Earlier quoted context omitted.
Also, next year, there will be GPT 5. I find it fascinating how much attention small models get, when at the same time the big models just get bigger and prohibitively expensive to train. No leading lab would do that if they thought it a decent chance that small models were able to compete. So who will be interested in a shitty assistant next year when you can have an amazing one, is what I wonder? Is this just the b…
I’ll flip this around a bit: If I’ve raised $1B to buy GPUs and train a “bigger model”, a major part of my competitive advantage is having $1B to spend on sufficient GPUs to train a bigger model. If, after having raised that money it becomes apparent that consumer hardware can run smaller models that are optimized and perform as well without all that money going into training them, how am I going to pivot my business…
Scepticism is fine, if it's plausible. If not it's conspiratorial.