On slide 6, they list the Mag7 stocks (not defined in a foreword), but on slide 8 they list the free cash flow (FCF) of a somewhat different set of companies. Why not stick to the Mag7 FCF only? It muddies the waters.
the FCF slide is for hyperscalers - which excludes TSLA, NVDA
Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
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Re: Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
#82I am invested in some of the companies that are downstream of the capital expenditures of Big Tech (e.g., COHR), so I have nothing to complain about. I am really struggling to see what's the investment thesis behind Google valuation increasing 2x in response to AI, though. Assuming no magical AGI singularity, by the end of the day, they're still selling the same services, but the services have gotten more expensive f…
Re: Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
#83Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes, but when their run ends they tend to underperform. Every time.
Many people who replied to you seem to have missed your joke. I appreciated it.
Years ago, My daughter's science teacher said that school should teach a love of learning.
I replied 'I thought the point of school was to make productive worker units in society'
And while he explained to me why I was wrong I was thinking to myself 'great, now he thinks I'm a terrible person'
It seems I deadpan too effectively.
Re: Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
#84One major part of the investment thesis in these companies were their constant stock buy backs. Now their gargantuan Capex that sees no end but acceleration is back at diluting investors.
I think the companies will keep doing fine, but the financial outlooks are no longer as rosy.
Re: Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
#85Nothing wrong, necessarily, but Tesla doesn’t belong to that seven they never have.
What TSLA lacks in cashflow, they more than make-up in TAM. Make-up as in create out of thin air. We'll have self driving cars in a few months, robots, semi-trucks, etc., etc.
Re: Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
#86I am invested in some of the companies that are downstream of the capital expenditures of Big Tech (e.g., COHR), so I have nothing to complain about. I am really struggling to see what's the investment thesis behind Google valuation increasing 2x in response to AI, though. Assuming no magical AGI singularity, by the end of the day, they're still selling the same services, but the services have gotten more expensive f…
Re: Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
#87I like that the invisible hand of market is slapping the Mag-7 for capex which is the only way to discipline them. Investors are waking up to say: hey, you are spending all your profits on data-centers, where is the return for me ? But, it surprises me that there are vast pools of capital which we collectively call the "market" that makes these calculations, or maybe a simpler causal explanation is the missing stock…
Why is Apple included though?
Re: Mag 7 starting to underperform [pdf]
#88Nothing wrong, necessarily, but Tesla doesn’t belong to that seven they never have.
What TSLA lacks in cashflow, they more than make-up in TAM. Make-up as in create out of thin air. We'll have self driving cars in a few months, robots, semi-trucks, etc., etc.
It makes sense to focus all effort into building a time machine.