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Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

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201–210 of 367 posts

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#201
post #120

What’s baffling about all this is both AMD and Intel have competing offerings and those offerings see next to no traction in spite of being much more attractive from the cost standpoint. I understand why they aren’t taking off on the training side: fragmentation is very counterproductive there. But why not deploy them in large quantities for inference at least? The effort of porting transformer based models is trivia…

AMD's only offering that matters, MI300x, is literally a couple months old. Give it time.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#202

This could have been AMD, but they choose to sabotage themselves with half-baked APIs that don't even support all of their GPUs. Hell, ROCm didn't even support Windows until recently. Frankly, it's shocking how bad they are at it.

Everyone talks about the chips, but Nvidia's true competitive advantage is CUDA. Only recently has PyTorch added AMD support, and benchmarks I've seen have shown that AMD has a lot of work to catch up.

> Only recently has PyTorch added AMD support

April 15th, 2023. It has been more than a year now.

https://pytorch.org/blog/experience-power-pytorch-2.0/

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#203

This stock is a great example of invest in stocks where you have strong knowledge. I saw pallets of h100s shipping that were worth 100s of millions each pallet (each card is $40k and you can fit a lot on a pallet) as someone working for a company buying these and knowing that many other companies were doing the same (we have 12+ months of back orders with nvidia alone). I invested last year at ~$250 when redditors we…

Demand could have plummeted for any reason and Nvidia would be sitting on hundred million dollar pallets.

The reality is that your gamble was just as much gambling as their gamble. You just happened to win.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#204
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On the other hand, my uncle lost a fortune investing in a wireless networking company in the 00s. He has worked an entire career in networking and has contributed to bleeding edge systems in the area. This company had excellent tech, but ultimately didn't succeed. A lifetime of savings kaput. nvidia's p/e is also insanely high. "Wow they sure sell a shitload of product" isn't necessarily enough to justify the price.…

The vast majority of financial issues would be prevented simply by following Buffett's advice to not lose money. It's tongue in cheek, but he's correct. Suppose you have a great idea for investing. It doesn't matter how good it is... don't put your life savings into it. If you do this you will make money. Investing is mostly about not losing money.

Even Warren buffet and munger have made large mistakes though. Don’t bet more than you can afford to lose is probably the biggest rule.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#205
post #186

2 hours into the post, nobody else noticed it is dated 2025, so what am I missing?

We're literally in fiscal year 2025. The report also calls it fiscal year 2025. Fiscal years are about when you'll pay tax. This is Q1 of four quarters to be reported before Nvidia pays tax in 2025.

This is incorrect. Fiscal years have nothing to do with when you pay tax. They're pretty much totally arbitrary, with different companies using different values.

To demonstrate: The earnings Microsoft reported for this same quarter (calendar Q1 2024) a month ago were reported as their Q3 2024 fiscal year results. Apple's were fiscal Q2 2024. Google's were fiscal Q1 2024.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#206
post #19

Bloomberg consensus data expectations YoY were: 400% earnings growth and 242% revenue growth. The reality was 461% earnings growth (629% GAAP) 262% revenue growth. 78.9% gross margin. Nvidia did it again.

Intel could get lucky like Nvidia if Intel doesn't buy back stock and instead spends money on R&D. edit: "Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger raised a few eyebrows by attributing Nvidia's current dominance of the AI market to luck" - https://www.extremetech.com/computing/nvidia-engineer-respon... .

Not convinced Intel can turn this around. Both on server and consumer side they've been losing share to AMD for like 7 years straight...cross generations, cross platform...just everywhere with amazing consistency. And if half of the AMD roadmaps/rumours are true then the next couple years will be worse.

...so yeah some casual R&D isn't gonna cut it...they need to pull a rabbit out of a hat urgently.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#207

This stock is a great example of invest in stocks where you have strong knowledge. I saw pallets of h100s shipping that were worth 100s of millions each pallet (each card is $40k and you can fit a lot on a pallet) as someone working for a company buying these and knowing that many other companies were doing the same (we have 12+ months of back orders with nvidia alone). I invested last year at ~$250 when redditors we…

On the other hand, my uncle lost a fortune investing in a wireless networking company in the 00s. He has worked an entire career in networking and has contributed to bleeding edge systems in the area. This company had excellent tech, but ultimately didn't succeed. A lifetime of savings kaput. nvidia's p/e is also insanely high. "Wow they sure sell a shitload of product" isn't necessarily enough to justify the price.…

Insanely high PE? On earnings day? Isn’t today the day that it adjusts for this new amount? I still don’t find the forward PE to be that bad for the best tech company in the world right now.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#208
post #195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Investing is mostly about not losing money Counterintuitively, when I focus hard on not losing money, I become too risk averse, I fail to take appropriate risk, and my returns are stuck in the low single digits. I can't count the times I sold great companies like Apple and Netflix and Tesla years too early because I was afraid to lose money and wanted to "lock in" a 50% gain. By focusing on potential for high retur…

This is where a diversified portfolio makes sense. It's completely fine to take a "big bet" on what would amount to a years worth of returns/cash investment every now and then. But many great opportunities have already been priced appropriately, so the extra concentration of risk doesn't yield a great return. If one was to be able to simply select the 50% of companies which perform better than the rest of the field.…

THIS. As much as I wish I put all my money into NVDA when I bought it, I’m happy to have a lot of diversity in high tech IT. The daily swings are not nearly as bad and aim not biting my fingers all day long.

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#209

This stock is a great example of invest in stocks where you have strong knowledge. I saw pallets of h100s shipping that were worth 100s of millions each pallet (each card is $40k and you can fit a lot on a pallet) as someone working for a company buying these and knowing that many other companies were doing the same (we have 12+ months of back orders with nvidia alone). I invested last year at ~$250 when redditors we…

[deleted]

Re: Nvidia announces financial results for first quarter fiscal 2025

#210

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'll do it one better. As a gamer when I was younger, I knew they were the future. I asked for shares for my bday at the time and got them at least at $22.88 a share as that's as far back as my records go.

Nice one! :) When I read that undeniably impressive anecdote, what really stands out is not the shares or the money - it's the incredible childhood you had, the smart and organised parents who raised you in a way that you'd even understand those notions at a young age, and be in a position to enable them. The way I was raised, I could top my schoolmates academically no problem, but the concepts and methods for creati…

For sure a healthy dose of privilege enabled that. I was surprised to learn my father even owned NVDA shares from even further back for some reason.

The most valuable thing he taught me though was not buying individual shares, but low fee index funds. Ie. the Boglehead approach.

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