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“We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

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Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#291

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Yes they distill, but if you think you can trivially get a frontier-level model by "just" distilling from Claude's public API. you fundamentally do not understand the amount of work that goes into a modern post-training stack. Without even talking about the fact that any distillation that was done was on Opus, as the timeline of Mythos/Fable vs Kimi 3 release dates just do not match in any plausible way. If you want…

Very interesting, thanks!

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#292

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It matters because the closed-source frontier labs spend lots of money on human data (RLHF / RLAIF with human oversight). Moonshot is accused of circumventing these costs. Frontier labs add research costs into their inference pricing. If the market doesn't permit them to sustain sufficient pricing to have a positive cash flow, then their business prospects become weaker and they risk insolvency. Furthermore, other le…

Chatgpt routinely cites and uses papers I don't have access to because they're behind a paywall. I don't think OpenAI is paying for all that copyright. That's in my opinion way more serious.

Who do you think is paying $100K+ for "Enterprise" access to Anna's Archive?

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#293
post #265

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Perhaps even more importantly, the current frontier LLM models are self-admittedly the product of enormous quantities of copyright infringement and even less savory inputs, so calling them out for distilling the fruit of that tainted tree reads as highly hypocritical at best.

While I agree on a moral level, I think there is a distinction to be made. Training a SOTA model takes a huge amount of resources and expertise so the people doing the training are adding a lot of value along the way. I think this is much less true for distillation (which is kind of the whole point). ed: to clarify, I totally agree that a huge chunk of the value in LLMs is coming from the source material. My point wa…

I'm sure it takes a lot of time and resources to plan and pull off an epic heist but it is unusual to see people like Thomas Crown being accused of creating value, as they're usually accused of committing theft.

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#294
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're probably going for the national security/domestic manufacturing angle. > Aren't consumers benefiting from this practice by getting better cheaper models as a result? Aren't consumers benefiting from cheap chinese batteries, EVs, and drones?

I am not sure if this is implicitly part of the point you meant to make, but I just wanted to point out for those who aren't aware that Chinese EVs and drones are both banned in the US on precisely the (vague) grounds you mention. The drone ban is more recent and nominally only affects new models that haven't yet received FCC certification, but the outcome if nothing changes will be that American consumers lose acces…

> DIY hobbyists may also find it more difficult or impossible to source parts for their projects.

I mean not really. A quadrocopter is a remarkably simple thing made out of extremely generic parts: 4 DC motors (and ESCs), a radio, a computer, a battery and an inertial measurement unit. Anybody with a rudimentary amount of electronics knowledge can build one, the components are extremely widely used. The most unique parts about them are the frame and propellers, which are pretty easy to fabricate.

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#295
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're probably going for the national security/domestic manufacturing angle. > Aren't consumers benefiting from this practice by getting better cheaper models as a result? Aren't consumers benefiting from cheap chinese batteries, EVs, and drones?

> Aren't consumers benefiting from cheap chinese batteries, EVs, and drones? Depends on what country you live in I suppose, but likely a spectrum of yes than any outright no. For example, Chinese EVs are using a different battery chemistry and not putting demand pressure on the more expensive chemistry western manufacturers use

I was surprised to learn Ethiopia is nearly all EV now.

They are a petroleum products importer, so it’s a big win for them.

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#296

Here's a site that asks the same questions to 22 models and compares how similar their responses are. https://typebulb.com/u/lab/you-re-relatively-right/full According to these results GLM 5.2 is very similar to Google Gemini and Kimi K3 is very similar to Fable 5. The American frontier labs are not similar to each other.

Interesting. This dooes lend credence to the distillation idea. Good for them!

GLM 5.2 is light years ahead of anything called “Gemini”.

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#297
The frontier labs' work is more akin to discovery than artistic expression. An art piece is valued for its uniqueness and individuality, but AI is valued for verifiable correctness. Discovery cannot be unseen and is easily replicable. I think the AI labs are in a tough situation because their work is more similar to fundamental scientific discovery than say, a unique painting or song.

Mendel doesn't get a cut every time somebody uses the principles of heritability he discovered, and Einstein's family aren't getting royalties if you compute relative speeds. I think the frontier labs should expect to be treated more like scientists than artists in this regard.

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#298

Kimi K3 was released July 16, Fable ban was lifted on July 1 but access was still limited. How did Moonshot "distil" a huge model in such short time and still had time to run the benchmarks and do the usual release thingies? I think Anthropic is desperate to stop foreign competition and the administration is happy to help because they too are heavily invested in these companies

If distillation truly is the cheat code they act like it is, then all the US and EU AI labs have no excuse for not having Fable-level models already

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#299

[flagged]

Yes they distill, but if you think you can trivially get a frontier-level model by "just" distilling from Claude's public API. you fundamentally do not understand the amount of work that goes into a modern post-training stack. Without even talking about the fact that any distillation that was done was on Opus, as the timeline of Mythos/Fable vs Kimi 3 release dates just do not match in any plausible way. If you want…

“Distillation” is just a term of art these days. Usage of competitors’ models these days is mostly around RLHF (minus the H, I guess).

Re: “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”

#300

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is why I don't give a shit that this is happening. It's actually kind of funny to me.

Unless you’re from mainland China, you should.

No you should not care unless you are a shareholder in one of these Ai ponzi companies. For the rest of the world Chinese companies matching and open sourcing llm's will keep 100 or so tech oligarchs taking over all the world economic output for themselves as all the idiot politician are unwilling to tax wealth.
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