Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Qualcomm moves to RISC-V and ARM loses even harder in the long-term. I think long term is doing a lot of heavy lifting here. How long until: 1. Qualcomm develops a chip that competitive in performance to ARM 2. The entire software world is ready to recompile everything for RISC-V Unless you are Apple I see such a transition taking a decade easily.
> 1. Qualcomm develops a chip that competitive in performance to ARM Virtually all high performance processors these days operate on their own internal “instructions”. The instruction decoder at the very front of the pipeline that actually sees ARM or RISC-V or whatever is a relatively small piece of logic. If Qualcomm were motivated, I believe they could swap ISAs relatively easily on their flagship processors, and…
This is only true if the application is written purely in Java/Kotlin with no native code. Unfortunately, many apps do use native code. Microsoft identified that more than 70% of the top 100 apps on Google Play used native code at a CppCon talk.
>I think ARM is bluffing here. They need Qualcomm.
Qualcomm's survival is dependent on ARM. Qualcomm's entire revenue stream evaporates without ARM IP. They may still be able to license their modem IP to OEMs, but not if their modem also used ARM IP. It's only a matter of time before Qualcomm capitulates and signs a proper licensing agreement with ARM. The fact that Qualcomm's lawyers didn't do their due diligence to ensure that Nuvia's ARM Architecture licenses were transferable is negligent on their part.