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On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

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Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#41
There's a huge "purple squirrel" problem. Employers expect to be able to hire someone who knows Drupal, PHP, and Ubuntu. They don't want to retrain someone who knows Methode, Java, and Red Hat, even those do the same job.

Few employers have the capability to train any more. Whenever you encounter an employer whining about this, ask them "How many people do you have in offsite training right now?" If the answer is zero, tell them you've found their problem.

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#42
post #16

This whole set of lies really makes me angry. Ever notice how it's only the most powerful of powerful who complain about "talent shortage"? Those who have the most to gain from reducing technology salaries? Sure, you might hear about it being a competitive market with high salaries and all, but that's what it's supposed to be! Engineering talent is in high demand and salaries are supposed to go up! If anything, they…

It's not a pack of lies. You're conflating two issues.

One issue is that engineers are underpaid because they tend to oppose the sorts of organization and regulation that could provide real bargaining power. Libertarian ideology runs rampant, and this hugely benefits buyers of engineering talent.

A separate issue is that even if you paid more money, there wouldn't magically be more engineers who can actually do the work that startups need done. We don't ned 10% more great engineers or 20%. We need double. or Triple.

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#43
One part of the immigration problem that is keeping wages is high is the fact that spouses/dependents cannot work. Want to bring in an ace programmer? You'll have to pay double (or just "more") because her husband cannot work in the "land of the free" ... If they're from a country with free healthcare, education or any other benefit, you'll have to pay for that because it was part of their "compensation" before .

I've posted before about the cost of coming to the bay area: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8533781

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#44
post #34
post #2

Just on the subject of programmer salaries, I was talking with someone who had much more experience in the computing industry than myself and he pointed out something I'd never known. He said that programmer salaries from pre-bubble days was six-figures, and that we're still in that range, and not higher is proof that salaries have been kept low. Six-figures today is not what six-figures was worth in 1998. Inflation…

By Paul Graham's description in that "Let in the 95%" article, companies are standing around with their dicks in their hands hoping that they find "the best" engineers, but on the cheap. If a company wants to hire 30 more "great" engineers, but isn't bumping up their pay to get at least 15 at a higher rate instead... there's something really off happening. It's standard economic theory that wages are sticky. I think…

And, besides the dick in their hands part, what Graham didn't mention in his warm christmas tale of meritocracy, they also make deals to not competete against others on talent, to fix (i.e. ruin further) what is already an extremely dysfunctional market (when did you last ask your coworker what she made?).

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#45

On one of the previous threads about this topic, someone suggested that accepting H1-B applicants in order from higher to lower salaries instead of based on a lottery would clear up a lot of the lottery spots that currently go to the below-market-wage-indentured-servant type shops to be used for more deserving companies and applicants. Seems like a solid change to me, without an obvious downside. (But I am not an exp…

As much as it may sometimes seem like it is, the H1-B isn't a programming or IT visa. It's applicable to a wide range of specialty occupations, across the entire nation. The suggested change would block out virtually all applicants from many other professions.

This is a feature and not a bug. If a profession with lower wages has a real shortage then the wages should rise until demand is filled. This can either come from people domestically switching to the newly lucrative career or foreign workers coming in once the salaries are high enough.

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#46
post #16

This whole set of lies really makes me angry. Ever notice how it's only the most powerful of powerful who complain about "talent shortage"? Those who have the most to gain from reducing technology salaries? Sure, you might hear about it being a competitive market with high salaries and all, but that's what it's supposed to be! Engineering talent is in high demand and salaries are supposed to go up! If anything, they…

Would be nice if someone extrapolated how the wages would look like today if the H1-B program wasn't put into place. Would programmers be making WallStreet salaries? How would that have impacted the start-up ecosystem? Also, numerous H1-Bs are the core of companies like Google, Microsoft, Facebook etc. How would things have looked without any of them?

And where would wages be if the biggest tech employers had not been blatantly colluding to depress wages, using illegal anti-competitive tactics?

Paul Graham advocates for free trade when it will increase the value of his portfolio and the wealth of his friends. He doesn't say a word about how free trade has been undermined by the illegal collusion of Facebook, Google, and Apple.

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#47

On one of the previous threads about this topic, someone suggested that accepting H1-B applicants in order from higher to lower salaries instead of based on a lottery would clear up a lot of the lottery spots that currently go to the below-market-wage-indentured-servant type shops to be used for more deserving companies and applicants. Seems like a solid change to me, without an obvious downside. (But I am not an exp…

I'd make one other big change. Move the distribution of visas to a monthly basis instead of annual. Currently the visas for the whole year go very quickly. If they were distributed monthly, and based on pay, you'd have a good idea of what you needed to pay to be competitive and bring in the workers you want and wouldn't need to wait a year if there is someone you really need now.

