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GPT-6 Astra

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601–610 of 1001 posts

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#601

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

[flagged]

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#602

I have nothing to say about the actual model, but unrelated--why do so many of these demos include people buying things autonomously? Even if I did trust an AI to get everything right, it's not like the AI can read my mind. If I was ordering food normally and without AI, I would want more control over the process--looking over the options, prices, thinking about what I really want. People don't know what they really…

Despite access to """"""AGI""""""" all the marketing teams at these companies can only dream up 2 things, buying plane tickets and online shopping autonomously. Sometimes they're feeling extra spicy and throw in sorting emails or something along those lines.

I suspect it's because it's tailored towards VCs and other similar rich ghouls as a replacement for their overworked and underpaid secretaries

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#603

OpenAI is killing it now that they are more focused. Killing projects like Sora et al have seen it go from irrelevant to level footing with Anthropic. Sol is so much better than Fable 5. Then we get Astra (yet to use it) few days after Fable 5.1 (which is very impressive). Codex is slightly better than Claude Code. Good on Sam Altman getting back to basics and turning OpenAI around.

Its funny, my experience with Sol has been awful. It really overworks problems and tracks into areas it does not need to... I just dont get how its good for some, and bad for others. It makes me suspect that the models performance is not even against problem sets and it really is just a probabilistic prediction machine. Which then makes me very skeptical of GPT-6 Astra, because if their big claim is Computer Use then…

You have to bake the 'lazy dev'/'keep it simple stupid' mentality into your AGENTS.md and / or the skills you're using to design things. It will take things too literally sometimes so you also have to make sure you're being accurate. Best way I've found to use it is make it ask you clarifying questions about what you're trying to build and have it help design the shape of the thing. Then it writes the instructions in a format it understands.

I've had Claude do the same thing where it goes off and spends 100% of my tokens on 3 functions and an ungodly amount of tests / scaffolding that do almost nothing when I gave it an underdeveloped idea.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#604

Artificial analysis blog https://artificialanalysis.ai/articles/benchmarking-gpt-6-as...

It loses to Muse Spark 1.3? Does anyone really believe this index reflects reality?

I'm surprised you feel like you know muse spark 1.3 performance well enough to question the validity of the index based on this benchmark result.

Muse spark 1.3 was only released yesterday.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#605

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

Only someone who doesn't do any work of any meaningful difficulty could think these models have anything to do with AGI. Today I spent half a day trying to solve a moderately interesting software engineering problem. I was switching between GPT-5.6 Sol and Fable 5.1 to check each other's work in Cursor. And the result was gradually driving me insane. As the models struggled to find a solution that would actually work…

Humans dig ourselves into holes as well. Sometimes more intelligent humans are better at realising they are digging a hole and clamber out, but sometimes they just dig deeper.

And: Is your work more difficult than finding proofs of or counterexamples to decades-old open problems in mathematics?

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#606
It seems like every few days there's a new model with hundreds of comments on HN. I find it hard to keep track of the progress. Is there a TL;DR on what benchmarks to look at to understand what is going on?

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#607

OpenAI is killing it now that they are more focused. Killing projects like Sora et al have seen it go from irrelevant to level footing with Anthropic. Sol is so much better than Fable 5. Then we get Astra (yet to use it) few days after Fable 5.1 (which is very impressive). Codex is slightly better than Claude Code. Good on Sam Altman getting back to basics and turning OpenAI around.

I think it mostly shows that there is no moat and the only advantage the U.S companies have over the Chinese is more compute. Qwen Max, Kimi K3, GLM 5.3 are really close to Opus/Sol/Fable/Astra and they are open weights.

The "moat" is the "harness", the app.

For most people, the app IS the AI.

And even for its wonkiness, ChatGPT has had the best UX/UI of them all.

The way to win the AI wars in the eyes of the common folk is through the frontend, to be the Apple of AI, as it were.

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#608

For people skeptical of AGI. Consider the following: 15 years ago if you were the sole proprietor of these models, would you be able to hold a dozen remote junior engineer jobs? Maybe even more? These models could certainly pass all interviews with flying colors and even survive independently in a company role. I think sole ownership of AI 15 years ago could be worth north of $10 million per year. Just as rank-and-fi…

Cool. Being sole proprietor of AGI 15 years ago should result in monuments and religions devoted to you today. Cancer should be cured, and we should be a post-quantum interstellar fusion-powered civilization. I wish the AGI crowd would finally shut up now that it's clear no one is even trying for AGI (OpenAI revised that to "$100B in profit") What we're getting is incredible, where we're headed is incredible, but som…

I didn’t realize AGI required solving problems modern human civilization hasn’t solved yet.

Well by that metric humans aren’t intelligent either!

And how many people could’ve actually invented calculus, relativity, quantum mechanics? Are those who didn’t and couldn’t also not intelligent?

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#609

I can’t help but notice how much this echoes Francois Chollet’s On the Measure of Intelligence: https://arxiv.org/abs/1911.01547 Most of frontier-model progress still looks like skill acquisition optimization: broader benchmark coverage and performance, more domains absorbed into the training distribution, and increasingly strong performance within that surface area. It seems more about coverage-driven competence. So…

Chollet writes he expects AGI now sooner than 2030, "given progress is happening faster than I expected."

https://x.com/fchollet/status/2095607046129463577

Re: GPT-6 Astra

#610
post #419

The ARC-AGI-3 scorecard is extremely misleading given that it clearly states itself that "with [the responses API] harness, we estimate Sol would score in the ballpark of ~30%." but it shows a score of 7.8% for GPT-5.6 Sol presumably since if they updated the percentage for GPT-5.6 Sol to the score it would receive with the responses API harness they used for GPT-6 Astra they'd have to do the same for the percentage…

To each their own. Personally I will start feeling the AGI as soon as we move from chatting about benchmark results to learn that some lab just announced the discovery of tens of novel treatments for rare diseases. Maybe I'm too boring but it seems quite pointless to have this same prediction game every time a new model is released.

AGI would produce novel treatments for diseases at rates equivalent to what a human can do today.

Which is to say, not that fast.

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