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GPT-6 Astra

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701–710 of 1001 posts

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#701

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

FWIW I believe we can hit AGI! but I think at this point it’s clear that benchmarks are ~meaningless. LLMs are spiky / alien intelligences which don’t map to our own expectations; the existence of a benchmark creates a dataset to hill climb & RL is really not generalizing well.

I’d go out on a limb and say astra’s ability at graduate level math will have ~0 bearing on its general reasoning capabilities; we’ll all acclimate being tired of its “neuralese” and more surprising mistakes.

I think we need a true, step change advance in model architecture, but it’s hard to see how the current frontier labs can do that because of golden handcuffs / innovators dilemma

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#702

OpenAI is killing it now that they are more focused. Killing projects like Sora et al have seen it go from irrelevant to level footing with Anthropic. Sol is so much better than Fable 5. Then we get Astra (yet to use it) few days after Fable 5.1 (which is very impressive). Codex is slightly better than Claude Code. Good on Sam Altman getting back to basics and turning OpenAI around.

I think it mostly shows that there is no moat and the only advantage the U.S companies have over the Chinese is more compute. Qwen Max, Kimi K3, GLM 5.3 are really close to Opus/Sol/Fable/Astra and they are open weights.

  I think it mostly shows that there is no moat
You can argue that TSMC has no moat since Intel and Samsung are also able to eventually make a node as good as TSMC - just a few years later and at smaller scale.

And no one would say that about TSMC.

So there is clearly a moat there somewhere.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#703

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

Watch a chess bot championship here: https://youtu.be/7g-jN3DTkWQ?is=HV3cdcICIRMbswQ3 Then realize LLMs have zero of what anyone would consider intelligence.

[deleted]

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#705
post #686

- OpenAI claims Astra beats all benchmarks (compared to Fable and Opus, except "Humanity's Last Exam (w/ tools)"): https://openai.com/index/gpt-6-astra/ - Artificial Analysis scores Astra (max effort) as 61 points on intelligence, behind Opus 5. https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/gpt-6-astra Who is wrong here? Some benchmark results in Astra page for Fable and Opus are blank (-). What is Artificial Analysis intelli…

If you scroll down in the Artificial Analysis page you linked, you'll see all the individual benchmarks.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#706

I have nothing to say about the actual model, but unrelated--why do so many of these demos include people buying things autonomously? Even if I did trust an AI to get everything right, it's not like the AI can read my mind. If I was ordering food normally and without AI, I would want more control over the process--looking over the options, prices, thinking about what I really want. People don't know what they really…

Man I can think of so many reasons why companies want “agentic commerce” to catch on - and none of them are ethical.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#707
post #347

It's fun, but every new model release makes me even less interested to create cool stuff. Like, what's the point, if the next AI can do it in 5 seconds?

You can contribute to Open Source projects that DO NOT allow AI generated code. For example: zig

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#708

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

Only someone who doesn't do any work of any meaningful difficulty could think these models have anything to do with AGI. Today I spent half a day trying to solve a moderately interesting software engineering problem. I was switching between GPT-5.6 Sol and Fable 5.1 to check each other's work in Cursor. And the result was gradually driving me insane. As the models struggled to find a solution that would actually work…

But that happens with humans as well. You are having the same experience with an AI that many managers have with their direct reports.

The smarter AI gets, the easier it becomes to move the AGI goalposts. Seems at this point there are people who will refuse to call anything less than omniintelligence AGI.

(And then the excuse will be, but it’s not omniscient! And even if it were, is it omnipotent?)

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#709

I think the thing I'm most excited about is the increase in _user prompting_. If I give a poorly constrained/ambiguous prompt, I don't want the model one-shotting assumptions left and right. The demos of Fable/GPT-6 are impressive, but "real AGI" should act more like a collaborator than either a peon or overachiever. It's a tough balance to get right, and although this has been possible to achieve with additional pro…

Fable does a great job from my terrible prompts when coding

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#710

> We also tested Astra on SRE-Bench [15], a benchmark that measures whether models can reverse engineer software binaries to understand its core logic without access to raw source code. Astra solved 88.0% of tasks in a single attempt and 99.2% within four attempts, compared with 55.9% and 68.7% for GPT‑5.6 Sol, respectively. So the closed source application should open its source in near future? [15] https://arxiv.or…

Not if OpenAI considers reverse engineering an offensive cybersecurity skill.
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