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Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

socialroulette.net

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Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#71

Post by gambiting »

hfsktr wrote: post #57
gambiting wrote: post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your odds never change, this is not how maths work. It's always 1/6, just like the odds of getting heads/tails in a coin flip is ALWAYS 1/2 no matter how many times you flipped already. Odds of receiving a certain outcome X number of times in a row can change,but the odds of a single event never,never,never do. Even if you flip a coin 10000 and got tails 10000 times, your 10001 flip also has a 50/50 chance of being h…

I believe he meant that he first person has 1/6 (at least or most...idk) but assuming the next person goes there is one less chamber each time. 1/5, 1/4, etc. until you get to 1/1 at least. There would have to be some change between rounds to change that part.

Sorry, I honestly thought that you would spin before every try, in which case, every test would have the same 1/6 probability of firing.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#72

Post by gambiting »

asafira wrote: post #65
gambiting wrote: post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your odds never change, this is not how maths work. It's always 1/6, just like the odds of getting heads/tails in a coin flip is ALWAYS 1/2 no matter how many times you flipped already. Odds of receiving a certain outcome X number of times in a row can change,but the odds of a single event never,never,never do. Even if you flip a coin 10000 and got tails 10000 times, your 10001 flip also has a 50/50 chance of being h…

Ouch, looks like you are taking a lot of slack for this --- don't worry, I didn't realize the protocol for Russian Roulette was not to spin again after the first attempt, either. You're right if they spun it again afterwards, they are right if you just continue through the 6 bullet slots in the revolver.

Yeah, that's exactly what I thought, was really surprised by the number of down votes initially.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#73

Post by gambiting »

emidln wrote: post #55
gambiting wrote: post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your odds never change, this is not how maths work. It's always 1/6, just like the odds of getting heads/tails in a coin flip is ALWAYS 1/2 no matter how many times you flipped already. Odds of receiving a certain outcome X number of times in a row can change,but the odds of a single event never,never,never do. Even if you flip a coin 10000 and got tails 10000 times, your 10001 flip also has a 50/50 chance of being h…

That's not how maths work. You're describing something that works for non-dependent events. Flipping a coin 50 times previously has no bearing on how it will flip the 51st time. The events are said to be independent. In a six round revolver loaded with a single bullet and then randomized, pulling the trigger advances the next round. The first pull has a 1/6 (or 1/600, whatever) chance of firing. You will fire (assumi…

Sorry, I honestly thought that you would spin before every try, in which case, every test would have the same 1/6 probability of firing.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#74

Post by firefoxman1 »

damoncali wrote: post #56
gambiting wrote: post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your odds never change, this is not how maths work. It's always 1/6, just like the odds of getting heads/tails in a coin flip is ALWAYS 1/2 no matter how many times you flipped already. Odds of receiving a certain outcome X number of times in a row can change,but the odds of a single event never,never,never do. Even if you flip a coin 10000 and got tails 10000 times, your 10001 flip also has a 50/50 chance of being h…

Im not sure you understand how a revolver works.

This is hacker news, chances are 1/6 he knows what a revolver is.

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#77

Post by ewang1 »

firefoxman1 wrote: post #74
damoncali wrote: post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Im not sure you understand how a revolver works.

This is hacker news, chances are 1/6 he knows what a revolver is .

Actually, it's 1/2 chance since it's either "yes" or "no".

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#78

Post by orangethirty »

andrewchoi wrote: post #68
olympus wrote: post #14

Earlier quoted context omitted.

While the code could use streamlining by only drawing one randint and comparing it to a static number, the probability of orangethirty's way of doing it still gives the correct probability of 1/6. Think of it as two dice, the chance of rolling doubles is 6/36 = 1/6.

I think the point of the post you're responding to is that the code doesn't actually delete anything.

How could it delete what is not there? Or did you really expect me to write python script with fb graph integration?

Re: Social Roulette has a 1 in 6 chance of deleting your account

#79

Post by hawkharris »

orangethirty wrote: post #49
hawkharris wrote: post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know what you mean. In a sense the backend code is probably pretty simple. But that just goes to show how important the implementation / design really is. I just survived the game, and I thought the spinning revolver wheel is what made the experience.

My point is that the code really doesnt matter in many "startups". Just the fact that someone will buy.

As a programmer I think that well-written code can be beautiful. A pithy, innovative Python script should be worth more than, say, a script that powers a run-of-the-mill to-do list app.

At the same time, I think it's understandable that users and investors don't evaluate startups the way I do, using a programmer's mindset. They're more interested in how well the overall idea has been executed from design, marketing and user experience standpoints.

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