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Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

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221–230 of 367 posts

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#221
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not GP, but that's exactly what I'm doing. Sold NVIDIA recently at 869 USD (having bought it at 453 USD), and invested profits in Intel :) We'll see how that plays out in a year or two.

really? intel a sideways stock from the 70s is the best long you found in the entire planet? out of all the financial instruments and all the markets and all the categories u actually believe that’s the best pain to gain ratio play

Intel literally cant fail because of national security. The government will continuously bail them out which I think is a pretty big advantage, giving them time to figure something out. Theyre cheap as fuck too so tons of upside

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#222
post #215

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AMD's only offering that matters, MI300x, is literally a couple months old. Give it time.

MI250 is also quite potent. Certainly sufficient for a good chunk of inference use cases

You are totally right, but few are buying them up at this point. The future is all MI300x.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#223
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

TSMC should be charging NVDA much more

Why it's not happening ? For the first quarters after AI exploded, I thought it was just that contracts were already signed, but what's stopping them now ?

Second price auctions are the efficient way to allocate supply in a monopoly.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#224
post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The easy answer here would be to look at analyst estimates. If you notice nvidia selling 20 billion in H100s and the consensus revenue is 10 billion, then it's probably not priced in.

How can you just "notice" them selling 20B? How are you getting better data than the analysts?

That's the hard part, but the OP is claiming they'd done that part :)

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#225

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They are moving a lot more quickly now on resolving those issues. It won't happen over night, but the ship is definitely changing course on that.

The number of companies that wish they were a SW company rather than a HW company is very long, and despite all their efforts once they get to a certain size the die is cast.

This. Going to GTC and seeing Jensen present demos at the keynote they were coding the night before was... interesting.

Either you're the type of company that does that, or you aren't.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#226

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They are moving a lot more quickly now on resolving those issues. It won't happen over night, but the ship is definitely changing course on that.

The number of companies that wish they were a SW company rather than a HW company is very long, and despite all their efforts once they get to a certain size the die is cast.

If you look at all the open "AI" job rec's at AMD right now, they want to be a SW company too.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#227

This stock is a great example of invest in stocks where you have strong knowledge. I saw pallets of h100s shipping that were worth 100s of millions each pallet (each card is $40k and you can fit a lot on a pallet) as someone working for a company buying these and knowing that many other companies were doing the same (we have 12+ months of back orders with nvidia alone). I invested last year at ~$250 when redditors we…

Curious if you've closed out your position yet? The tricky thing about the market is both entering and exiting at the correct time. I have strong knowledge of this is space and don't invest in it exactly for that reason. LLMs are great, but the hype is greater, and I personally don't want to have my income and my investments correlated. NVIDIA may be selling a lot, but their P/E ratio is nearly 80, so that price isn'…

I saw NVIDIA as the next big thing due to AI 6 years ago back when their stock price was dictated by gaming and crypto. I was working for a hyperscaler and I was confident they were undervalued, along with Microsoft and AMD. And then I sold all 3 during COVID because I realized the exact problem you are saying - I had no idea when to sell and ultimately I was happy with my gains. Whoops I guess.

Now all serious investing money just goes into index funds and I don't have to worry.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#229

This could have been AMD, but they choose to sabotage themselves with half-baked APIs that don't even support all of their GPUs. Hell, ROCm didn't even support Windows until recently. Frankly, it's shocking how bad they are at it.

Windows is horrendously annoying to implement anything on and completely absent from the HPC field. Maybe people are trying to do AI training things on it now but that also seems likely to be Linux boxes.

Shipping rocm releases that don't run on a bunch of their GPUs is just an absurd choice, there's no way to defend that one.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#230
post #206

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Intel could get lucky like Nvidia if Intel doesn't buy back stock and instead spends money on R&D. edit: "Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger raised a few eyebrows by attributing Nvidia's current dominance of the AI market to luck" - https://www.extremetech.com/computing/nvidia-engineer-respon... .

Not convinced Intel can turn this around. Both on server and consumer side they've been losing share to AMD for like 7 years straight...cross generations, cross platform...just everywhere with amazing consistency. And if half of the AMD roadmaps/rumours are true then the next couple years will be worse. ...so yeah some casual R&D isn't gonna cut it...they need to pull a rabbit out of a hat urgently.

Of course, AMD needed to pull a bigger rabbit out of a smaller and more decrepit hat before Ryzen.
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