Earlier quoted context omitted.
Drones are far more expensive than people realize. The reason the Air Force and CIA have held off on retiring the U-2 is that it's cheaper to operate than its unmanned competition. Sure, small drones with a video camera and LOS control are cheap, but once you start talking about drones with nontrivial amounts of ordinance and satellite quality sensors you're up into the tens of millions of dollars. For the most part…
I wonder how much of the cost of drones would drop if they went to mass production. For manned aircrafts, the limiting factor is trained pilots.
The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
221–230 of 233 posts
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#222Earlier quoted context omitted.
Are you kidding? Accept C but reject C++? That's completely ridiculous. "Well, the scout leader's fire control computer should have returned fire at the MIG. It should have, but the C-programmed fire control software cast the void* target object to a ... well, a seagull_t object. I guess you could say that the scout leader was shot down when a seagull fired a radar-guided missile at him. That's pretty funny, right? R…
Linus Torvalds once quipped (in a discussion over Git) that "even if the choice of C over C++ had no other benefits than keeping the C++ programmers out, that in itself would be a huge reason to prefer C".
Torvalds' criticism of C++ is lazy thinking, but the schadenfreude that non-C++ developers exult in from his criticism is just plain dumb.
Go back and read Torvalds' screed (here's a link http://harmful.cat-v.org/software/c++/linus). Aside from some sloppy hand-wavy arguments about how he feels icky 'trusting' standard libraries, is he actually criticizing C++? Where in that mess of half-congealed reasoning is mention of multiple-inheritance or operator overloading, or any of the other classic C++ mis-features?
Torvalds is a systems-programmer and he detests the greedy-method design-as-we-implement approach to development that C++ application programmers wanted to bring to git. But, guess what? That pretty much describes application developers working in every development language in common use today.
You program in Java? Chances are Torvalds thinks you're a hack unworthy of working on git or linux. Ruby? Probably even worse. Javascript? Don't make me laugh. Torvalds even refers to you - yes, you - as "some CS people".
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#223Earlier quoted context omitted.
Linus Torvalds once quipped (in a discussion over Git) that "even if the choice of C over C++ had no other benefits than keeping the C++ programmers out, that in itself would be a huge reason to prefer C".
What is the preferred way to implement generic containers in C?
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#224Earlier quoted context omitted.
Bottom 40% - All Federal Tax - 2013 - 5.6% of tax revenue. Bottom 60% - 16.5% [1] A good rule of thumb is all state & local taxes paid generally work out to about 1/5th of your mortgage/rent cost. But that's also not funding the F-35. (neither are payroll taxes) [1] - http://www.taxpolicycenter.org/numbers/displayatab.cfm?DocID...
State taxes are systematically less progressive than federal taxes so despite that rule of thumb you can't assume that relationship holds across income levels.
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#225Earlier quoted context omitted.
European countries have gone to war over Poland before. The idea that the EU would sit back and allow another country to invade its member states is just crazy. If nothing else, it would cause huge financial disruption to all the other countries in the union. Britain, France and Germany alone have a combined military budget greater than any other nation save the United States. The UK went to the other side of the pla…
China's military budget is likely beyond France + Britain + Germany. It's admitted to be $141 billion now, and most analysts think that's understated by upwards of 50%. Europe is allowing Ukraine (of course not a EU member) to be destroyed right now. and Russia isn't done yet, they're going to take more territory. Europe at best has been half-limp in its response. Which makes sense given the energy ransom Russia hold…
China's military is also severely lacking in combat experience. The US is one of the most battle-tested military forces in the world, has relatively little corruption compared to China, and yet it still suffers from projects like the F-35. It's hard to estimate how effectively that Chinese budget is being employed.
The EU isn't sending a military force into Ukraine, but then neither is the US. The EU does have problematic energy ties to Russia, but that works both ways; just as Europe has an unhealthy dependency on Russian gas, Russia has an even greater dependency on Europe.
Putin's playing a dangerous game with the EU. On the one hand, the EU relies on Russia for about a third of its gas and petroleum. On the other hand, Russia depends on the EU for the majority its energy exports, and virtually all its gas exports. The EU doesn't need to go to war with Russia to cripple it; Russia's economy currently depends on the EU accepting its imports.
Ukraine is a difficult problem to solve. Sure, the EU could march in and reclaim Ukrainian territory without much resistance. The Russian army may have a lot of equipment, but most of it is outdated, and the first Iraq war proved how overwhelming an advantage a technology gap can be. But the EU has also seen what's happened to Iraq and Afghanistan, and knows that the east of Ukraine has strong Russian ties. It doesn't want to find itself in embroiled in a decades-long guerrilla war, which is what would happen if it used force.
Putin knows this, but he also knows that his country's economy is dependent on the EU. He's trying to edge Russia into a better strategic position without provoking the EU into action.
