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USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

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Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#41

Title claims "due to plains drought" but the article text largely attributes this to increased planting of soy for its lower fertilizer requirements (related to Strait of Hormuz).

At many of these publications the editor chooses the title, not the author. They know full well that most people will read the headline but not the article.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that aquifers are really cool natural filters, and only refill as fast as groundwater moves through the soil. So they're a finite resource. Instead of depleting them, people who want to farm in deserts should probably start desalinating or whatever themselves instead of assuming subsequent generations will do it.

The government made it literally the only way to claim much of the land out west[]. They require that you come up with an agricultural land including plan for watering crops on that acreage in order to claim the land. And you're required to execute the plan to get the deed. In fact, this is the only remaining way I know of to more or less 'homestead' federal land in a way that results in a permanent deed. The rest of…

Is this relevant in 2026? Are people still claiming land via the 1877 Desert Land Act?

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#43
post #9

Same region all the new data centers are being built. Unfortunately, humans can't eat data like they can wheat.

"All the new data centers" are being built everywhere.

Largely not. Data center people aren't idiots. They site their projects in places with water and power, or if not power then at least gas. I don't think you'd be able to point out a project that actually exists and is competing for a scarce local water resource.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#44

Title claims "due to plains drought" but the article text largely attributes this to increased planting of soy for its lower fertilizer requirements (related to Strait of Hormuz).

Has the USA's potash supply been reduced due to strained relations with Canada? They are our top supplier, by far.

It's the nitrogen fertilizer almost all of which is manufactured from methane + air.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#45
post #12
post #2

It will only get worse for the next generation as the aquafers are continuing to be depleted.

we live in a closed greenhouse system, the water just doesn't just disappear and most of the Earth is covered in it. Plenty of countries completely rely on desalination already, I think we'll be fine. I'm much more concerned about everyone becoming a moron from using AI. edit: cloud seeding too.

> Plenty of countries completely rely on desalination already

Let's take Kansas... the largest producer of wheat in the US. https://www.statista.com/statistics/190376/top-us-states-in-...

Kansas wheat crop down 38% from last year https://youtu.be/QjrhAXzEGDc

Kansas cannot run on desalination plants ... there's no salt water. The gulf coast of Texas is 1000 miles away.

While aquifers do regenerate (Groundwater levels in the Kansas High Plains aquifer see first overall increase since 2019 https://kgs.ku.edu/news/article/groundwater-levels-in-the-ka... ) I'm going to point out that news article has seven years of declines previously.

The aquifer that Kansas draws upon is the Ogallala Aquifer ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ogallala_Aquifer ) and you can see the rate of depletion at https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/nation... - there are spots in Kansas where the groundwater dropped by 150 feet from before it was tapped with deep wells to 2015.

Yes, most of the earth is covered by water. Getting that water to Kansas and Nebraska and North Dakota, however, is a problem.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#46
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can eat soybeans, though, which are seeing record production thanks to it supplanting what is affectionately known in agriculture circles as poverty grass.

Perhaps someone in the industry can chime in, but I had read that the soybeans that the US primarily grows and previously sold to China were used for pig feed. In my mind I pictured it like "cow corn" -- humans technically can eat it, but it's chewy and not very good. Are there different grades of soybean?

There are different grades with different properties. However very few are consumed by humans. When sold for humans it is called edamame.

The most common use is crush the beans, and collect the oil feeding the rest to pigs. If you read the ingredients at the grocery store, soy bean oil comes up a lot. Soy bean oil is also often used in diesel engines after processing.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#47
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can eat soybeans, though, which are seeing record production thanks to it supplanting what is affectionately known in agriculture circles as poverty grass.

Perhaps someone in the industry can chime in, but I had read that the soybeans that the US primarily grows and previously sold to China were used for pig feed. In my mind I pictured it like "cow corn" -- humans technically can eat it, but it's chewy and not very good. Are there different grades of soybean?

> humans technically can eat it, but it's chewy and not very good.

Not just technically. It is a relatively common food. A fair bit of it is crushed (i.e. turned into cooking oil). But it is also a product used in a number of processed foods, tofu, etc. Granted, it does seem to be eaten less commonly in the USA, but is more often used in Asian cuisines.

> Are there different grades of soybean?

All crops have different grades. Poor weather conditions is the most likely reason for a downgrade.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The government made it literally the only way to claim much of the land out west[]. They require that you come up with an agricultural land including plan for watering crops on that acreage in order to claim the land. And you're required to execute the plan to get the deed. In fact, this is the only remaining way I know of to more or less 'homestead' federal land in a way that results in a permanent deed. The rest of…

Is this relevant in 2026? Are people still claiming land via the 1877 Desert Land Act?

Yet it's still active. As a pure anecdote, I know of someone doing it right now.

https://www.blm.gov/sites/default/files/Desert%20Land%20Entr...

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#49
post #28

This is about China. The timing of this article coming out during the Trump-China summit is no accident. The article beat around the bush (pun intended) that the real issue here is that China stopped buying (or seriously cut back) US agricultural products (particularly soy) because of tariffs imposed on China last year that got to over 100% at one point. China now buys significantly more soy from Argentina instead. T…

You are mostly correct, but note that China has resumed buying US soy beans in the past few months.

Re: USDA Projects Smallest US Wheat Harvest Since 1972 Due to Plains Drought

#50
post #28

This is about China. The timing of this article coming out during the Trump-China summit is no accident. The article beat around the bush (pun intended) that the real issue here is that China stopped buying (or seriously cut back) US agricultural products (particularly soy) because of tariffs imposed on China last year that got to over 100% at one point. China now buys significantly more soy from Argentina instead. T…

> This is about China.

From what your saying it sounds more about Tariffs

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