ML promises to be profoundly weird

What would the insides have to look like to have anything to do with conscience or agency?

The analogy seems to be backwards though. It would be as if we previously had a scarcity of land and because of that divided it up into private property so markets could maximize crop yield etc. and then someone came up with a way to grow food on asteroids using robots, and that food is only at the 20th percentile of quality but it's far cheaper. Suddenly food becomes much more abundant and the people who had been selling the 20th percentile food for $5 are completely out of the market because the new thing can do that for $0.05, and the people providing the 50th percentile food for $10 are also taking a hit because the price difference between what they're providing and the 20th percentile stuff just doubled.

The existing plantation owners then want to put a stop to this somehow, or find a way to tax it, but arguments like this have a problem:

> Why would a writer put an article online if ChatGPT will slurp it up and regurgitate it back to users without anyone ever even finding the original article?

This was already the status quo as a result of the internet. Newspapers were slowly dying for 20 years before there was ever a ChatGPT, because they had been predicated on the scarcity of printing presses. If you published a story in 1975 it would take 24 hours for relevant competitors to have it in their printed publication and in the meantime it was your exclusive. The customer who wants it today gets it from you. On top of that, there weren't that many competitors covering local news, because how many local outlets are there with a printing press?

Then blogs, Facebook, Reddit and Twitter come and anyone who can set up WordPress can report the news five minutes after you do -- or five hours before, because now everyone has an internet-connected camera in their pocket so the first news of something happening now comes in seconds from whoever happened to be there at the time instead of the next morning after a media company sent a reporter there to cover it.

The biggest problem we have yet to solve from this is how to trust reports from randos. The local paper had a reputation to uphold that you now can't rely on when the first reports are expected to come from people with no previous history of reporting because it's just whoever was there. But that's the same thing AI can't do either -- it's a notorious confabulist.

And it's the media outlets shooting themselves in the foot with this one, because too many of them have gotten far too sloppy in the race to be first or pander to partisans that they're eroding the one advantage they would have been able to keep. Damn fools to erode the public's trust in their ability to get the facts right when it's the one thing people would otherwise still have to get from them in particular.

The question is if there are ultradimensional patterns that are the solutions for meaningful problems. I’m saying meaningful, because so far I’ve mainly seen AI solve problems that might be hard, but not really meaningful in a way that somebody solving it would gain a lot of it.

However if these patterns are the fundamental truth of how we solve problems or they are something completely different, we don’t know and this is the 10 Trillion USD question.

I would hope its not the case, as I quite enjoy solving problems. Also my gut feeling tells me it’s just using existing patterns to solve problems that nobody tackled really hard. It also would be nice to know that Humans are unique in that way, but maybe this is the exact same way we are working ? This really goes back to a free will discussion. Yes very interesting.

But just to give an example on what I mean on meaningful problems.

Can an AI start a restaurant and make it work better than a human. (Prompt: "I’m your slave let’s start a restaurant)

Can an AI sign up as copywriter on upwork and make money? (Prompt: "Make money online")

Can an AI without supervision do a scientific breakthrough that has a provable meaningful impact on us. Think about("Help Humanity")

Can an AI manage geopolitics..

These are meaningful problems and different to any coding tasks or olympiad questions. I’m aware that I’m just moving the goalpost.

We really don’t know..

I believe this is the 5th time I'm asking this: you are not able to produce a _single_ counter example for my challenge? After all this surely I can get a direct acknowledgement here.