Intimacy 20,580,717 (0.25%)
Warfare 8,582,378 (0.10%)
What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
91–100 of 112 posts
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#92Intimacy being almost the exact same number as warfare is pretty sad. On a more joyous note, it's really neat projet, thanks.
As I watch it right now (18:38 CEST), it's about twice as much intimacy than war, so I guess it takes active war zones into account.
Make love, not war.
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#93Earlier quoted context omitted.
The Club for Rome estimates that global population will peak at just below 9 billion by the middle of the century and then begin a sharp decline, ending at under 7 billion by 2100. This is really bad if your country's pension and welfare system assumes a certain ratio of people will be in the labor force, relative to the number of old and retired people, as most developed countries do. A declining birth rate is much…
Maybe time to fix the ponzi approach to pensions and welfare instead of continuing to assume unlimited population growth on a finite planet. Edit: it’s not that I don’t believe the population projections showing a peak later in the century (although I think the Club of Rome one in particular is inaccurate), it’s that these projections are based on there being continued effort to bring birth rates down, hence now not…
Shouldn't AI and more efficient production handle it? Maybe the problem is we don't distribute returns so well right now.
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#94Earlier quoted context omitted.
What single emoji would you choose instead? It seems reasonable to me.
Beach umbrella, couch, person in lotus position, a book… Nothing outrageous, but it’s an interesting shift of perspective.
The couch emoji I'd agree with! I suspect the others are far less common activities than browsing phone or lounging :)
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#95Why do the estimated births/deaths per second counters have so much flicker? Surely you don't actually believe that the expected number of births/deaths per second fluctuates at 1dp precision multiple times per second?
> The continuously updating global population counter is based on current aggregate birth and death rates (approximating values such as those from the U.S. Census Bureau International Database or UN DESA). The "live" births and deaths per second are statistically generated fluctuations around these averages to enhance the dynamic feel. Ok, so you added high-frequency random noise to the estimated averages to make it…
You'd have to add much more fluctuation to be realistic, it's a poisson process, about 25% of the seconds should be with zero births.
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#96Related: I find the simulation and visualization of the same topic (albeit for US only) by DataFlow much more engaging and comprehensible. The project is based on data of a US survey. https://flowingdata.com/2015/12/15/a-day-in-the-life-of-amer...
I find it neat that the simulation appears to "pulse" almost like a heartbeat, because so many of our activities are tied to the clock and state changes disproportionately occur on the hour or half-hour. It's especially noticeable when using the "fast" playback option.
How different this would have looked before the invention of mechanized timekeeping!
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#97Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#9816% are doing paid work? I always assumed that would be higher
Full time people spend roughly 24% of their week working. Factoring in PTO/holidays, roughly 20 years of education and 20 years retirement, part time and unemployment, that number drops quite a bit (I’d guess roughly half, to 12%). Of course, some people start work earlier and retire later, and some work more than 40 hours per week. So to me, 16% seems about right.
was only 9% when i looked but then i realized its bc i live in opposite time of most of the world's population
Re: What are people doing? Live-ish estimates based on global population dynamics
#99Intimacy being almost the exact same number as warfare is pretty sad. On a more joyous note, it's really neat projet, thanks.
Sadder, the count in warfare is not included in paid work.