51–60 of 224 posts
I think there’s difference between A) whether ships are traversing the straight, and B) whether the straight is open / closed / could be traversed. It’s very well possible that the straight is safe, but the vessels are unnecessarily cautious.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-08/shippers-...
The data being ~4 days delayed does kind of make this less useful. It is a nice concept and cool to see the historical data though. Just think the domain and the large "NO" doesn't really fit with the lack of current data.
What did you use for the map ? Mapbox ??
CartoDB and Leaflet. Source is available here btw: https://github.com/montanaflynn/ishormuzopenyet
CartoDB packages this data into tiles you can use, but that doesn't lift this requirement.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yes, but in circumstances where no war is in the offing, digging a giant hole next to 50km of open water begs questions. It would be impossible to get "it's a hedge against the future" over the line. The same to a lesser extent applies to pipes. You could construct pipes for gas, for some of the heavier oils and crude (what I read suggests pumping crude long distance is painful, it has to be down-mixed with lighter s…
We could have spent the money on windmills without raising any suspicions. On the other hand, fertilizer is fluid -- either ammonia or ureal ammonium nitrate.
And you are right, if the same amount of capital and energy was invested in Solar/Wind as in Oil, we'd be in a totally different world. It's cents to dollars, considering the size of the tail AND the current investment.
Here in Australia the problem is the royalty stream to the states. Oil and Gas windfalls when the price of equivalent supply (brent crude I believe for oil, not sure what LNG world price defines the limit) hits $100 is just amazing. The revenue stream to the states is enormous. Their motivation to transfer money into alternatives, instead of sucking on the teat, is zero. States without significant oil revenue seem to do more (SA) -States isolated from the national grid seem to do more (WA) but a site with both high insolation, and good wind, but also massive oil, gas and coal fields (Qld) does as little as possible. It's political reductionism. The crony economy is huge, Mining funds the government and the government reflects mining sector interests over all others.
The data being ~4 days delayed does kind of make this less useful. It is a nice concept and cool to see the historical data though. Just think the domain and the large "NO" doesn't really fit with the lack of current data.
Totally agree, I put some text and tried to make it clear. My first intention was to find some live ship tracking API and see how many ships cross the strait, but they were all hundreds of dollars a month, and behind enterprise contact forms.
This will be inherently inaccurate because data was based on public AIS signal, but ships are turning off their AIS to avoid detection. > In an attempt to evade detection, many ships appear to be deliberately switching off their tracking system - known as AIS (Automatic Identification System). https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4geg0eeyjeo
Great point and something I didn't consider, I should make a big disclaimer it's not meant to be fully accurate or live data. Thanks for the comment!
Really liked this. Made me laugh even if not intentionally funny. Also, given how markets and news cycles are moved with words not actions these days, I really like this site. There are still so many misaligned interests; this is a much tougher situation that may get some local stability for a period, but will likely return to chaos again.
It was mentioned in this thread and quickly flagged, but Israel broke the ceasefire today by attacking civilians in Lebanon so Iran closed the straight. It was open prior to the ceasefire violation. France's Macron actually just commented on this: https://x.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/2041990505760772551
edit: actually im likely completely wrong, what i wrote above is what i hope would be the case but sadly in reality the violence will never end and oil prices will go up and up and up. this is just a temporary blip. the fighting will continue until something more substantial happens to sort it out in favour of one side or the other.