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Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

simulacrum.cc

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Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think the number of kids goes up with prosperity. Developed countries and upper classes typically have much lower birth rates than their counterparts, and some countries are even experiencing negative population growth.

I agree, but in depressions/recessions it goes down quite reliably. It's a strong signal

Hmm, true. Probably something to keep an eye on, then.

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#242
post #181

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a really unhelpful comment. Why don't you think for a second next time before rushing out some snarky, superficial nonsense. Of course people would still work, for the same reason you don't still live with your parents - although judging by your response, maybe you do. Are you personally going to be perfectly content with a $10K/yr subsistence allowance? And closing all schools? What are you talking about? Th…

Among us highly motivated and educated people who read HN regularly, it seems somewhat foreign that large swaths of the population will revert to just drinking beer, smoking legal weed, playing video games, watching tv, eating McDonalds and living in their RV or subsided apartment and not use birth control. But large swaths of the population already do this.

>> large swaths of the population already do this.

They do indeed. And why not let them?

Most of what they could do with their time is being automated away, and the front-line service industries (restaurants, coffee houses) can only take on so many.

Does there not ever come a point when we can say we're rich enough as a society to support those who can't meaningfully contribute? That even without their effort we have wealth in excess and can afford to carry them?

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#243

> "How would we pay for it? We could start by getting corporations to pay their taxes." I don't know why people keep harping on corporate taxes. If anything, taxing corporations is regressive -- the taxes ultimately get passed on to consumers through higher product prices, regardless of their income levels. Taxing corporations doesn't produce magic money -- it's still taxing people in the end, but it's the consumers.…

The best policy argument I know of for taxing companies is that it adds a financial incentive to reinvest profits into the company to avoid taxation.

Raising corporate tax rates might or might not result in higher consumer prices. Depending on the company or industry, it might instead result in lower profits (which harms investors not consumers), or different management decisions--for example it might lead companies to invest in more growth abroad than domestically since the tax rate is lower abroad.

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#244
post #225

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If anything, taxing corporations is regressive -- the taxes ultimately get passed on to consumers through higher product prices, regardless of their income levels. Actually, the studies show that corporate taxes are essentially a proxy for the taxing the ultra-wealthy - a cut in the corporate tax rate is very similar to cutting the highest marginal income tax rate. After all, if corporate taxes truly fell on the po…

> Actually, the studies show that corporate taxes are essentially a proxy for the taxing the ultra-wealthy - a cut in the corporate tax rate is very similar to cutting the highest marginal income tax rate. So why tax by proxy and not wealth directly?

What do you think inflation is?

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#245
post #181

Every single adult member receives a weekly payment from the state, which is enough to live comfortably on. The only condition is citizenship and/or residency. Sweet! None of us have to work anymore! Party at my place every night for life! You get the basic income whether or not you’re employed, any wages you earn are additional. Few, that's a relief. It'll be nice to close all of the school's down and tell kids they…

This is a really unhelpful comment. Why don't you think for a second next time before rushing out some snarky, superficial nonsense. Of course people would still work, for the same reason you don't still live with your parents - although judging by your response, maybe you do. Are you personally going to be perfectly content with a $10K/yr subsistence allowance? And closing all schools? What are you talking about? Th…

In fact, why wouldn't improving education help with the claim that people are inherently lazy. I don't understand the objectivist assumption that there are huge numbers of lazy people who will always leech off of others. Instead of assuming that schools would be closed because they wouldn't need to be open to educate people, and that those people aren't worth it anyway, why not educate people and develop their curiosity, motivation, and empathy for others. It is those qualities that most people learn and then cultivate intrinsic motivation into passion to pursue goals that are not purely financial.

Helping people, building something great, improving the world are goals that can and are being taught in schools now. Unfortunately, the state of education is far from perfect. It seems feasible to correlate the laziness that is so feared by opponents of BI with a flawed education system. It is difficult to believe that better education cannot improve the intellectual curiosity and motivation of the supposedly "lazy." A flawed education system produces ignorance, laziness, and stifles intellectual appetite.

Instead of falling back on fundamental attribution error to assume there's something inherently wrong with the "lazy" person, maybe realize that without proper education and being shown opportunities and paths for contribution, people will certainly seem lazy. Not to say that university admissions are a perfect filter for people who are willing and capable of working hard, but even at top tier universities in the U.S., "Undecided" is a common major among students. Students who have a high school degree and have made it into selective schools, demonstrated at least some ability to work, but still don't necessarily know where to contribute.

Without data, but anecdotally I hear of many relatively wealthy middle-aged people who could retire comfortably, but don't, or they pursue a different productive interest (like teaching or volunteer work) after switching from their previous career. It seems reasonable that a better education system would go far to encourage people to better themselves and the world even in a BI scenario. It is hard to imagine someone who has learned curiosity, intrinsic motivation to contribute something, and empathy for others would sit around and leech from others all day.

