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Bitcoin is a disaster

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181–190 of 992 posts

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't see the irony. The point is that Bitcoin has introduced an actual "digital cash" currency without institutional/governmental middlemen. That institutions can be built on top of that, and that some people want such institutions, doesn't change the novel utility of finally having a currency that functions like digital cash. It's like saying it's ironic that people use physical USD for anonymous p2p transactions…

No one treats Bitcoin as a currency. It’s treated as an investment vehicle. And the reason behind that is obvious. Something whose value may double in a month or whose value may halve within weeks is a terrible currency. If I expect it’s value to increase then I would be a fool to spend it. If I expect it’s value to drop I would be a fool to accept it. Cryptocurrencies are anything but currencies.

Buying drugs with BTC is very widespread and probably what fuelled the initial adoption. How is that anything but a currency?

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#182

Related: the current rise of Bitcoin prices has been peculiar to me, and seems to be a bit of a canary in an inflationary coal mine. We've injected trillions of dollars of fiat into the economy this year. It feels like the sky-high valuations of technology companies and Bitcoin are "shock absorbers" of sorts, or early signals of inflation-yet-to-come. If we assume the market is efficiently pricing these assets (like…

Armchair economists have been predicting inflation since 2008.

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#183

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No one treats Bitcoin as a currency. It’s treated as an investment vehicle. And the reason behind that is obvious. Something whose value may double in a month or whose value may halve within weeks is a terrible currency. If I expect it’s value to increase then I would be a fool to spend it. If I expect it’s value to drop I would be a fool to accept it. Cryptocurrencies are anything but currencies.

I use Bitcoin where ever possible, so your opening claim is wrong. I've been banned from Paypal. I've run into many verification issues over the last decade with banks because I have no proof of residency once my driver's license expired. Like physical cash, it doesn't need to be superior in all ways to be useful at all.

I have no proof of residency once my driver's license expired.

Every state I've lived in (13 so far) has an ID card that looks and acts exactly like a driver's license, with the only legal difference being that it is not valid for driving.

Unless you're not in America, in which case someone else can chime in.

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#184
If you think Bitcoin is bad, don't use it. Bitcoin is free market protocol. Often in free market it comes down to preferences, and this kind of opinion pieces are just a statement that I don't like what other people don't like, and other people shouldn't like what they like.

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#185
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> No VAT on bitcoin transactions Sounds like a defect in the technology to me. A good currency should be able to support the full range of social policies (like VAT). One of the problems of the Euro is not being able to inflate different countries within the Eurozone at different rates. If Bitcoin were ever to become popular for regular transactions within many countries, it'd be a fiscal policy disaster. Pretty soon…

You are confused. There is nothing in Bitcoin that prevents VAT. It's just Germany's policy. Elsewhere they charge VAT on it like any other currency. I have paid VAT on all my bitcoin transactions like any other currency. I am not in Germany.

That's good to hear. What about exchange controls? How do you see governments adjusting inflation with widespread international Bitcoin usage?

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's just the reality of cash, no less in digital form, so it would be naive to think Bitcoin wouldn't inherit the same uses of USD (speculation, money laundering, fraud). It's just not very damning. Though I'm sure various people in the government/Visa would love to ban USD cash with the same demonization.

Except that cash in USD is also used as a medium of exchange.

This is an extremely tiring response.

I pay for most things in Bitcoin.

I just built a new computer from parts I ordered off of Newegg, paid 100% with Bitcoin. I pay my rent in Bitcoin. I get paid in Bitcoin.

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, the 21 million cap is just a line of code no? No reason why if enough people agree to it they could just print more. Or they could fork and print more no? I find it strange that people speak of bitcoin's scarcity as if it were a physical thing.

Isn’t this what Bitcoin Cash is? I’m really asking, but I thought so.

Bitcoin Cash is about trying to make transactions faster and cheaper by increasing the block size (and rate?). Upside: Might be able to use it directly to buy coffee with a reasonable UX. Downside: would likely lead to a small number of huge machines managing the world's blockchain. The Bitcoin Core group really wants people in poor nations to be able to run their own Bitcoin nodes on their cell phones eventually. They value decentralization above UX.

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#189

Related: the current rise of Bitcoin prices has been peculiar to me, and seems to be a bit of a canary in an inflationary coal mine. We've injected trillions of dollars of fiat into the economy this year. It feels like the sky-high valuations of technology companies and Bitcoin are "shock absorbers" of sorts, or early signals of inflation-yet-to-come. If we assume the market is efficiently pricing these assets (like…

> the price of things like groceries, beer and travel double or triple what they were in 2019. It's already the case. Not 2x or 3x but double digits inflation on groceries notably meat products won't be surprising when we do the math next year.

Overall inflation is at roughly the same nearly flat level it's been for a decade. Food has gone up and energy has gone down, and both of those are easily explained by coronavirus-related supply and demand shifts.

Re: Bitcoin is a disaster

#190
post #118

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It doesn't matter how safe an investment is. Uncorrelated alternative assets (metals, crypto, art, etc), when added to your portfolio, lower the total volatility (risk) and boost the risk adjusted returns. You can take a really crappy asset with low returns and high volatility (like gold) and add it to your portfolio to boost your risk adjusted return. In short, from a quantitative perspective, it never makes sense t…

Sure, maybe put a few percent of your portfolio in it. But my point is that Bitcoin is highly speculative and risky compared to pretty much any other kind of investment. Even gold has industrial uses and isn’t simply a token of value like Bitcoin. I will concede though that there is a huge market of derivatives which often seem pretty unusual and risky to an amateur investor such as myself, so maybe Bitcoin isn’t tha…

Then you probably won't be pleased to hear that crypto derivatives are far more popular than actual hard crypto :)

Most people are unaware, the the derivative volume of btc is yuuuge compared to the spot volume.

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