261–270 of 620 posts
-USA stops supporting Ukraine war efforts and Ukraine is forced to cede large portions of land to Russia, creating a DMZ along vast stretches of the new border. -Expanded land use restrictions and federal tariffs against solar and wind, resulting from pressure from fossil fuel lobbyists and the new head of the department of energy. -Another CEO is shot. -Crypto has a major correction; bitcoin finishes the year well u…
Debt chickens will come home to roost and once the bond interest/return death spiral starts it will be very difficult to break. Interest payments are already #3 in the national budget.
Interest paid on treasury bonds is a policy choice. There is no default risk, and the govt could easily implemnet ZIRP forever and run the economy without monetary policy entirely.
Previous years: 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963 ) 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018:…
betting on the opposite of what HN predicts seems like a pretty safe bet if you read the old threads.
His stock picks are so off I told him to create an inverse etf of his picks and I would pile into that, at least one of us would make some money.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth#Compariso...
-USA stops supporting Ukraine war efforts and Ukraine is forced to cede large portions of land to Russia, creating a DMZ along vast stretches of the new border. -Expanded land use restrictions and federal tariffs against solar and wind, resulting from pressure from fossil fuel lobbyists and the new head of the department of energy. -Another CEO is shot. -Crypto has a major correction; bitcoin finishes the year well u…
The real AI film wave will continue in youtube etc. by hobbyists using all the AI tools especially the chinese ones that have no brakes. This aesthetic will be so detached from professional film world that it will take Hollywood a decade to figure out how to cash it out.
Lot’s of people will once again lose their money when Bitcoin fails in catasthropic fashion and hits the lows of 72k end of the year. The whole thing is finally dead I will say for the fifth time.
Dopamine management medication will lead to a renaissance of human ingenuity and scientific discoveries and a big crash for social media and gambling sites (and in fact most online activities) but everyone will start becoming more robotic and even less social. Think GLP-1 inhibitors except for thinking more deeply and for longer periods. If not 2025 very soon.
haha this is gonna be an interesting one for sure. it's crazy how us humans yearn for magic pills for the highs and the lows just to get ourselves in a healthy baseline and as bryan johnson's experiments look like, it all comes down to our consistency in eating healthy, exercising regularly, and resting enough - those three alone will net you better health than most people - and it's hard to get into habit of doing t…
- governments around the world proceed with bowing to megacorps/cults/mobs;
- entire jobs disappear to AI [1], people are told that they "just need to" learn a new job, at the age of 50+;
- money is further diverted from fundamental research and towards AI, because governments and private institutions are convinced that AI will magically solve the world's problems;
- AGI remains 6 months away;
- nuclear fusion remains 3 years away;
- as Pax Americana disappears, the UN remains paralyzed and the EU remains in crisis, international relations return to wolf-at-the-door style anarchy [2] and generalized economic+proxy wars;
- new crypto boom (possibly followed immediately by large correction);
- with further deregulation and wars, we proceed to destroy the Earth and ignore the consequences, predicting that AI will somehow solve it;
- as a consequence of both international anarchy and environmental collapse, record number of refugees;
- as a consequence of major despair, ecoterrorism, ploutoterrorism (is there a better way for a CEO getting shot?), fascioterrorism start becoming fashionable;
- eventually, a truce/occupation in Gaza;
- no war in Taiwan just yet;
- some Line-of-Control-style truce in Ukraine [3];
- more escapism, with the budget for super-hero movies, video-games, etc. increasing;
- lots of AI crap, with GenAI-written books saturating Amazon, GenAI-written content saturating social networks, GenAI-written content replacing journalists in at least one major news source, a few semi-experimental GenAI-written movies and/or videogames;
- generally speaking, people understand less and less the world around them, because their news sources more and more filled with disinformation and random crap;
- companies still believe that AI will magically solve all their problems;
- Netflix starts generating series with GenAI (although the release might not be in 2025);
- companies that sell hardware and services to company that try to adopt AI make lots of money;
- we do not hit planetary limits for AI yet, but we inch closer;
- rich countries (perhaps with the exception of China) further decrease their investment in education;
- the signs show that the economy is just fine, so no need to change anything.
[1] Despite AI not necessarily being able to do their job.
[2] That kind of anarchy: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anarchy_(international_relatio... .
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Two minutes of research would have saved you the embarrassment of making that comment. > Formaldehyde is essential in human metabolism and is required for the synthesis of DNA and amino acids (the building blocks of protein). Therefore, all humans have detectable quantities of natural formaldehyde in their circulation (about 2.5 ug of formaldehyde per ml of blood). Assuming an average weight of a 2-month-old of 5 kg…
Is there a difference between injected aluminium/formaldehyde and ingested aluminium/formaldehyde?
As alluded to by the source in my last comment, formaldehyde is produced in a variety of ways inside the human body, including literally inside our cells, in the mitochondria. It is also used as an input in other biological processes. These processes collectively result in formaldehyde being continually present in the bloodstream in quantities more than a thousand times higher than the residual amount potentially present in a single vaccine dose. Therefore, one vaccine dose would not have a measurable effect on the amount of formaldehyde already in the blood, let alone inside cells and elsewhere. The body is very good at maintaining formaldehyde homeostasis. If it were not, we would be poisoned by our own cellular processes and typical diets.
> The continuous generation and degradation of formaldehyde in the body serve to maintain the homeostasis of formaldehyde metabolism. A common mechanism of formaldehyde generation is located in the mitochondria by the action of serine hydroxymethyltransferase 1 and 2…
> The main source of exogenous formaldehyde in healthy individuals may be through various fruits, vegetables, meat and alcoholic beverages…
> Formaldehyde in human fluids and tissues maintains the metabolic balance of formaldehyde through the continuous action of formaldehyde‐metabolizing enzymes through multiple metabolic pathways…
https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8184665/
Regarding aluminium, the link I cited in my previous comment addresses this.
> Once aluminum ends up in the blood, its source does not matter, meaning that our body processes it the same way regardless of how it arrived in the blood…
> Once the aluminum associates with one of these new partners, it is carried to the kidneys, where about half of it is removed from the body within 24 hours. Half of the remainder is removed by the next day, etc…
> Although the relative quantity of aluminum introduced on a vaccination day may be significantly greater than that introduced by food on that day, over time, we are exposed to more aluminum from food than from vaccines because the exposure from food occurs daily. If you consider that half of the aluminum in the blood is removed from the body every 24 hours, you will realize that each day additional aluminum is introduced through food. As such, over time, most of the aluminum in the blood could be traced back to that source…
1) Companies will develop many specialized LLMs linked via a router-like app that determines the best LLM to perform your request. This will yield better results without requiring an AGI. It might even be good enough to replace a specialized information tech job. 2) The cost of a line of code will continue to drop. A Moore's like law is coming/here for code. 3) Trade jobs will start to become what code jobs were in t…
You mean that coders will think about learning a trade? Sounds plausible