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A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

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101–110 of 186 posts

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#101

chatgpt can read these reports, how long until quants can auto-detect these weaknesses that today are buried in TPS reports? (movie reference)

If you’re asking when machine learning will be used to predict stock movements based on financial reports, it’s already been happening for years.

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#102
post #44

My company has seen quite a few sell side analysts talking about SVB earlier this year, so I guess the risks were not unknown to financial markets. Problem is, we are in a scenario of great macroeconomic uncertainty. That can make borrowing costs (needed for shorting something) quite high, because everyone and their moms want to protect themselves from market downturns. So even if you guess correctly that some compan…

In the case you short a bank, why not borrow the money from the same bank?

> In the case you short a bank, why not borrow the money from the same bank?

To short a company's stock, you borrow the stock — although you do use money to pay interest on the value of the borrowed shares. [0]

[0] https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/shortselling.asp

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#103
post #92

[flagged]

So you'd prefer articles be replaced entirely with outlines that only bullet point specific items? I suppose that's a position one can take, but I think many people prefer to read articles that include a coherent narrative. This one isn't even particularly long. If you'd prefer to read the ChatGPT summary you can certainly generate it.

No, exposition and context is important, but this is irrelevant l'art pour l'art prose. As the comment said it adds nothing of value.

The journalist could have spent a few sentences explaining why and how this short seller is giving an interview, why this bank matters, etc.

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#106
post #103
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So you'd prefer articles be replaced entirely with outlines that only bullet point specific items? I suppose that's a position one can take, but I think many people prefer to read articles that include a coherent narrative. This one isn't even particularly long. If you'd prefer to read the ChatGPT summary you can certainly generate it.

No, exposition and context is important, but this is irrelevant l'art pour l'art prose. As the comment said it adds nothing of value. The journalist could have spent a few sentences explaining why and how this short seller is giving an interview, why this bank matters, etc.

Yeah, well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#107
post #33
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes. Their reasoning can still be interesting.

But is it more interesting than the reasoning of the losers? I'm tempted to say the losers' reasoning is more interesting. A winner's reasoning could be completely unrelated to the event at hand and we'd never know the difference. A loser's reasoning is definitely wrong in some way, so we can learn something from it.

With zero external correlation, both have equal merit.

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#108
post #33
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes. Their reasoning can still be interesting.

But is it more interesting than the reasoning of the losers? I'm tempted to say the losers' reasoning is more interesting. A winner's reasoning could be completely unrelated to the event at hand and we'd never know the difference. A loser's reasoning is definitely wrong in some way, so we can learn something from it.

It’s dubious asking the winners of any survivorship bias. I’d say hear what they’ve got to say(if you’ve got time), but never take it as gospel until you’re sure they have earned that respect. A broken clock is accurate twice a day, but the rest of the day is full of times it’s obviously wrong if you cross check with external sources.

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#109
post #103
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So you'd prefer articles be replaced entirely with outlines that only bullet point specific items? I suppose that's a position one can take, but I think many people prefer to read articles that include a coherent narrative. This one isn't even particularly long. If you'd prefer to read the ChatGPT summary you can certainly generate it.

No, exposition and context is important, but this is irrelevant l'art pour l'art prose. As the comment said it adds nothing of value. The journalist could have spent a few sentences explaining why and how this short seller is giving an interview, why this bank matters, etc.

By the same token, did you need to put that in French? Did it serve a purpose?

I don’t have a problem with you having done so, but I don’t have an issue with the article either.

Re: A SVB short seller explains red flags he saw months ago

#110

[flagged]

For most people news is entertainment and strongly dislike the “just the facts” bulleted writing style.

Shocking to me how much of the public don’t understand that modern news is literally just entertainment for bored masses.

I got chastised for saying this in company not long ago and responded with “don’t blame me, you’re the one obsessed with endless tragedy porn” which didn’t go down well.

Objective, informative, relevant news is long since dead if it ever existed at all.

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