Earlier quoted context omitted.
Could someone explain the Ray Kurzweil hate to me? Predicting the future is hard.
Everyone knows that predicting the future is hard, but Singularity aficionados try to elevate that fact to a profound prediction in and of itself. The analogy I always use is a long straight flat desert highway. If you stand in the middle of it and look down its length, it appears to converge to a singularity in the distance. If you can see mileposts, you might even try to estimate how far away that singularity is. B…
IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
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Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#102Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#103Note to future self: we can probably neutralize indefinitely any malicious AI by directing it to start consuming tvtropes.com.
(http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/EvilOverlordList)
Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#104Maybe an uneducated scumbot would be better? Swearing and cursing because its peers do. Full of prejudice and bigotry because of weak anecdotal evidence. Vengeful. Impulsive. Using questionable grammar . Easily addicted. Cognitively biased. Wishfully thinking. Superstitious. Believing in fallacious logic. Thinking with the little head. Anti-intellectual and believing in conspiracy theories. Gossiping, slandering. Enjoying tv-shop.
Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#105Earlier quoted context omitted.
Everyone knows that predicting the future is hard, but Singularity aficionados try to elevate that fact to a profound prediction in and of itself. The analogy I always use is a long straight flat desert highway. If you stand in the middle of it and look down its length, it appears to converge to a singularity in the distance. If you can see mileposts, you might even try to estimate how far away that singularity is. B…
This response has nothing to do with anything. The singularity as Kurzweil is describing it is marked by tangible events like the development of a true AI or atleast a machine learning algorithm capable of discovering and proving its own concepts. I have no idea how this relates to your very abstract singularity (a trick of perspective?).
My point is that this is just an assertion, not a prediction. Every future development to some extent obscures our ability to predict the future of human culture. Look far enough into the future along any line of inquiry (legal, artistic, religious, energy, biology, etc.) and there is a singularity beyond which we cannot predict. It's just a function of trying to predict the future in general, not some special property of AI.
Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#106Earlier quoted context omitted.
Techie jargon is generally meant to enhance communication, while biz jargon is meant to baffle the listener with bullshit. Huge difference.
Want to come build a distributed social cloud web app with me using node? The real problem is when the meaning of a word or phrase becomes so broad that it conveys no information, or gets swamped by overuse and becomes a buzzword.
Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#107Earlier quoted context omitted.
Techie jargon is generally meant to enhance communication, while biz jargon is meant to baffle the listener with bullshit. Huge difference.
Want to come build a distributed social cloud web app with me using node? The real problem is when the meaning of a word or phrase becomes so broad that it conveys no information, or gets swamped by overuse and becomes a buzzword.
Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#108Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#109Re: IBM's Watson Memorized 'Urban Dictionary,' Then His Overlords Had to Delete It
#110Earlier quoted context omitted.
This response has nothing to do with anything. The singularity as Kurzweil is describing it is marked by tangible events like the development of a true AI or atleast a machine learning algorithm capable of discovering and proving its own concepts. I have no idea how this relates to your very abstract singularity (a trick of perspective?).
Kurzeil attempts to privilege certain technological milestones as substantively "different" from other technological milestones (e.g. "true" AI)--and thus claim their consequences for human culture are uniquely unpredictable. My point is that this is just an assertion, not a prediction. Every future development to some extent obscures our ability to predict the future of human culture. Look far enough into the future…
The same cannot be said of self-improving AIs. Kurzweil's Singularity is not about the difficulty of long term predictions, it is that the progress function may become so steep that even short term predictions become impossible.