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TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

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Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#491

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> Anyone who has gone to grad school can see pretty plainly that the top schools are stuffed with Chinese and Indian nationals. They're capable and they work hard. People in grad school tend to be hard working and smart, that’s how they got there. Hypothesis: foreign nationals have to be even smarter and harder-working to secure places in US universities, hence the stereotype.

It wasn't my experience that they were harder working or more capable than the domestic talent. Because of the immigration benefits, some had additional motivations native-born Americans didn't have, but there are easier ways to immigrate. There were some differences culturally in how certain things were approached, but I thought capability wise there was not an obvious and significant disparity in terms of capabilit…

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Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#492

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Essential for you. But overall tsmc eclipses everything else Taiwan makes. If Taiwan stopped making those tools you would be impacted. The world overall... not so much.

> Essential for you. But overall tsmc eclipses everything else Taiwan makes. TSMC’s revenue is less than a tenth of Taiwan’s total export revenue. They might be the most profitable of Taiwan’s companies, but Taiwan has a huge economy. And it terms of impact on the world economy, Hon Hai precision, better known in the west as Foxconn, would like to say hi.

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Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#493

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No. My posts suggest none of that. I am simply stating the truth. It is from the perspective of a tsmc shareholder not a patriotic American who wants to beat china for no other reason then being the best. As a tsmc shareholder one part of your post is correct. US workers are unfortunately lazier and slower and more expensive. Not necessarily stupider. You characterized this part of my position partially correctly. As…

> US workers are unfortunately lazier and slower and more expensive Wow. At least you aren't hiding your nationalistic bias.

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Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#494

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Think about that for a second: why would they want to be relocated? And when is the last time you can remember someone deciding "let's relocate these other people that I'm not part of" and that being okay? I mean, one of these relocations is literally called "march of tears".

35 million or so Latin Americans have relocated themselves to the US, even piled into dark crowded trucks and given up their life savings to dangerous coyotes, to do so. I would imagine the the specter of Communist China knocking on your door and breathing down your neck would be a motivator for many Taiwanese. And there would be a great opportunity for the US to welcome them with open arms as allies

They aren't currently living that life so not that many people would want to leave, and leading an exodus of a couple percentage of their population would only hurt their position even more. Most people just rarely ever want to leave their homes until after a disaster has been realized. There is risks anywhere you live, they know their fight, and they are currently making a decent life. Rolling the dice somewhere else just wouldn't be that attractive of a position when it could easily be an immediately worse situation.

Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#495

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does "one generation before current" count as "long tail", though? The chip shortage in products like cars has been for much simpler chips, AFAIK. The article says Apple, AMD, and Nvidia are looking to source from the new plant. Aren't they canonical examples of companies that are always looking for the latest and greatest? Why would they be interested in an prev-gen chip?

Many companies (including NVidia and AMD) are adopting chiplet designs for which different parts of the chip can be manufactured on different process nodes. The most performance critical aspects of chips will be manufactured on 3 nm nodes, but most of the chip will be manufactured on 4-10 nm nodes. It's too expensive (in cost/wafer) to use 3 nm for everything.

It’s not just cost: a lot of elements have effectively hit serious diminishing returns below 7nm.

Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#496

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Think about that for a second: why would they want to be relocated? And when is the last time you can remember someone deciding "let's relocate these other people that I'm not part of" and that being okay? I mean, one of these relocations is literally called "march of tears".

35 million or so Latin Americans have relocated themselves to the US, even piled into dark crowded trucks and given up their life savings to dangerous coyotes, to do so. I would imagine the the specter of Communist China knocking on your door and breathing down your neck would be a motivator for many Taiwanese. And there would be a great opportunity for the US to welcome them with open arms as allies

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Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#497

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Things change. As of right now the US can't compete. In the past the US could compete, but that doesn't speak to the status quo. In the future the US may change but this is unknown. It may very well be the US will never recover. This is a realistic possibility. Either way the status quo is that the US is currently inferior to Asia in terms of semiconductors.

IBM and Intel are competitive with TSMC and Samsung when it comes to ability to cram transistors onto wafers. This idea that only Taiwan/TSMC knows how to fab is light years from reality.

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Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#498

Great news for the US. Great news for Apple, AMD, and Nvidia. Not so good news for Taiwan. The fact that the whole tech world is dependent on chips produced in Hsinchu is a huge advantage for the safety of Taiwan. Moving the fabs and talent further away from the island will not benefit the people of Taiwan at all. TSMC with its global influence has been a huge factor for guaranteeing safety of the island and peace in…

Chip manufacturing is both the reason everyone is protecting them and also why China wants them so bad.

The reason China want Taiwan is because it poses an existential threat to the CCP, same story with Hong Kong, Taiwan has the same cultural roots as mainland China, yet they pursued democracy and free markets, despite not having access to the abundant natural resources of the mainland, its GDP per capita is roughly double that of the mainland, and its citizens enjoy a more free society.

What greater example is there of the abject failure of Chinas communist rule?

Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#499

Earlier quoted context omitted.

35 million or so Latin Americans have relocated themselves to the US, even piled into dark crowded trucks and given up their life savings to dangerous coyotes, to do so. I would imagine the the specter of Communist China knocking on your door and breathing down your neck would be a motivator for many Taiwanese. And there would be a great opportunity for the US to welcome them with open arms as allies

You're assuming the population of Taiwan views itself in the same position vis a vis CCP as the government of Taiwan does, which is not a historically probable claim, for all that the situation is quite complex.

Taiwan is a legitimate and robust representative democracy and can quite simply vote itself right into joining with the mainland. The fact that it’s not doing just that tells us that there isn’t a basis to claim that the wishes of populace are not taken into an account by the government.

(And they have in fact just voted in a more pro-China government, so the comment may have a short shelf life).

And not speaking to you directly, but contributing to the general discussion - US opposes China taking over Taiwan using force specifically. If Taiwan were to willingly join with China, one can imagine some conspiracy scenarios, but setting conspiracies aside, there isn’t anything anyone can and will do to prevent it.

Re: TSMC to make 4nm chips in Arizona for Apple, AMD, Nvidia

#500

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I doubt the parent has access to American war plans, but it's reasonable to guess that the US would prefer for China not to have intact TSMC plants because it provides enormous leverage. It's the same as blowing up Nordstream II. This is standard war stuff, and if the US is at war with China, heavy sanctions, etc, we wouldn't be able to buy the chips anyway. Why not drop a cruise missile on it? Personally I hope such…

> e.g., only after certain guarantees of autonomy are made and the Taiwanese opt for the 'easy route' Is that really so plausible after what happened in Hong Kong?

It may end up being a question of choosing to be Hong Kong or choosing to be Ukraine.

China doesn't want this to be like the Ukraine conflict either. I don't know if and how guarantees of some autonomy can be made that carry some significant degree of trust, but it's the least bad solution for all parties to make that happen.

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