Where are the economies of scale in homebuilding?

This is perfect for the future. Your pod will look like one of those supermax prison cells where the sink is built into the toilet because it is a supermax prison cell! There will be this central shoot where your bugmeal bread load will drop down into the hopper tray once a day and the treadmill for your exercise will charge your phone for entertainment and it will be legally mandated to have the Facebook app installed. Just wonderful.

We now live in a world with a shrinking population. There is no need to build new homes. Soon we'll be worried about how to tear down all the empty ones but we won't have the manpower.

> The comment from here onwards is about Sydney specifically, so if you're not interested this is your chance to get off.

Unfortunately in Sydney Australia this is almost certainly also regulated https://www.planning.nsw.gov.au/policy-and-legislation/housi...

It seems if you want you're allowed to set it up on your own property, which is surprising reasonable for Sydney standards. Just no more than 6 months after which you need to make a permit, possibly make a development application or something as it may be viewed as a permanent increase in floor space which tends to be tied infrastructure levies and maybe rates (think property tax). You can't set it up in the middle of the outback without some kind of planning proposal to rezone it to permit it.

At least with NSW (the state Sydney is in) the criteria are likely consistent across the state)

In Sydney Trailers likely aren't subject to Development control plans (DCPs) but other kinds of prefab/manufactured homes definitely are. Here's an example of a DCP, here is an example one from Randwick (one of 20-30 councils sydney is compromised of): https://hdp-au-prod-app-rcc-yoursay-files.s3.ap-southeast-2....

It regulates room size relative to floor ceiling distance, solar and privacy impacts on adjacent sites, minimum privacy and solar inside the dwelling (such as the amount of sunlight during the least sunny hour of the least sunniest day of the year), setbacks, etc, etc. If its next a heritage item it can't mimic it, it also can't take attention from it, has to confirm with some abstraction notion of sympathy to the heritage item

> You could find a way to use fewer and/or cheaper raw materials.

You can delete almost all of those components, almost all of that assembly work, much of the mass of the structure, much of the supply chain for the raw materials, almost all of the inventory costs, and you can make the financial carrying cost negative. You build it in a factory at room temperature mostly out of nearby rocks, and ship it flat-packed to the destination, where it mostly self-assembles over the course of a few minutes. The result is beautiful, requires little energy to heat or cool, and is impervious to insects, salt, caustics, weather, fire, and resistant to bombs.

Uh, the demonstration is forthcoming, bear with me.

Also, labor inefficiencies clearly exist, as protectionism by definition creates artificial inefficiencies, and it is rampant in all aspects of construction. It's easy to buy an off-the-shelf and cheap window air conditioner that uses a far more efficient variable-speed heat pump than the fixed-speed heat pump most central HVAC's use, but that same technology is rare in installed central HVACs, because the licensing and certification requirements impede the adaptation of newer more-efficient technology, despite the requirements ostensibly existing to increase its use, but in practice providing protectionism at the expense of modern efficient technology. There's similar effects with protectionism slowing the adaptation of longer lasting, safer, or less error prone infrastructure in other fields of construction like plumbing, electrical, framing, etc.…

Licensing and certification is also easily hijacked by NIMBYists, and because it's not based on actual safety requirements it can vary significantly from region to region, as is demonstrated by nationwide home builders having an efficiency disadvantage over those operating in only one region.

Granted, repealing NIMBYism and protectionism is nearly impossible, so it's not an effective means to reduce the costs of building housing, but it does demonstrate that there is a lot of inefficiency in the process. It also means that the field is ripe for disruption, because a concerted enough effort to sidestep NIMBYism and protectionism could break through and create a significant and immediate impact on the field, as for example, Trader Joe's did with wine importation, Southwest did with scheduled airlines, and Uber and Lyft did with town car services.