Earlier quoted context omitted.
> they don't have a used by date For quite a lot of use cases, the current systems arguably do get worse over time if not continually updated. The knowledge cutoff date will start to hurt more and more as the weights age in a hypothetical scenario where you are stuck with them forever. Coding, one of the most popular usescases today, would not be great if it say only understood java to a version from years ago etc. h…
One solution is not to advance anything of course. I'm not even joking, is there going to be a successor to React? I suspect not, with the vast amount of training data for React now, it's going to look silly to move to something else with less support. What is the last new popular programming language, rust? Will there be another one? I suspect not. Same reasoning. The irony of all this AI acceleration talk is it'll…
Local AI needs to be the norm
241–250 of 804 posts
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#242Earlier quoted context omitted.
Meta released Llama just when OpenAI was so hot and its valuation was going through the roof. Speculating, but Meta probably thought the model not competitive enough to keep as a secret weapon but well good enough to commercially damage OpenAI who were a sudden competitor for most-valued-company? In the same way you can imagine the Chinese government pushing the release of deepseek etc to make sure no one thinks the…
I disagree. I think deepseek, qwen, and kimi earn a lot of trust open sourcing their models. While still profiting. Effectively they are saying "yea don't crowd our data centers with small queries, go ahead and send your frontier questions to our frontier models. Oh btw those us models? You can run something about as good for free from us if you want hah." It's a power and marketing move. It's also insanely smart to…
They're state companies, not some kind of ethical VC charity fund project.
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#243Earlier quoted context omitted.
> they don't have a used by date For quite a lot of use cases, the current systems arguably do get worse over time if not continually updated. The knowledge cutoff date will start to hurt more and more as the weights age in a hypothetical scenario where you are stuck with them forever. Coding, one of the most popular usescases today, would not be great if it say only understood java to a version from years ago etc. h…
One solution is not to advance anything of course. I'm not even joking, is there going to be a successor to React? I suspect not, with the vast amount of training data for React now, it's going to look silly to move to something else with less support. What is the last new popular programming language, rust? Will there be another one? I suspect not. Same reasoning. The irony of all this AI acceleration talk is it'll…
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#244Earlier quoted context omitted.
> they don't have a used by date For quite a lot of use cases, the current systems arguably do get worse over time if not continually updated. The knowledge cutoff date will start to hurt more and more as the weights age in a hypothetical scenario where you are stuck with them forever. Coding, one of the most popular usescases today, would not be great if it say only understood java to a version from years ago etc. h…
One solution is not to advance anything of course. I'm not even joking, is there going to be a successor to React? I suspect not, with the vast amount of training data for React now, it's going to look silly to move to something else with less support. What is the last new popular programming language, rust? Will there be another one? I suspect not. Same reasoning. The irony of all this AI acceleration talk is it'll…
Or will human readable code be less and less of a thing as AI learns it's own, more terse language to talk to other AI's.
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#245Earlier quoted context omitted.
I disagree. I think deepseek, qwen, and kimi earn a lot of trust open sourcing their models. While still profiting. Effectively they are saying "yea don't crowd our data centers with small queries, go ahead and send your frontier questions to our frontier models. Oh btw those us models? You can run something about as good for free from us if you want hah." It's a power and marketing move. It's also insanely smart to…
The Chinese labs don't have to make money or be profitable. They are funded by the state to achieve the state's goals, and the global praise of their open models just serves as Chinese soft power. They're state companies, not some kind of ethical VC charity fund project.
If the US’s fascist experiment continues past the current president, we’ll absolutely be nationalizing frontier companies or exerting equivalent control.
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#246Earlier quoted context omitted.
> they don't have a used by date For quite a lot of use cases, the current systems arguably do get worse over time if not continually updated. The knowledge cutoff date will start to hurt more and more as the weights age in a hypothetical scenario where you are stuck with them forever. Coding, one of the most popular usescases today, would not be great if it say only understood java to a version from years ago etc. h…
One solution is not to advance anything of course. I'm not even joking, is there going to be a successor to React? I suspect not, with the vast amount of training data for React now, it's going to look silly to move to something else with less support. What is the last new popular programming language, rust? Will there be another one? I suspect not. Same reasoning. The irony of all this AI acceleration talk is it'll…
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#247They will be, and that moment is not that far off. We've got the progression in place already: first, large data centers could have performant LLMs, we are now firmly in "a bunch of servers with a couple of H100s each" territory, slowly going into "128 GB VRAM on a MacBook Pro or a Strix Halo". Within the next year, the pattern of "expensive remote LLM for planning, local slow-but-faster-than-human LLM for execution"…
> They will be, and that moment is not that far off. It's here, right now. I'm running quantized Qwen and Gemma on a decent, but three years old gaming rig (think RTX 3080 12GB and 32 GB RAM). Yes, it's slow, it has a small context window. But it can (given a proper harness) run through my trip photos and categorize them. It can OCR receipts and summarize spendings. It can answer simple questions, analyze code and ev…
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#248Earlier quoted context omitted.
I disagree. I think deepseek, qwen, and kimi earn a lot of trust open sourcing their models. While still profiting. Effectively they are saying "yea don't crowd our data centers with small queries, go ahead and send your frontier questions to our frontier models. Oh btw those us models? You can run something about as good for free from us if you want hah." It's a power and marketing move. It's also insanely smart to…
Thats because the USA has really nothing big to export. Yay, designs. China? Im getting ready to watch the URKL (universal robot knockout league) go on. The USA is dicking around with failed robot dogs. The USA has been a failed country, coasting on massive inertia. But the tech avenues from a article I cant find showed the USA 8/64 areas excelling. China was 56/64 areas excelling.
Smart people in China design fast manufacturing lines for $25k/yr.
Smart people in the US design bond hedging strategies or ad-pixel trackers for $250k/yr.
China is in the stage the US was in 60 years ago, and eventually those high paying, high impact jobs will suck the intelligence out of all the "blue collar" work. Just like it did in the US.
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#249Dont quite think its ready yet.
Re: Local AI needs to be the norm
#250Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It's a very dangerous gamble. Today incredible value is available for nearly everyone. But it may stop without any warning, for reason outside our control. What stops you from running the best open weighted LLMs currently available on consumer grade hardware for the rest of time? They're good enough for 95% of use cases, and they don't have a used by date. From what I can see, the "danger" is not having the next ti…
95% of usecases. What are you smoking.