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Illegal according to whose laws?
Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
361–370 of 1001 posts
Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#362Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#363Earlier quoted context omitted.
The most likely situation is continuity. They just pick a new supreme leader. The second most likely situation is a civil war.
There is also a possibility of a Venezuela-style cooperation.
It is too early to know what "Venezuela-style cooperation" looks like. It hasn't even been 6 months since the US kidnapped Maduro; the base case is that Venezuela's leadership does more or less what they were going to do anyway under US diplomatic pressure.
The US actually did something fairly similar in Iran; Trump had Soleimani blown up back in 2020. As we can see from the present situation, it failed to influence Iran in ways that the US thought were acceptable. It is rare for assassinations to have positive geopolitical ramifications.
Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#364The Iranian diaspora around the world is celebrating. Here's the scene in Berlin: https://youtu.be/NSbx_0mtk80?si=MJ_Bfvx8gVd1P1mm They've waited a very long time for this moment!
I have no doubt that they didn't like that the regime, which is why they left. But this assassination is no guarantee of change for the better. Far from it.
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Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#365Earlier quoted context omitted.
They're not going to have a normal country. The United States under Trump isn't interested in a democratic Iran. They want a dictator they can control.
Not disagreeing with you, but US-controlled dictators have better track record of not killing thousands of protesters or just random people in own populations. Not perfect option, but still is an improvement even from your positiom.
US supported Pinochet or the US supported military dictatorship in brasil would like to disagree
Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#366Thank god we're kicking 5 million people off of their health insurance in 2027, otherwise we would not be able to afford all of these bombs.
There was a clip of one of Iran's missiles dodging 3 Patriot interceptors to hit the US base in Bahrain. I realized I just watched $12m wasted for nothing in less than 5 seconds.
They are not supposed to intercept ballistic missiles anyway,it's THAAD's job
Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#367The Iranian diaspora around the world is celebrating. Here's the scene in Berlin: https://youtu.be/NSbx_0mtk80?si=MJ_Bfvx8gVd1P1mm They've waited a very long time for this moment!
There would likely be millions of Americans celebrating the murder of their current president, should that happen. It doesn't mean it's reasonable, right, just, or civilized, nor would it indicate that it was a unanimously supported action.
The entire continent of europe would be celebrating.
Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#368Either this will end in a fractured state with different factions OR another Ayatollah will be in charge. Just my guess from seeing similar stories play out in other countries though....
Iran is not like other countries in the region. Despite its shortcomings, it's a cohesive society. I'm certain that there will be no fracturing and a central authority will emerge.
Indeed, I'vve already read about an opposition government being organized.
Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#369There might be something to read between the lines for Putin.
Putin has nuclear weapons. What does he have to fear?
Re: Iran's Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is killed in Israeli strike, ending 36-year rule
#370Earlier quoted context omitted.
I have no doubt that they didn't like that the regime, which is why they left. But this assassination is no guarantee of change for the better. Far from it.
Yeah I'm not sure why people think that the Iranian government never considered any sort of continuity for what happens when their 86 year old ruler dies. It's not like they're ants that are all helpless without their sole supreme leader.
it's quite common that autocratic states have periods of instability due to wars of succession. That's why many devolve into Monarchy like the Kim or Assad dynasties. That's why one of the possible successors was Khamenai's son