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Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

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141–150 of 360 posts

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#141

If any company announces that they use token consumption as an employee performance signal, for me that's close to a red flag to stay away from that company. No company with good engineering leadership should act like this is remotely a good idea.

Meta does this. Guess what one of the criteria for their recent layoffs was.

Meta tracks token consumption, but has explicitly stated that it is not a primary performance metric. Instead, employees are evaluated on "impact."

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#142
post #29

What if... we stop for a moment, and then, after thinking for a moment, we stop hammering nails with a microscope, and stop using token usage as a metric of productivity? I know it's sounds stupid, but what if

There is a complete lack of courage in the leadership of tech companies today, and top-down AI mandates are just another manifestation. True visionaries think outside the box, but most tech executives are forcing their employees into black boxes, out of fear of not doing exactly what their competitors are doing. We have lemmings for leaders, and that means that—much like the LLMs that are being shoehorned into everyt…

> Everyone’s strategy looks exactly the same.

If one is a CxO who's looking out for one's job security, herd-like behavior is the safest option, due to the (near universal) structure of "performance"-based executive remuneration.

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#143
post #68

I always used to wonder this about software stacks even prior to LLMs, but it seems more relevant now somehow: When will Uber (or your favourite company) be 'done'? They've been writing software for 16 years. They match drivers to passengers. More software isn't going to increase the chance that I seek them out instead of taking a bus or train. Will their software be finished in 20 years? 80?

Well there is a lot of ongoing maintenance cost. There is probably still some marginal gains possible on the matching side. There are new products to launch. So while one specific software can mostly be finished, the total software of a company is always changing.

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Weren’t they trying to do their own self-driving thing? I think this is partly a problem with companies that have had heavy investment. Uber’s value isn’t based on what they are doing, it is based on the idea that they are going to render ideas like owning your own car or taking public transit obsolete (I mean that’s an exaggeration but less of one than it ought to be).

AFAIK they gave up on doing self-driving themselves a while ago. I'm sure they are still hoping to be able to get rid of human drivers somehow.

If they didn’t have human drivers, they’d have one less human to exploit per ride.

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#145

Tokenmaxxing makes no sense, it is akin to write extremely inefficient SQL / Spark Jobs, full of cartesian joins, ultra skewed datasets, etc, just for the sake of using as much compute / memory / IO as possible. This always happens when the metric becomes the goal, companies should nurture and foster an environment where AI is used in the most efficient way possible, first asking "do we really need an agent for this"…

Tokenmaxxing exists because executives think employees are resistant to change. Thats it, a way to incentivize/force every employee to experiment with a new technology. Obviously once they think everyone is utilizing AI the tokkenmaxxing stuff will end.

Yes. Executives think, correctly, that employees are resistant to change.

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#146

I actually do think token maxing is good, but they should have limited it per user. I find it reallly hard to get people to max out the Claude $100 plan, let alone the $200 plan. I understand the enterprise plans are different and more expensive, which is how you get these kinds of issues. But encouraging people to try things with AI is very important, and some amount of token maxing is importsnt.

Man, it sure isn’t hard for me to max it out.

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#147
post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The people who have ascended to leadership positions are deeply divorced from reality. "It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it." -Upton Sinclair

The crazy thing is their salary does not actually benefit from riding these trends. Unless it's equally/even more clueless board level pressure with ulterior motives (i.e., lifting their other AI investments or the sector as a whole).

I deeply believe this but have no strong evidence. Revenue has always been a cure all remedy. This will keep model providers alive along with the very wide range of companies that are experiencing growth with them (from chips to backhoes), for a time anyway. If/when that house of cards starts going in the other direction there’s going to be widespread pain. By analogy the nonsense of the dotcoms and that crash had a very direct impact on their suppliers (e.g. telecoms). My only advice is to let the Microsoft’s and Meta’s do the tokenmaxxing, and don’t get suckered into the idea you (startup, individual, etc) should be playing that game.

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you provide an example? What is different about running Uber services in Chicago vs. Indianapolis?

For example in Seattle you pay county fees, and then state fees, and then maybe special fees if you were picked up in the airport. I took a ride from SEATAC to my hotel in downtown Seattle and besides the ride itself, there were 5 other items on the bill, 4 of which are specific to the place I used Uber. Then I had the return trip from my hotel to SEATAC, on this one I got EIGHT items on the bill, on top of the ride…

Use Link next time. Only $3

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#149
post #112

I have Opus 4.7 at work at 15x. Burns through tokens like water. It feels like one of these new mega datacenters is just for me. I'd love to know what the bill is, but we're just encouraged to do as much AI as possible.

2^30 tokens costs something like 2^10 dollars, order of magnitude, if that helps ballpark.

Re: Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing

#150

I find it useful that if they cut the use altogether I will pay for it out of pocket.

Probably long term each dev gets their own GPU and runs a model locally I expect. Seems like a more sustainable approach, even if a local model is not absolute SOTA.

GPUs are much more efficient at parallelizing requests for LLMs so it's going to much more efficient to centrally host. Maybe big companies it would make sense to get their own though.
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