Is it plausible that the order of magnitude of those going to the restroom and those being intimate would be the same?
My life is very different if so!
What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
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Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#102Why do the estimated births/deaths per second counters have so much flicker? Surely you don't actually believe that the expected number of births/deaths per second fluctuates at 1dp precision multiple times per second?
Might be due to sneezing.
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#103[dead]
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#104Compared to my parents, I spent 20x the time parenting (the new normal) and I'm not sure these stats reflect that. Our global birthrate is a unconcerning 2.3 and worldwide restroom use continues apace. Sex is edging out smoking but not by much.
> 20x What do you think the actual number is in terms of dedicated hours per day?
Total time would include the time I wasn't at work and some of the time I was. My kids lived under 24/7 adulting, moving from one adult-curated, adult-populated box to the next.
My mom parented between zero and few hours a week. Both her time and mine were representative of our respective generations. The major difference was her time spent was unchanged since before history.
And sometime between her gen and mine, US childhood was mostly eradicated.
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#105Earlier quoted context omitted.
> The continuously updating global population counter is based on current aggregate birth and death rates (approximating values such as those from the U.S. Census Bureau International Database or UN DESA). The "live" births and deaths per second are statistically generated fluctuations around these averages to enhance the dynamic feel. Ok, so you added high-frequency random noise to the estimated averages to make it…
You'd have to add much more fluctuation to be realistic, it's a poisson process, about 25% of the seconds should be with zero births.
25% of individual seconds, but the average over an hour should be rock solid to several decimal places.
I think the more interesting fluctuations are those which change on an hourly ("checking the clock", spikes when people hear a chime or get notifications on the hour), daily ("eating lunch" spikes when UTC+8 hits lunchtime in eastern China and craters when it's noon in the middle of the Pacific), or other periodic basis.
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#106Is it plausible that the order of magnitude of those going to the restroom and those being intimate would be the same? My life is very different if so!
when I looked at it restroom use was 1.4% and intimacy was 0.13%, so an order of magnitude more. Seems about right.
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#107Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#108Some stats I'd like to see added:
* number of people in the air (Grok estimates 1.2 to 1.8 million, or 0.015% – 0.022%), but flightradar24.com probably has a better estimate.
* number of people in space (13 according to whoisinspace.com, so 0.00000016%)
* number of people at sea (?)
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#109Cool idea but for the actual results I have no confidence in it because it has grounding shown like pop sizes, locations / timezones etc, it's just vibe coded with stuff like this: "// Approx 7.68 hours - fundamental physiological need.", "label: 'Nutrition', // User's concise label". I don't see any real population dynamics.
*It has NO grounding shown