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Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

forbes.com

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Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#21

Fasten Your Seatbelts: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions Amazing! He studied and compared all other driver-less cars to Google's and came to this conclusion. I know a writer getting paid for clicks wouldn't forget that virtually every major car company is working on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Driverless_car#History

Xerox's GUI was worth trillions.

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#22

The next several years should prove "interesting" for the car market. Driverless cars and assorted state DOT departments pushing for black boxes in cars on the basis of tracking milage are both going to see pushback from the general public. I've bought two new cars (and 1 used) in the last 15 years. The oldest lasted 11 years and 256000 miles. The used was a truck when I bought my house. The newest is a diesel wagon…

The above is in addition to the "independence" baked into the American culture about the open road and the automobile.

Do you think there is something inherently wrong with the feeling of independence and happiness attained from the car culture in the US?

I am still dubious that self-driving and non-self-driving cars will be able to share a road in the future. If this doesn't happen, I doubt Americans will freely give up their 'right' to drive the way they want.

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#23
post #4

The market is worth trillions... not Google's solution. One thing tech reporters seem to have failed at recognizing is that this research has been taking place at every major car company out there - many many others are legitimately in the race. Ultimately its the manufacturers that get to pull the trigger on how driverless cars will become driverless.

Plus, it's a good thing that there are others in this race. It creates diversity of solutions, which should end up being safer, more robust and less likely to suffer cascading failures.

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#24
post #15
post #4

The market is worth trillions... not Google's solution. One thing tech reporters seem to have failed at recognizing is that this research has been taking place at every major car company out there - many many others are legitimately in the race. Ultimately its the manufacturers that get to pull the trigger on how driverless cars will become driverless.

Still, I can't help but feel that maybe Google have the final piece of the puzzle. We've had computers and sensors powerful enough for decades, only Google have all of that maps data, polished again and again by android users using maps (and now Ingress) to make it more reliable. Google almost specialise at crunching massive data into useful products, and building reliable supersystems from millions of unreliable sub…

The quick compare, of course, is Android / Google Maps turn-by-turn directions and Garmin.

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#25
post #15
post #4

The market is worth trillions... not Google's solution. One thing tech reporters seem to have failed at recognizing is that this research has been taking place at every major car company out there - many many others are legitimately in the race. Ultimately its the manufacturers that get to pull the trigger on how driverless cars will become driverless.

Still, I can't help but feel that maybe Google have the final piece of the puzzle. We've had computers and sensors powerful enough for decades, only Google have all of that maps data, polished again and again by android users using maps (and now Ingress) to make it more reliable. Google almost specialise at crunching massive data into useful products, and building reliable supersystems from millions of unreliable sub…

[deleted]

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#27
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Google's not selling cars. It's selling automotive technology that will soon become standard in cars.

I don't understand. Why license it out? Isn't this like the iPhone?

All those other car companies? They are the ones with the brands and the cars people want. They are the iphones in this situation.

Sure, if you're pushing a new powertrain you can do okay making one or two of your own cars (which will take years) and you can shortcut the time to build up a brandname to a degree by being exclusive, but none of that effort is warranted because this technology does not require that sort of vertical integration.

If your competency is not making cars but rather automated cars, why would you want to get into the business of making cars?

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#28

The next several years should prove "interesting" for the car market. Driverless cars and assorted state DOT departments pushing for black boxes in cars on the basis of tracking milage are both going to see pushback from the general public. I've bought two new cars (and 1 used) in the last 15 years. The oldest lasted 11 years and 256000 miles. The used was a truck when I bought my house. The newest is a diesel wagon…

The disruption will come late to the end user. But all of fleet car - this is a god send, taxi firms without the stupid medallions, totally safe, couriers, trucking companies ... these can see a lot of value.

Also there are some situations when driving a car is not an enjoyment but a chore - almost any place where traffic is heavy.

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#29
Sensationalist headline but I can conclude that Google and SpaceX are the tech leaders of our generation. Love hearing about companies focused on the future. To think that potentially this guy who has to depend on other people to take care of him and drive him places, or he has to take the bus, won't have to because he can hop into his self-driving car and be independent.

Re: Google's Driverless Car Is Worth Trillions

#30

The next several years should prove "interesting" for the car market. Driverless cars and assorted state DOT departments pushing for black boxes in cars on the basis of tracking milage are both going to see pushback from the general public. I've bought two new cars (and 1 used) in the last 15 years. The oldest lasted 11 years and 256000 miles. The used was a truck when I bought my house. The newest is a diesel wagon…

you don't predict an incentive to use self driving cars? How about:

1) reducing the risk of accident and increasing safety in case of accident (you could, for example, sit in the back seat)

2) no need to find nearby parking (let the car drop you off and later pick you up)

3) ability to apply the time you would have used driving to do something useful

4) improved gas mileage from caravaning, ability to predict light timing, etc.

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