I want AI to help me in the physical world: folding my laundry, cooking and farming healthy food, cleaning toilets. Training data is not lying around on the internet for free, but it's also not impossible. How much data do you need? A dozen warehouses full of robots folding and unfolding laundry 24/7 for a few months?
GPT-5 is behind schedule
121–130 of 1001 posts
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#122Earlier quoted context omitted.
It’s the same for me. I genuinely don’t understand how I can be having such a completely different experience from the people who rave about ChatGPT. Every time I’ve tried it’s been useless. How can some people think it’s amazing and has completely changed how they work, while for me it makes mistakes that a static analyser would catch? It’s not like I’m doing anything remarkable, for the past couple of months I’ve b…
The ones who use it extensively are the same that used to hit up stackoverflow as the first port of call for every trivial problem that came their way. They're not really engineers, they just want to get stuff done.
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#123So LLMs finally hit the wall. For a long time, more data, bigger models, and more compute to drive them worked. But that's apparently not enough any more.
Now someone has to have a new idea. There's plenty of money available if someone has one.
The current level of LLM would be far more useful if someone could get a conservative confidence metric out of the internals of the model. This technology desperately needs to output "Don't know" or "Not sure about this, but ..." when appropriate.
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#124"OpenAI’s is called GPT-4, the fourth LLM the company has developed since its 2015 founding." - that sentence doesn't fill me with confidence in the quality of the rest of the article, sadly.
Quite funny that an article about AI was not fed to AI to proof read it.
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#125I want AI to help me in the physical world: folding my laundry, cooking and farming healthy food, cleaning toilets. Training data is not lying around on the internet for free, but it's also not impossible. How much data do you need? A dozen warehouses full of robots folding and unfolding laundry 24/7 for a few months?
We are close. Language models and large vision models have transformed robotics. It just takes some time to get hardware up and running.
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#126Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Meanwhile, no one answers this because they are getting value. You're literally doing the same thing you're accusing of. Every HN thread is full of AI boosters claiming AI to be the future with no backing evidence. Riddle me this. If all these people are "getting value", why are all these companies losing horrendous amounts of money? Why has nobody figured out how to be profitable? > Please take the time to learn,…
> Riddle me this. If all these people are "getting value", why are all these companies losing horrendous amounts of money? Why has nobody figured out how to be profitable? While I agree that LLMs are not currently working great for most envisioned use cases; this premise here is not a good argument. Large LLM providers are not trying to be profitable at the moment. They’re trying to grow and that’s pretty sensible. U…
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#127"OpenAI’s is called GPT-4, the fourth LLM the company has developed since its 2015 founding." - that sentence doesn't fill me with confidence in the quality of the rest of the article, sadly.
Quite funny that an article about AI was not fed to AI to proof read it.
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#128I want AI to help me in the physical world: folding my laundry, cooking and farming healthy food, cleaning toilets. Training data is not lying around on the internet for free, but it's also not impossible. How much data do you need? A dozen warehouses full of robots folding and unfolding laundry 24/7 for a few months?
We are close. Language models and large vision models have transformed robotics. It just takes some time to get hardware up and running.
Did they? Where? Seriously, I genuinely want to know who is employing these techniques.
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#129I want AI to help me in the physical world: folding my laundry, cooking and farming healthy food, cleaning toilets. Training data is not lying around on the internet for free, but it's also not impossible. How much data do you need? A dozen warehouses full of robots folding and unfolding laundry 24/7 for a few months?
I would guess that most cooking and cleaning tasks are in basically the same space. You don't need fine motor control to clean a toilet bowl, but you've gotta figure out how to get people to buy the well-proven premisting technology before you'll be able to sell them a toilet-cleaning robot.
Re: GPT-5 is behind schedule
#130Earlier quoted context omitted.
I had a 30 min argument with o1-pro where it was convinced it had solved the halting problem. Tried to gaslight me into thinking I just didn’t understand the subtlety of the argument. But it’s susceptible to appeal to authority and when I started quoting snippets of textbooks and mathoverflow it finally relented and claimed there had been a “misunderstanding”. It really does argue like a human though now...
I had a similar experience with regular o1 about integral that was divergent. It was adamant that it wasn't and would respond to any attempt at persuasion with variants of "its a standard integral" with a "subtle cancellation". When I asked for any source for this standard integral it produced references to support its argument that existed but didn't actually contain the integral. When I told it the references didn'…
It works in politics, marketing, and self-promotion.
If you use the web as a training set, those categories dominate.