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Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

sciencebasedmedicine.org

191–200 of 232 posts

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#191

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I listed an example about the rotavirus in my subsequent comments, but here's another one mentioned by Patrick_devine in the comments: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/story/2012/09... This illustrates that the precautionary principle[1] might sometimes be forgotten or be put on the background. [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Precautionary_principle

That's a random fact, but not evidence in support of your thesis, which is that the currently accepted set of vaccines should be evaluated for their costs and benefits by individuals. The evidence that individuals are better equipped and are less biased than the current scientific establishment to evaluate the costs and benefits of a particular vaccine is the evidence I'm looking for. The evidence that vaccine X was…

You ask for facts, I give an example of what I mean but then you reject it as random and needing evidence of a thesis I never formulated....

As for your second paragraph, the scientific establishment can be very wrong. Example: 20 years ago the scientific establishment rejected the idea of exoplanets. Today, there are hundreds catalogued. Although I had no facts to support my view, the consensus felt just wrong to me. I just think there might other be cases where the scientific consensus just feels wrong, a good reason to keep a critical mind!

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#192

I love this argument, "reality doesn't care". I often have semi-arguments with family members when they tell me that they "believe" that X is true or Y is false when it comes to medical or scientific stuff. Then I tediously argue that science is not a matter of beliefs but facts, but that doesn't really hit home because some random guy on a random website wrote something they wanted to hear. I thought about forwardin…

> science is not a matter of beliefs but facts

Is it? There is a lot of shoddy science that is done, and a lot of things that were accepted as scientific fact only to be overturned. Just because something is accepted by the medical community (for example) doesn't mean that it's necessarily a fact.

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#193

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The sad thing is, one of the worst pandemics in human history is fairly recent: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1918_flu_pandemic There are (a few) people alive today who remember it. It killed between 1.5 and 3 times as many people as the earlier WWI - but isn't as sexy as war, so hardly anyone studies it (relatively speaking)

Killing about 5% of the entire population of the world about 100 million people, just imagine now with seven billion if a flu outbreak killed 350 million people. Even people on remote islands in the middle of oceans died from the flu.

> Even people on remote islands in the middle of oceans died from the flu.

Without contact from the outside world?

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#194
post #126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I never said you were talking directly about US policy. I both times used the word "implication." You say there are two camps. I point out that the majority view, which includes the views of the CDC and WHO, and described in their publications, is in neither of those camps that you proposed. Specifically, you say "Sadly both camps (pro and anti vaccines) have too extreme positions to have a constructive debate." The…

Now I understand your reasoning. Stating there are two camps with no one in-between was maybe indeed too... extreme. I meant to say that there are a lot of people with strong opinions, and few with a balanced view acknowledging there are both risks and benefits.

I disagree. From what I can tell, there are a lot of people with strong opinions based on a balanced view acknowledging both the risks and benefits. And their opinion is in general favor of mass immunization.

You have only to go to the CDC, or the WHO, and read their reports. Every single Vaccine Information Statement from the CDC says "A vaccine, like any medicine, is capable of causing serious problems, such as severe allergic reactions." They also list the risks, and describe if there are groups of people who specifically should or should not be immunized.

Where then is this large camp of people with strong view for vaccination but who do not acknowledge that there are risks? Because to me it sounds like it's a hypothetical construct based on the assumption that there must be people who are equal but opposite to the anti-vaxxers, when as far as I can tell, such a pro-vaccination group is at best small and with little influence.

Can you point me to their web sites or other literature?

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, but polio was virtually eliminated in America by 1980, and how old were today's non-vaccinating parents in 1980? Or 1953, for that matter- the year of the last polio outbreak?

The age gaps are large, but I remember my grandmother being debilitated by polio. She wore leg braces most of her life and had trouble moving around the few years I knew her (she passed in the 1980s). There is no need to have witnessed polio directly to have a sense of the awful potential it carries. The whole idea of people living attached to ventilators should be enough for any quasi rational individual.

Well, 2 things:

1) At this point polio survivors really are pretty rare

2) Since polio is now a kind of historical gremlin ,you don't learn to fear it. Even if you meet people scarred by it, you have practically zero risk of contracting it.

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#196

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I have also never seen a case of autism. Not sure where you live. There are two kids with autism on my block. Both young boys. Autism is a common disease where I live in the midwest. We have 3 large organizations that only work with Autistic kids. My wife and I have 3 kids and vaccinate them selectively on our own schedule. We vaccinate our kids for the same things that we received as children, nothing more and not…

Honestly, how many times does the link between vaccines and autism have to be disproven before people get it? On the other hand, there is a direct link between not being vaccinated and getting sick. Probably why they want to vaccinate against everything. Even chicken pox can cause more severe disease like shingles [1]. You wouldn't want your kids riding in a car with only the safety features that existed when you wer…

>Honestly, how many times does the link between vaccines and autism have to be disproven before people get it?

Honestly, there are many possible adverse reactions, and honestly, I want to see lots of good data. I know it may be costly, I don't care. I want to see the little bumps and dips in the plots of efficacy and safety for various vaccines. I want continuous quality control. I want it published publicly where the incidences of vaccine related injury were investigated, a cause found, and a problem corrected. I don't question the science or the public benefit of vaccination. I question whether the safety of vaccines as they are manufactured, transported, and stored is as advertised.

This is from the product insert for DTaP, note it cannot be considered conclusive, because the data collection methodology is crap. Would the manufacturer or FDA allow autism to be in the following list if either could conclusively exclude it? Honestly, I hope these guys have it right[1]. I think it would be fantastic if the solution were so simple.