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#246

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If anything, taxing corporations is regressive No, its not. > the taxes ultimately get passed on to consumers through higher product prices, regardless of their income levels. It increases producer prices which shifts the supply curve to the right, but its pretty self-evident that the effect on actual prices is dependent on price elasticity of demand in the markets for particular products, and that price elasticity…

No more than taxing labor income (which the US does disproportionately) If you have a point to make, please try doing it without blatantly lying. It's common knowledge that the US has substantially higher corporate tax rates than almost anywhere else: http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/feb/21/corporat...

> If you have a point to make, please try doing it without blatantly lying.

I'm not blatantly lying. US taxes on labor income are disproportionate to taxes on other income sources, both because of the favorable rates applied in the income tax system to capital income, and because labor income is subject to additional taxes.

> It's common knowledge that the US has substantially higher corporate tax rates than almost anywhere else

Whether that's true or not, its entirely irrelevant the claim I was making.

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#247
We could start by getting corporations to pay their taxes. As I mentioned above, corporate profit margins have hit an all time high, and that money will circulate far faster if it’s placed in the hands of consumers.

This is very wrong when you think about large scale. The model simply can't work when you apply it to all the population. Think about the point when it'll break.

There is no free money. Giving money to someone by taxing someone else, is not a stable equation. This will create a tension between those who produce and those who consumes. Corporations will move to States/Countries with better tax schemes.

My strategy is simpler: Liberalize everything. Everybody pays for his own consumption; and shared resources are paid by people equally. There should be no taxes, and also no subventions. That means people pays for the gov. bills equally.

Well, but that's only on my perfect world view.

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#248

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If anything, taxing corporations is regressive No, its not. > the taxes ultimately get passed on to consumers through higher product prices, regardless of their income levels. It increases producer prices which shifts the supply curve to the right, but its pretty self-evident that the effect on actual prices is dependent on price elasticity of demand in the markets for particular products, and that price elasticity…

No more than taxing labor income (which the US does disproportionately) If you have a point to make, please try doing it without blatantly lying. It's common knowledge that the US has substantially higher corporate tax rates than almost anywhere else: http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/2011/feb/21/corporat...

The headline U.S. corporate tax is higher than that of many other countries, but it also has many more loopholes than the corporate tax of many other countries. As a result, the effective corporate tax rate in the U.S. is relatively low, around 13%: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Effective_Corporate_Tax_Ra...

However I believe the parent's point was just that taxes on personal earned income represent a much larger share of total U.S. tax receipts than taxes on corporate income do, i.e. the U.S. mainly taxes labor income. And that is true; the corporate income tax accounts for only 10% of federal tax receipts: http://www.cbpp.org/cms/?fa=view&id=3822

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#249
I disagree with this article almost entirely. Yes, labor jobs are on the decline, but service jobs are staying steady if not increasing. The "demand for unconditional basic income" is a joke, yes it's possible to attempt to initiate something where every person receives $10,000 a year, but the money has to come from somewhere.

If the money for this basic income comes from taxation, then both the government loses net income and the corporations lose as well. You can think about it an entropy or friction, there is always a cost for doing something. If corporations essentially pay their customers (via the government) to buy their goods the world would eventually collapse.

If the money for basic income comes from printing money (or equivalent) it devalues to insignificant amounts too quick to do virtually anything with it.

This idea is a fantasy, perhaps the population of the world needs to DECREASE to maintain its stability in a technological world. If there are less jobs, maybe there's less need for humans.. If this is the case, perhaps it is time to move to Mars or something, like a cell that has replicated enough DNA/organelles to split in two and create a new daughter cell.

You cannot suitably hold by basic unconditional income. Any college economics class/text book would probably make this much more clearer than I, but the "trends," conclusions and potential sources for the basic income would fall apart under close inspection. For example, if the need for labor decreases, the cost of labor decreases (the net company expense), therefore people may have worse pay, but also the products are cheaper.

The point is basic economic theory define this as an impossibility.

Re: Trends that will create demand for an Unconditional Basic Income

#250
post #39

Wouldn't the basic income value need to vary across regions? For example, the notion that: "Every single adult member receives a weekly payment from the state, which is enough to live comfortably on" would mean a different value in San Francisco than in Grover, NC. If the government adjusted the basic income to account for regional cost-of-living, I imagine it would be popular to maintain a fake residency in an expen…

I'm fairly sure the government knows where we all truly live.

I became a South Dakota resident in January (while I was in CA.). Despite only having spent a week in the state last summer. I haven't been back since then.
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