Live data from Hacker News

Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

dank.systems

91–100 of 642 posts

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#91
LLMs are basically multi-dimensional magic mirrors.

Depending on where you point them, they can be incredibly useful.

They can even be useful when you point them at each other (though increasingly difficult to get good results).

I'm excited for the promise of RSI and a future where models have inherently "live" weights, but it's not clear to me that the transformer is more than a useful tool to help us get there.

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#92

This April 2026 paper is a fun and related read. https://arxiv.org/html/2509.24239v4 Researchers asked frontier models to play chess. Have a look at the MAR rates in Table 3. When not explicitly told which moves were legal, no model identified legal moves at a rate better than 80%. Many asked for more illegal moves than legal moves. And even when explicitly told which moves were legal, the models continued to ask for…

1. It’s hard to trust a 2026 paper that’s showing results for such old models. 2. Chess seems to be a poor benchmark for generalized strategic reasoning. People who are good at it rely more on experience and deep domain expertise than on skills that generalize to make them experts at unrelated tasks. 3. The study sounds like proving humans will never fly because they don’t have wings. In reality, humans do fly, and C…

> Claude Fable would destroy any human at chess by coding a strong enough engine on the fly.

Delusional, but then Claude fable also isn’t beating any human at chess, the engine is.

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#93
post #81
post #78

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The AI can write a chess bot program that will beat you. You're thinking about this the wrong way. The system is built and delivered as it is because that's how the providers make the most money. If they cared to have it perform well in chess games, you'd see a different shape and behavior. We shouldn't ask the multibillion dollar automated software generation system to play games with us any more than we should ask…

So AGI needs to be trained on something to work well on it. Lovely reasoning we have right here. Delusion runs deep in HN circles. I say that as someone heavily invested in AI startups and projects and as someone working in the field. I think most people on HN should touch grass and find real human contact. Lmao Incredible reasoning all around here.

I'm stating that certain folks are trying to use the software-generating product as an AGI/ASI and then complaining when it doesn't play chess very well.

People are holding it wrong, deliberately or not. Some are inventing bad faith measures so they can claim AI sucks.

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#94

This April 2026 paper is a fun and related read. https://arxiv.org/html/2509.24239v4 Researchers asked frontier models to play chess. Have a look at the MAR rates in Table 3. When not explicitly told which moves were legal, no model identified legal moves at a rate better than 80%. Many asked for more illegal moves than legal moves. And even when explicitly told which moves were legal, the models continued to ask for…

why cant models make a tool call to stockfish? its like saying model can't execute python for complex math calculations

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#95
> those who need done a small set of narrowly defined tasks with existing clear guardrails: repetitive physical labor in a controlled environment, call center and customer service chat work, etc.

I have no idea how people can so confidently say that call center work is a “controlled environment” or “repetitive”. It’s almost by definition not repetitive or controlled. Customer support is what I go to when the controlled environment has failed

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This isn't how intelligence works. The LLM may not be able to play chess directly through inference, but it can write a program to do it and execute that program. Same as how human intelligence works. We can't fly, but we can build planes.

Thanks for saying this, feels like everyone has gone insane over this stuff.

Humans don’t code a $game engine to play $game, they can just play it. It seems like you are the one that has gone insane.

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#97
post #78
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I know HN readers and posters just read numbers and can't be bothered to read, but please read the methodology before making any claims. > About their ELO ratings from their own website: > A field-relative rating calculated within ChessBench. It compares performance among the tested models and is not a direct equivalent of a human chess rating. I am around 1600 elo in over the board I can mop up Astra Fable etc even…

The AI can write a chess bot program that will beat you. You're thinking about this the wrong way. The system is built and delivered as it is because that's how the providers make the most money. If they cared to have it perform well in chess games, you'd see a different shape and behavior. We shouldn't ask the multibillion dollar automated software generation system to play games with us any more than we should ask…

I can write a chess bot program that will beat you. Does that mean I’m good at chess?

>If they cared to have it perform well in chess games, you'd see a different shape and behavior.

So the things they claim are on the verge of AGI actually aren’t? They need to be trained for specific tasks?

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#98
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The actual current frontier plays somewhere around GM level. https://chessbench-ai.github.io/#leaderboard It's also worth noting that the very latest models (GPT-6 and Fable 5.1) actually play worse than their immediate predecessors, so it is likely that the labs are not benchmaxxing for this yet. If they did, I'm sure they could come up with something superior to humans. But there is probably very little demand for…

I know HN readers and posters just read numbers and can't be bothered to read, but please read the methodology before making any claims. > About their ELO ratings from their own website: > A field-relative rating calculated within ChessBench. It compares performance among the tested models and is not a direct equivalent of a human chess rating. I am around 1600 elo in over the board I can mop up Astra Fable etc even…

HN is no different than Reddit, or any social media for that matter, in that commenters pretend to read articles.

Re: Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes

#100

This April 2026 paper is a fun and related read. https://arxiv.org/html/2509.24239v4 Researchers asked frontier models to play chess. Have a look at the MAR rates in Table 3. When not explicitly told which moves were legal, no model identified legal moves at a rate better than 80%. Many asked for more illegal moves than legal moves. And even when explicitly told which moves were legal, the models continued to ask for…

why cant models make a tool call to stockfish? its like saying model can't execute python for complex math calculations

Exactly. All these nerds saying cars make bad submarines. Well duh.
Post reply on HN