"Adverse events reported during post-approval use of Tripedia vaccine include idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura, SIDS, anaphylactic reaction, cellulitis, autism, convulsion/grand mal convulsion, encephalopathy, hypotonia, neuropathy, somnolence and apnea. Events were included in this list because of the seriousness or frequency of reporting. Because these events are reported voluntarily from a population of uncertain size, it is not always possible to reliably estimate their frequencies or to establish a causal relationship to components of Tripedia vaccine."

source: http://www.fda.gov/downloads/BiologicsBloodVaccines/Vaccines...

[1] http://www.bmj.com/rapid-response/2011/10/30/iodine-deficien...

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#197

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is a conspiracy thing. Left or right wing conspiracy-minded people adopt it. Some people replace vaccines with "faith healing", others replace it with new-age shit.

Try lack of trust, or distrust in authority, it sounds better than conspiracy. Some replace vaccines with fear of disease, and anger at the lack of a trustworthy gov't.

And possibly rumors of additives to vaccines (adjuvant - Squalene, Mercury, etc.)

I have been made aware anecdotally how may times profit is chosen over safety when critical decisions are made... It has lead me to question some decision makers about the actual priorities for their decisions...

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#198

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> we selectively decline / delay vaccinations Interested to hear your justification for declining / delaying vaccine's, but not considering yourself anti-vaccine.

>Interested to hear your justification for declining / delaying vaccine I'm interested to hear why a five minute old infant is at risk of contracting Hep-B. Our kids will get Hep-B before they start school. Even if one of our kids did contract Hep-B, it is pretty unlikely that they will be able to give it to your children. Rota-virus vaccine was suspended by the FDA temporarily,[1] We opted to decline this one even a…

"I'm interested to hear why a five minute old infant is at risk of contracting Hep-B. "

Because a baby whose mother is infected with Hep-B can be infected at birth, it's estimated that only 50% of the pregnant women who have Hep-B are identified, and babies can get Hep-B from other family members and caregivers.

See http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/PDF/rr/rr5416.pdf for the full details, but here are two relevant passages:

> Even with improvements in the management of pregnant women, only approximately 50% of expected births to HBsAg-positive women are identified (on the basis of application of racial/ ethnic-specific HBsAg prevalence estimates to U.S. natality data) for case management, which maximizes timely delivery of postexposure immunoprophylaxis (11; CDC, unpublished data, 2004). The need for proper management of women without prenatal care, including HBsAg testing at the time of admission for delivery and administration of the first dose of vaccine to infants > Children who are not infected at birth remain at risk from long-term interpersonal contact with their infected mothers. In one study, 38% of infants who were born to HBsAg-positive mothers and who were not infected perinatally became infected by age 4 years (64). In addition, children living with any chronically infected persons are at risk for becoming infected through percutaneous or mucosal exposures to blood or infectious body fluids (e.g., sharing a toothbrush, contact with exudates from dermatologic lesions, contact with HBsAg-contaminated surfaces). HBV transmission rates to susceptible household contacts of chronically infected persons have varied (range: 14%–60%) (65,66). High rates of infection also have been reported among unvaccinated long-term residents of institutions for the mentally handicapped (67,68), and, in rare instances, person-to-person transmission has been reported in child care settings (69,70).

Also, the vaccine is made from virus capsid protein expressed in Baker's yeast. There's no infectious material at all, making it a very safe vaccine. (Unlike the earlier Hep-B vaccine which had a danger of including viral DNA should something go wrong during purification.)

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#199

I saw a kid with polio deformed legs a few months ago. Something that I have never seen while the immunization calendar was state mandated and I was young. I have also never seen a case of autism. In a few years we will have outbreak of something preventable. I just feel poor for all the kids that had real reasons not to get the shots. A friend of mine after very bad Hodgkin was with compromised immune system for 10…

> I have also never seen a case of autism. Not sure where you live. There are two kids with autism on my block. Both young boys. Autism is a common disease where I live in the midwest. We have 3 large organizations that only work with Autistic kids. My wife and I have 3 kids and vaccinate them selectively on our own schedule. We vaccinate our kids for the same things that we received as children, nothing more and not…

I agree on the last - From what I have read, boys are now strongly recommended to be vaccinated against human pappillomavirus to address potential throat cancer... Due to oral sex with infected females?

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-504763_162-20125260-10391704/hum...

As well as plans/experiments for vaccines against smoking, alcohol consumption... I don't think vaccines are what I thought they were any more. Viruses are not the main target for some of these...

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22895958

http://science.slashdot.org/story/13/02/15/184232/alcoholism...

So yes, we are being conditioned to be vaccinated against everything. Unfortunately, this is a profitable business for some, creating a feedback loop with questionable motives...

Re: Infectious disease doesn't care why you're unvaccinated

#200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

20-ish cases is not what I would call a big outbreak. Some of those affected in Texas had received vaccinations, but for whatever reason[1], weren't protected. [1] I guess they had either neglected to get a booster, were not scheduled to receive the full series of shots, or the vaccine's efficacy isn't what it is claimed to be. >My anecdotal experience among anti-vaccination people I've known is that they're only wea…

Vaccines don't work 100% of the time. That's why you shoot for herd immunity. Vaccines aren't to keep individuals from getting sick; they're to prevent outbreaks and pandemics. That they prevent most people who receive them from getting sick is an added benefit.

>That they prevent most people who receive them from getting sick is an added benefit.

You'll have a lot better luck selling vaccines to people if they provide a direct benefit.

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