Earlier quoted context omitted.
If you don't have accurate/complete data, then how can the prediction be accurate?
Data is rarely accurate or complete when it touches human beings
Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
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Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#32> real-time alert system for intervening if a person indicated a high suicidal intent Suicide is a right.
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#33The article mentions sensitivity, but I’m also curious about this method’s specificity too…
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#34> 90 percent of people who survived a suicide attempt reported that they had been feeling an urge to alleviate psychological agitation and pain that turned out to be temporal — like “being in a burning room” or wanting to “shut everything off for a couple of days,” Nock said. I moved to Austin last week, away from my wife and 3yo daughter. It’s been torture. Today was the first time I could FaceTime with her without…
I didn't understand any of this until I had a relationship with someone that had suicidal thoughts from time to time.
This echoes much of what she described - constant pain is hard, and suicide offers immediate relief.
It's an experience of reality that's very hard to understand for anyone who hasn't been close to it.
@sillysaurusx thank you for sharing your experience so clearly. Best of luck
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#35> real-time alert system for intervening if a person indicated a high suicidal intent Suicide is a right.
That is incredibly dismissive to people undergoing something that is causing them to temporarily have these thoughts and need intervention
How can you know in advance that someone needs intervention? By what standard?
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#36Was very curious on what was meant by the following: > The study included a real-time alert system for intervening if a person indicated a high suicidal intent Because it sounds a bit dystopian. And found a little more about it[0] > For example, in our monitoring studies, we install smartphone apps on participants’ phones. These participants are often recruited from hospitals after presenting with high suicide risk.…
It’s very much an embodiment of the law that says to monitor a system is to interfere with it; it would be very hard to say they “predicted” general suicide attempts vs they set up a scenario that allowed them to nudge people into such actions given everything.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Observer_effect_(physics)
and a more specific form from psychology
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawthorne_effect
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#37> 90 percent of people who survived a suicide attempt reported that they had been feeling an urge to alleviate psychological agitation and pain that turned out to be temporal — like “being in a burning room” or wanting to “shut everything off for a couple of days,” Nock said. I moved to Austin last week, away from my wife and 3yo daughter. It’s been torture. Today was the first time I could FaceTime with her without…
I have been "hear"ing people out, without trying to "help", for over two decades.
In case you wish to talk to me, please mail me: Gmail sigma.ml.
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#38Earlier quoted context omitted.
Also, "most." Presumably most attempters were not participating in the study's surveys, so it would be impossible for the study to predict for them.
I mean, sure. Things can be wrong if you intentionally misunderstand words to mean something that they weren’t intended to mean. Is there anyone that legitimately thought that “most” here meant “majority of all actual attempts”?
What does “most” mean in the story?
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#39Earlier quoted context omitted.
That is incredibly dismissive to people undergoing something that is causing them to temporarily have these thoughts and need intervention
> and need intervention How can you know in advance that someone needs intervention? By what standard?
Re: Harvard study predicts most suicide attempts a week in advance
#40Earlier quoted context omitted.
Why do you say that - are you referencing something specific or just a point about his framing of existence? I just finished "a short history of decay"
Cioran claimed to have been able to avoid killing himself by fully embracing the idea of suicide.