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#226Earlier quoted context omitted.
I wonder how much of the cost of drones would drop if they went to mass production. For manned aircrafts, the limiting factor is trained pilots.
You have to be a pilot to fly drones in the USAF. Not really sure it's necessary, but that's the policy unless they made changes since I looked into it.
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#227Earlier quoted context omitted.
The basic perversity is building a gigantic military in peacetime because the arms companies have enormous lobbying power. Everything else flows from and is secondary to that.
Gigantic? http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/24/us/politics/pentagon-plans... Have you considered the gigantic military requirements that are placed on the United States? By treaty alone, the US is required to defend almost all of Europe, Japan, and South Korea. These are not easy requirements to disentangle from; if Japan alone were allowed and required to rearm, it could lead to an arms race that would destabilize all…
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#228Earlier quoted context omitted.
As far as I can tell from this list[1], five A-10s have ever been shot down, while destroying at least 1500 battle tanks and AFVs[2] [1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_combat_losses_of_United... [2] http://www.2951clss-gulfwar.com/statistics.htm
Wow. This is the equivalent of three Rudels http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hans-Ulrich_Rudel
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#229Earlier quoted context omitted.
The last time the US followed an isolationist foreign policy, the Europeans got themselves into two world wars in a row. It's true that Europe has a continent-wide mutual defense agreement now. What you didn't mention is that it's called NATO and the US is the backbone of it. That's part of how it works. Otherwise you don't get the combined forces of Europe, you get indifference at best and European war at worst. Loo…
Your information appears to be a generation out of date. The EU in particular have been working on collective defence agreements independent of NATO for quite some time. While it's true that if current US foreign policy went away overnight it would probably make certain other parts of the world less stable for a while, such rapid change couldn't actually happen as a practical matter of international diplomacy and eve…
"Working on" is a far cry from "tested and in force for decades", though. When push comes to shove, it's not clear that the EU member states would unanimously act in collective defense. Ultimately, while Europe may be able to collectively defend itself, it is certainly less capable of doing so without the aid of the United States.
Even setting Europe aside, what would you suggest for East Asia? Should Japan be allowed to rearm, potentially disrupting half a century of cordial relations and trade in the region? Should South Korea be left on their own to defend themselves from a North Korean army that outnumbers them two to one?
Re: The Little “Fighter” That Couldn’t: Moral Hazard and the F-35
#230Earlier quoted context omitted.
Your information appears to be a generation out of date. The EU in particular have been working on collective defence agreements independent of NATO for quite some time. While it's true that if current US foreign policy went away overnight it would probably make certain other parts of the world less stable for a while, such rapid change couldn't actually happen as a practical matter of international diplomacy and eve…
> The EU in particular have been working on collective defence agreements independent of NATO for quite some time. "Working on" is a far cry from "tested and in force for decades", though. When push comes to shove, it's not clear that the EU member states would unanimously act in collective defense. Ultimately, while Europe may be able to collectively defend itself, it is certainly less capable of doing so without th…
Against what threat, exactly? The big (physical, military) menace at the moment seems to be Russia, and European nations are now running almost continuous military exercises in eastern Europe to train for the possibility that any of those EU states might require protection from Russia aggression over the next few years. I don't know which banner they're operating under -- I'm guessing a lot of it is NATO -- but ultimately it's still European militaries co-ordinating to put the boots on the ground.
That said, realistically, the most effective way to protect ourselves against a belligerent Russia is probably economic anyway. Although some European states are dependent on Russia for energy supplies, that goes both ways, with Russia similarly dependent on Europe for having someone to pay for its natural resources. Neither side could trash that relationship today without suffering severely for it, but in the long run it favours Europe (because energy supplies are generally trending towards nuclear and ideally renewable sources anyway, giving Europe a credible long-term alternative, while Russia has relatively little other than energy exports to support its economy through international trade today).
Even setting Europe aside, what would you suggest for East Asia? Should Japan be allowed to rearm, potentially disrupting half a century of cordial relations and trade in the region? Should South Korea be left on their own to defend themselves from a North Korean army that outnumbers them two to one?
If you're going to make this kind of argument, you have to consider the effectiveness of armies. Bigger does not necessarily mean more effective if the little guy is better trained and/or has better technology.
More generally, I don't see why every nation should not be entitled to have a military force sufficient for its self-defence needs. The last world war ended 70 years ago. Concepts like expecting Germany or Japan of 2015 not to maintain effective militaries because of what Germany or Japan did in the 1930s and 1940s are obsolete.
In the modern world, I don't see why local agreements for mutual benefit could not provide similar assurances of defence and ultimately safer conditions than having the whole world depend on the US as you seem to want. It would take time to make the transition, but it would be better for everyone if that switch did happen over time. IMHO, that includes the US itself.