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A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

dealbook.nytimes.com

371–380 of 431 posts

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#371
I like the idea of the Dollar as "left[-wing] money", that tickled me.

However, the author rather fails to explain his reasoning about the social entanglement of money, referring us instead to a book which is £10.34 in paperback or £9.31 on Kindle[1] (a rather uneconomic proposition, if you ask me.)

[1] http://www.amazon.co.uk/Debt-The-First-000-Years-ebook/dp/B0...

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#372
post #307

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Woo, bacon lollipops, server hosting, and pizza. Truly the essentials. You need grocery stores, gas stations, clothing stores, and restaurants to start accepting it. Until then, it's really just a novelty for middle class college Libertarians.

I love saying this: Do you think that cryptocurrencies spring fully-formed from the forehead of Zeus?

No, but I think they are not destined to become gods either...

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#373

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Bitcoins are a currency, there's no need to convert them Yes, unless you want to, you know, buy something...

I suppose there's nothing I'd ever want to buy from one of the merchants advertising here: http://www.bitcoinblackfriday.com/

If your available merchant options fit in a page, and contain "sriracha-bacon lolipops", t-shirts, honey and donations, you might as well use monopoly money...

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#374

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Bitcoins are a currency, there's no need to convert them Yes, unless you want to, you know, buy something...

Many businesses accept Bitcoins as payment for physical things. The last Bitcoin meetup that I went to was at a bar/grill that accepts BTC as payment. Most of the attendees paid for their drinks with Bitcoin. You don't need to convert to cash in order to buy things with Bitcoin.

"Many" as in? 0.0x%?

That bar/grill is a novelty -- and it probably only accepted BTC in the first place because there was a BTC EVENT held at it.

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#375

"After all, no bank or bitcoin-emitter can be as public-minded as a government..." Ahem. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation_in_Zimbabwe You can't slap a sticker saying "public-minded!" on a government, and expect it to therefore be public-minded, any more than you can slap an "environmentally friendly!" sticker on a coal power plant and expect it to stop polluting. "What kind of role, if any, should a govern…

He didn't seem to go beyond backyard of his suburban American home with his analysys.

Lots of countries have explicitely recognized that putting control of the money in the hands of public-minded government is often horrible idea. Those countries created separate institutions that are responsible only for keeping value of money stable by regulating its supply. They don't care about what public or government wants. They don't care what effects on the economy will their decissions have. They just have to keep inflation around 2-3% by adjusting rates.

USA money controller for some reason has to support the economy with their decissions. The only reason they get away with it without hiperinflation so far is because dollar is strongly tied to the oil and because USA after the WWII had thriving economy, not economical wasteland like almost all other countries that took part in the war.

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#377
post #228

Disclaimer right up front: I personally doubt that Bitcoin will be a long-term success. I fall into the camp of people who believe it is not a mature enough technology, unproven despite the hype. It is much too volatile to be any good other than as a risky investment, though if you time it right, you could stand to make a fair profit at the moment. What I do think is very interesting about Bitcoin is that it is a har…

Volatility is just a function of how much value is already stored in bitcoins and how much value can be stored there. Currently there's so little value is stored in bitcoins that single billioner can raise price of bitcoins few times by going all in. Bitcoin will be much more stable if there will be at least few trillions of dollars stored in bitcoins. Look how little fiat curencies prices fluctuate. Same and lower levels are possible for bitcoins.

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#378
There is so much inaccuracy and fuzziness in the first paragraph that the author seems to ignore more than he knows about the subject. State and government are not the same thing, money and currency neither, bitcoin is not a privately issued and is not web based.

With such a sensationalist title, I'm not surprised this article is much balooney but I wonder how it got to HN frontpage in the first place.

Re: A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail

#379
post #156

My prediction is that bitcoins are midway through a short-lived bubble and then rapidly fall to approximately 0, and in a few years people will look back with the disbelief now reserved for pets.com. The hype - get in right now and get rich, or you'll miss out and kick yourself - reminds me of 1999. My in-laws were talking about bitcoins yesterday, so bitcoins are getting the attention of the public at large; I take…

Would you abandon investment into networking equipment companies if your in-laws started talking about this new thing called internet?

Would you abandon your investment into lcd manufacturers bacause your in-laws started talking about those thin TVs?

Would your grand grand ancestor abandon his investment in railroad comapnies if his in-laws started talking about this strange horseless carriage that can only travel on pair of metal rods placed on the ground?

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