The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…
I’d go out on a limb and say astra’s ability at graduate level math will have ~0 bearing on its general reasoning capabilities; we’ll all acclimate being tired of its “neuralese” and more surprising mistakes.
I think we need a true, step change advance in model architecture, but it’s hard to see how the current frontier labs can do that because of golden handcuffs / innovators dilemma