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Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#91

There are even more restrictions aimed at stopping kids using social media. Restrictions on phone use in schools, who can sign up for social media, etc.. Additionally, that it'll eventually prove to be a wild success, with significant benefit to kids. On the darker side, the same technologies and restrictions will be applied in various ways to adults (similar to the porn verification laws), which will have significan…

I'm still not sure how they plan to enforce this. Even now, I see an age verification popup on both illicit sites and even sites I feel are innocuous. But I can just click that I'm old enough to move on. If the social media companies are only trying to shift blame, this makes sense. They're not liable if the customer lies. But if that loophole is closed, the only way to enforce age approved sites would be a global id…

There's a parent-driven approach I'm hearing about more and more.

Parents in a school get together and agree on smartphone accessibility. For example "no smart phone till high school, dumb Nokia for comms if required".

This is hyper-local but works well because there's no peer pressure- nobody has one etc.

The other effective approach in play is "no screens in private areas" - ie no screens in bedrooms and bathrooms. This also has very beneficial outcomes on kids, and seems to be gathering steam.

I think govt type bans are easily circumvented, and basically useless. But parental rules, especially if common in the child's social circle, are proving to be a good starting point.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#92

I predict that I will finally finish making that bird feeder camera that I've been wanting to make for my wife. I've got all the parts for it, I just need to figure out how to put them together and write some code to take a picture of a bird. Can't be too hard, right?

Sounds like a great project for learning.

However, just FYI, this $25 2K cam (PCMag recommended) can do that sorta (it has motion/pet detection) and more. It also has excellent night vision. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CH45HPZT/

I was like, a $25 camera can't be this good. But I tried it out and it's actually really good.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

These already exist, they’re called CNS stimulants.

Sounds like they're describing the opposite of CNS stimulants though. People take meth and coke and go on se, gambling binges. Something that moderates and manages dopamine in a way that breaks the hold gambling and social media has on people's brains would be very different. Something that dulls the retative mini-bursts of dopamine hits you get with every click and scroll.

> People take meth and coke and go on se, gambling binges. Something that moderates and manages dopamine in a way that breaks the hold gambling and social media has on people's brains would be very different.

Simplifying a lot here, but people with ADHD are statistically more likely to exhibit addictive behaviours because the addiction provides dopamine that their brain otherwise has trouble getting. Treatment with prescribed CNS stimulants is very effective at preventing those behaviours because the brain no longer has to engage in the addictive behaviours to obtain sufficient dopamine.

Here’s one study where patients reported significantly lower rates of alcohol and drug use over at least a one year period.

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23264367/

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#96
Nation adopts AI generated national anthem.

Self-driving truck cross country without human approval.

Extreme heat warps bridges in mid-west.

North Korea claims successful moon landing.

'Self-aware' AI chatbot sues it's creator.

AI incorrectly labels school children as criminals.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#97

Auto makers will decide that putting 6 headlights on pickup trucks is no longer competitive. Consequently, they will innovate that the world needs pickup trucks with 8 headlights, starting in 2025. FML.

Honestly, I think the headlight "bars" like on the Rivian R1T or Cybertruck is going to be the standard going forward. It gives a better driving experience (to the driver, way worse for the other drivers...)

Some societies optimize for the individual. If 8 lights is better for me then I get 8 lights. The experience gor other drivers us a "them" problem not a "me" problem.

Other societies optimize for public good. It's less about "individual freedom" and more about "what world do we want to live in".

(I'm not talking about govt here as much as just the way people consider their own choices. And yes, there are as*oles in all societies.)

When entrenched in one society model though, it can be hard to understand that other models exist (much less than they could suit you better.)

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#99

Auto makers will decide that putting 6 headlights on pickup trucks is no longer competitive. Consequently, they will innovate that the world needs pickup trucks with 8 headlights, starting in 2025. FML.

I don't care if they have 100 lights, I just want us to go back to the soft yellow bulbs, instead of whatever we use now that pierces my retinas.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#100

Auto makers will decide that putting 6 headlights on pickup trucks is no longer competitive. Consequently, they will innovate that the world needs pickup trucks with 8 headlights, starting in 2025. FML.

https://theonion.com/fuck-everything-were-doing-five-blades-...
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