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#48
post #16

This whole set of lies really makes me angry. Ever notice how it's only the most powerful of powerful who complain about "talent shortage"? Those who have the most to gain from reducing technology salaries? Sure, you might hear about it being a competitive market with high salaries and all, but that's what it's supposed to be! Engineering talent is in high demand and salaries are supposed to go up! If anything, they…

For a variety of economic and historical reasons, many software companies are only likely to succeed in the US.

Without an influx of new people at a faster rate than education, increased salaries from demand will just shuffle existing engineers around. Instead of working at company A, they'll work at company B, earning a few percent extra; and company A, not being able to afford engineers, will either find something else to do, or close up shop. Higher salaries aren't enough to increase the supply of labour very quickly.

Which one of company A vs company B is more likely to be a startup?

What you are actually arguing for, is for software engineers to seek rent on the creation of new companies. You want to slow down growth in the economy and decrease the rate at which software gets applied to new problems, in order to make more salary (for Americans, in particular, as opposed to people less geographically well off).

It's self-interested, and thus understandable. I don't really fault you for arguing your corner. But you should be aware that it's not necessarily in the interest of your fellow Americans, never mind VCs. Other Americans also benefit from the application of software to all sorts of problems. Increased salaries for engineers mean that software is more expensive (however it's paid for), and there's less of it.

PS: the parasites feeding on nexus of finance are a separate issue. It doesn't make your argument more convincing, because they are a special case, recently in particular. Those parasites need dealing with, but the regulatory system has largely been captured, especially in the US. My problem with working in finance is ethics, rather than salary. Much of those earnings have been against latent risks that the taxpayer is underpinning.

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#49

A fundamental question not being answered is: Who gets to come to America ? Right now, our system massively favors immediate relatives and refugees, and only lets in a trickle of everyone else. If you are a person who wishes to move to the US, don't have relatives here, and are not a refugee -- then good luck, because you'll have a really hard time getting in. Stories of people who literally sell everything to get a…

I favor much-more-open borders for people who want to immigrate and become citizens. Any kind of guest-worker program, including the H1B system, I'm more skeptical about. It's understandable for capital to work to carve out selected holes in the fence to benefit themselves the most -- changing the laws isn't easy or cheap -- but that's not the change I'm excited to get behind. (I don't know what specific changes are being pushed right now, if any.)

Re: On Immigration, Engineers Simply Don’t Trust VCs

#50
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

True that I don't have any citation, like you only going off my own experience. My own experience in hiring has been that short of consultant positions ex-CEOs don't have specific enough skillsets to be put to work in many places in a company. When I have worked with them they have been unmitigated disasters. I'm curious about your experiences because, correct me if I'm wrong, I think you were pretty successful early…

Well, I've always been a programmer so I guess that's a marketable skill. The only thing that probably stops me from getting a 'day job' is that I'm too expensive and I like my freedom but it's not as if I would have trouble finding a job. Rather the opposite, offers from all over the globe with some regularity. I specialize in work for the financial sector and do the occasional interim management / project rescue jo…

> The worst possible position to be in is early hire in a start-up. You're going to see all of the downsides but only 1% of the upside of being a founder.

Let's expand on this, because that's me and I'm quite happy (but also willing to be convinced otherwise :D).

Financially, you're balancing lower salary with a potential for a large upside later. That upside can be great if you believe in the company and/or the value of the stock options offsets the lower salary, which it probably has the last two times I've done it, and definitely didn't the first 3. That being said, the first three gave me access to the last 2, and allowed me to see why the last 2 would work in a way that the first 3 didn't. Edit: also, comparing to the risk an entrepreneur takes, the salary cut tends to be much higher for an entrepreneur than an early hire (often the entrepreneur takes little to no salary for a long time).

In some ways you miss out on working with specific talent. You work with fewer people, so by definition you have access to fewer viewpoints. That's a very real opportunity loss, for sure. On the other hand, you get to work on a wider variety of things, and working at an early company tends to give you a better work-life balance which can allow you to learn more aggressively outside of work (and allow me to be a happier person in general). You also get far more control over the company's direction, if you care about stuff like that.

In terms of "might as well be a founder" - my CEO puts in way more work, way more hours than I do, is able to attract better talent than I can, is able to attract money in a way I couldn't, is able to administer the business better than I can etc. If I didn't think that was true, I wouldn't be where I am (this is part of the skillset that I can pick up at an early stage company that I couldn't at a later stage company). If I had those skills, yes it would obviously be better for me to found, but I don't so I don't think the way you've laid out the risk is entirely fair.

There are many more trade offs, but it's difficult for me to see why being an early stage employee is worse than a late stage. In either cases a lot is left to the negotiator and in both cases you can get a great deal, depending on what you are looking for.

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