What would happen to Nvidia, Anthropic, OpenAI, if tomorrow someone released an open weights model on HuggingFace that matched performance and accuracy of Opus 5 running locally on an RTX 5070? That won’t happen tomorrow, but it will likely happen someday… what’s the plan beyond “don’t be the one holding the bags?”
Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
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Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#22There's a release from DoE about it: https://www.energy.gov/articles/fact-sheet-department-energy...
That's a horrible amount of gas energy generation.
https://www.datacenterdynamics.com/en/news/openai-in-talks-t... has more details. The whole campus build could be as much as $500B.
Would that be the most expensive single thing ever built? The ISS cost around $150B and is commonly said to be the most expensive single item, but that does include running costs.
Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#23What would happen to Nvidia, Anthropic, OpenAI, if tomorrow someone released an open weights model on HuggingFace that matched performance and accuracy of Opus 5 running locally on an RTX 5070? That won’t happen tomorrow, but it will likely happen someday… what’s the plan beyond “don’t be the one holding the bags?”
Nothing would really change IMO? 99% of users don't have anything like a RTX5070 (mobile especially). Even if it did, it still doesn't make much economic sense running a model locally vs on a datacentre. For example, I managed to just about squeeze a Q2 quant of Qwen 3.7 27b on my 9070XT. I get around 60tps decode (slightly faster prefill). _but_ it uses 300W of power to do so. At UK electricity rates of 30c/kWh this…
Like even if you run it in a datacenter in this scenario, you could do it on a cheap GPU instance in Azure, you still wouldnt need OpenAI or Anthropic specific clouds.
>uses 300W of power to do so.
There are plenty of people with phat electricity pipes in their on prem server rooms that have been vacated for cloud. Companies who want the benefits of AI but dont want the risk of sending their data to foreign API endpoints.
Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#24Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#25Earlier quoted context omitted.
Pretty much, I have said it for a while now, Softbank and Oracle are the ones I would be worried about. Both of them have put their companies wealth behind this, if it goes down so will they. Others have played it fairly smart in terms of insulating potential issues.
SoftBank has always managed to squeeze by after every mistake selling some early huge wins Alibaba, Nvidia, arm. Wonder if they still have any of those left in the back pocket.
Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#26Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#27What would happen to Nvidia, Anthropic, OpenAI, if tomorrow someone released an open weights model on HuggingFace that matched performance and accuracy of Opus 5 running locally on an RTX 5070? That won’t happen tomorrow, but it will likely happen someday… what’s the plan beyond “don’t be the one holding the bags?”
inference is the cheap part; training is expensive. what compute infrastructure would train this mythical magic model?
Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#28Nvidia is turning into a savings and loan company that happens to design computer chips on the side. What could possibly go wrong.
If shit hits the fan, the companies collapse, then Nvidia gets their money from the investors anyways.
Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#29What would happen to Nvidia, Anthropic, OpenAI, if tomorrow someone released an open weights model on HuggingFace that matched performance and accuracy of Opus 5 running locally on an RTX 5070? That won’t happen tomorrow, but it will likely happen someday… what’s the plan beyond “don’t be the one holding the bags?”
Re: Nvidia dramatically reduces amount of OpenAI infra financing it may guarantee
#30What would happen to Nvidia, Anthropic, OpenAI, if tomorrow someone released an open weights model on HuggingFace that matched performance and accuracy of Opus 5 running locally on an RTX 5070? That won’t happen tomorrow, but it will likely happen someday… what’s the plan beyond “don’t be the one holding the bags?”