killer, it is not with that limitation.

I doubt it will stay that way. They'll probably release an API and let people build apps for it.

Re: Google Buzz is brilliant, Facebook just lost half its value

#54
post #2

It's the users. Facebook's value isn't going to vary any unless there is some migration from Facebook to Buzz. What exactly does Buzz offer that Facebook doesn't? What kind of recognition will it have? This is all very interesting, but it's _far_ too early for this kind of hyperbole.

Facebook's value isn't going to vary any unless there is some migration from Facebook to Buzz. It has been done before. Do you remember Prodigy? CompuServe? AOL? MySpace? For that matter, how often do you use the search engines Excite, Lycos, AltaVista, or whatever Microsoft's search engine was before Bing? Users go where the user experience is pleasant. Advertisers look for click-throughs, and try to estimate eyebal…

"It has been done before. Do you remember Prodigy? CompuServe? AOL? MySpace?"

Yeah. Or Friendster. Of course it could happen, but my point is that it is too early to tell what impact Buzz will have.

"Google has a fair chance of beating Facebook with Buzz"

Agreed. But that time is not now and the hyperbole is unwarranted. As you say, steady gains are a possible -- and most likely -- way for Buzz to unseat Facebook.

Re: Google Buzz is brilliant, Facebook just lost half its value

#55
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Locking it to the gmail account is a bad idea. It might make business sense for Google but for becoming a Facebook or Twitter killer, it is not with that limitation.

I doubt it will stay that way. They'll probably release an API and let people build apps for it.

They have done so already. There is sample code.

I presume they'll have a standalone Buzz application at the 2.0 or something similar. That will let an established gmail-only social graph generate lots of activity and use, seeming enticing to yahoo and hotmail (and all third-party email account providers) users that can now join/be invited in on the social-web-2.0-sharing fun.

Re: Google Buzz is brilliant, Facebook just lost half its value

#56
post #2

It's the users. Facebook's value isn't going to vary any unless there is some migration from Facebook to Buzz. What exactly does Buzz offer that Facebook doesn't? What kind of recognition will it have? This is all very interesting, but it's _far_ too early for this kind of hyperbole.

I am trying to migrate from Facebook to Buzz. From the look of things it suits me better. I never enjoyed Facebook that much as it seems there is a race to get the most friends and I find all the photo sharing a little disturbing.

Re: Google Buzz is brilliant, Facebook just lost half its value

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Look at the sick amount on activity on this thread.... and this is day one of Buzz. http://bit.ly/daBl66 100+ people like it. ~200 comments from quality people. This is game over for Facebook for everyone who doesn't play Farmville. I've never seen pickup like that, and that is with just 2,000 followers. I have 25k followers on my fanpage on Facebook and 5k on my normal facebook page. in fact, i've never seen pickup…

Look at the sick amount on activity on this thread.... and this is day one of Buzz. Right. The day when every bored geek in the valley gives it a spin. Mark my words, a year from today Facebook will be in no weaker position than it is today, and Buzz may or may not be relevant, but it certainly won't be dwarfing Facebook—not by a long shot. If you disagree name your metrics, and I'll do a writeup a year from today an…

you're comparing me to scoble?!?!?! i think i'm going to go jump off a bridge.
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