Earlier quoted context omitted.
> there is some significant probability that we may ultimately determine this to be the case I still don't see proof of that. > But probabilities matter when you are deploying policies like mandating kids take this drug to go to college. Again, this study doesn't involve "kids".
You already implies you agree with my claim about it not being unreasonable when you said “as well.” I guess you retract that? And again: this study is just one of many studies that have lead to my prior. The rate of myocarditis is well established, the population size is well established, the open question is the fatality rate. The unreasonable part comes from putting a lower bound on the death rate based on some as…
Yes, I was trying to show polite respect for your point and not actually endorse it, but to be clear, I don't believe there is enough evidence to assume that tens of thousands of young people died, especially not with this article, and especially when you consider that the acknowledged gap in your knowledge is the fatality rate.