Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Providers can just run them, offer cheap tokens, and pocket the margin. There’s an assumption that you can spin up the infra and acquire customers within that margin
Which is not unreasonable. Just hosting it in the EU and promising not to retain / sell the data let's you charge a healthy extra and compete in many areas other players can't.
GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
151–160 of 626 posts
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#152This is absolutely still shy of Sol and Fable, but only just by a hair. Ridiculous results. There's still not a compelling economic reason to drop OpenAI courtesy of the ludicrous reset addiction that's taken place, but it feels like we're on the precipice. How are you all toying with running this kind of thing in a mega quantized way locally? Two weeks out from released weights, but this is still just GLM 5.2 with p…
OpenAI and Anthropic are both seeking trillion IPOs, while Chinese labs are pumping out open-weight models that are free for US providers to host and monetize. These Chinese models cost less of US SOTA models to run, even if they are less capable. Providers can just run them, offer cheap tokens, and pocket the margin. I just don't see how you justify a trillion valuation for US AI labs when the underlying models are…
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#153Apple will release M7 MacBook Pros / Mac Minis next year, and they will be able to run free LLMs locally at native speed. All software developer notebooks will be replaced to run local models, saving a lot by cancelling Claude Code subscriptions. Developers win. Apple stocks will be rocketing. Everything else will go down. You're welcome.
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#154Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is going to be catastrophic. Whether AI works or is useful or not isn’t even the question anymore. It can fulfil every promise Sam Altman has been making and will still make no financial sense to justify these valuations.
I have already begun winding down my spend on claude and OAI to make room for infra budget. Anecdotal, but I have no doubt a lot of others are doing the same, I very much agree the US players have major issues looming. What an exciting time to be alive!
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#155Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#156Earlier quoted context omitted.
> run free LLMs locally at native speed This reads like a hallucination. What does native speed even mean?
for example, models running at like 100-150 tokens/second (or faster!) vs 15 t/s (fable/sol are ~60 t/s, and OpenAI just announced their Cerebras partnership(?) for "ultrafast" mode of 750 t/s) models aren't able to run that fast right now on our consumer/prosumer hardware. M5 Max for example has a memory bandwidth of 600 GB/s. a 5090 has 3x that, so running the same model on a 5090 is that much faster (provided the…
GPU Memory Bandwidth: 7.1 TB/s Interconnect Bandwidth: 900 GB/s bidirectional
https://pi3g.com/nvidia-gb300-specifications-including-memor...
If you think M7 will hit even 15% of these speeds you're very optimistic.
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#157Apple will release M7 MacBook Pros / Mac Minis next year, and they will be able to run free LLMs locally at native speed. All software developer notebooks will be replaced to run local models, saving a lot by cancelling Claude Code subscriptions. Developers win. Apple stocks will be rocketing. Everything else will go down. You're welcome.
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#158Apparently they are scanning OSS and popular software at scale and disclosing the vulnerabilities they found: https://cvd.z.ai/ Most of these are under embargo, but it seems there are a lot of CVE here from a wide range of popular software, many considered critical or high. I understand the argument of "people are not actively looking", but isn't the cost for such a scan getting lower by the week, and Anthropic's Pro…
Someone still has to run it. The analysis and fix could be someone's machine but not committed / published.
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#159I'm not that up to date with the latest AI developments, but I noticed that this article seems to use "Cyber Capabilities" as a shorthand for the model's ability at cybersecurity tasks? Is that now an established expression, same as "crypto" now refers to cryptocurrencies rather that cryptography? Because "cybernetics" actually means something different (yeah, old man yelling at clouds, I know)...
Re: GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities
#160Their coding plan switched to credits, didn’t it? What are the rate limits like, compared to Anthropic or Kimi K3? I remember trying their Coding Plan out before the change and the 5 hour limits felt too restrictive then even for light/medium work, especially cause of the whole peak and off-peak thing: https://blog.kronis.dev/blog/z-ai-s-glm-5-2-is-a-great-model... Nowadays, I’d probably go with their Max plan if the…