Working link: http://www.wired.com/2015/06/course-china-russia-snowden-doc...
Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
11–20 of 55 posts
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#12What is the probability that at least one guy with same access as Snowden spied for China or Russia? I would say close to 1.0.
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#13It's hard to know how bad or good the US's security is, because most intelligence operations are secret and I don't know enough about the field to have a standard by which to judge it. Maybe these things are the norm for most governments.
I would not be surprised if other governments already knew much of what Snowden made public. Some secrecy clearly is necessary for governments but how often does "secret" merely mean "unknown to the public" (but already known to enemies)?
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#14Bruce Schneier is falling into the trap of saying since computer security is hard, the NSA has certainly been compromised and we can assume these docs have been out there for a while. Yes, securing the endpoint is hard, especially given the non-hardened OS and applications we mostly use. However, you can't extrapolate from that to say with certainty what has and hasn't been exposed via security flaws. The USSR was mu…
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#15Bruce Schneier is falling into the trap of saying since computer security is hard, the NSA has certainly been compromised and we can assume these docs have been out there for a while. Yes, securing the endpoint is hard, especially given the non-hardened OS and applications we mostly use. However, you can't extrapolate from that to say with certainty what has and hasn't been exposed via security flaws. The USSR was mu…
Snowden didn't create any flaws in NSA's internal systems (or at least, none that anyone's described publicly), but his actions certainly demonstrate that they were there. All Schneier is saying is that someone else could have taken advantage of the same flaws -- and that he thinks, given the givens, that someone else almost certainly did. He's not the only one who thinks the odds stack up like that...
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#16There's evidence that US government counter-intelligence and information security are very poor: Snowden, Manning, the recent break-in at OPM, etc. In past generations, nuclear plans were stolen, the heads of both FBI and CIA counter-intelligence have been moles, a Navy sailor kept the Soviets updated on the locations of US submarines, etc. Here's a list I came across recently: http://www.wearethemighty.com/american-…
this is necessarily the case. people are the biggest flaw followed by technology itself which is expected to be cheap and easy.
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#17Earlier quoted context omitted.
Snowden didn't create any flaws in NSA's internal systems (or at least, none that anyone's described publicly), but his actions certainly demonstrate that they were there. All Schneier is saying is that someone else could have taken advantage of the same flaws -- and that he thinks, given the givens, that someone else almost certainly did. He's not the only one who thinks the odds stack up like that...
Spying is a good thing. Real information keeps people from second guessing each other and prevents cold conflicts from becoming hot.
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#18There's evidence that US government counter-intelligence and information security are very poor: Snowden, Manning, the recent break-in at OPM, etc. In past generations, nuclear plans were stolen, the heads of both FBI and CIA counter-intelligence have been moles, a Navy sailor kept the Soviets updated on the locations of US submarines, etc. Here's a list I came across recently: http://www.wearethemighty.com/american-…
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#19The explanation is called protecting intelligence sources: Russia, China - or whoever had their spies inside NSA long before, can now act on the intelligence they got without triggering counterintelligence alarms.
Re: Bruce Schneier: China and Russia Almost Definitely Have the Snowden Docs
#20Earlier quoted context omitted.
Snowden didn't create any flaws in NSA's internal systems (or at least, none that anyone's described publicly), but his actions certainly demonstrate that they were there. All Schneier is saying is that someone else could have taken advantage of the same flaws -- and that he thinks, given the givens, that someone else almost certainly did. He's not the only one who thinks the odds stack up like that...
Spying is a good thing. Real information keeps people from second guessing each other and prevents cold conflicts from becoming hot.
The most obvious example is when one country manages to uncover another country's nuclear assets to such a high degree of confidence it feels (rightly or wrongly) it can make a 100% successful first strike.