This comment thread is a good learner for founders; look at how much anguish can be put to bed with just a little honest communication. 1. Oops, we're oversubscribed. 2. Oops, adaptive reasoning landed poorly / we have to do it for capacity reasons. 3. Here's how subscriptions work. Am I really writing this bullet point? As someone with a production application pinned on Opus 4.5, it is extremely difficult to tell ap…
These threads are always full of superstitious nonsense. Had a bad week at the AIs? Someone at Anthropic must have nerfed the model! The roulette wheel isn't rigged, sometimes you're just unlucky. Try another spin, maybe you'll do better. Or just write your own code.
This scenario obviously does not apply to folks who run their own benches with the same inputs between models. I'm just discussing a possible and unintentional human behavioral bias.
Even if this isn't the root cause, humans are really bad at perceiving reality. Like, really really bad. LLMs are also really difficult to objectively measure. I'm sure the coupling of these two facts play a part, possibly significant, in our perception of LLM quality over time.