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Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

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Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The town motto of San Andreas explicitly disclaims responsibility for the geographic feature.

the town motto of San Andreas, California is "It's not our fault."

jinx

Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#42
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2012/oct/22/scientists-c... perhaps.

Wow that’s fucked up Edit: looks like they eventually were saved in appeals court https://www.nature.com/articles/515171a and finally completely cleared after their Supreme Court ruling https://www.science.org/content/article/italy-s-supreme-cour... Still a lot of time and money wasted on absolute bullshit.

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Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#43
Reading this article it says that scientist expect an earthquake because every 22 years it pops and it's due, however, there are no signs indicating that it will soon so therefore scientists won't make a formal prediction. Am I reading this incorrectly?

Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#45
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are there any other professional category that gets sued if they don't predict disaster within tight timing? Imagine suing epidemiologists because they didn't predict Covid-19 in a timely manner.

No epidemiologists were going around saying "eh it could never happen". In fact, many of them were warning after SARS. Trump actually took apart Obama's virus disaster-readiness warehouses and other programs in 2018-2019. Very bad timing, many such cases! I would suspect the majority of disaster-related experts are not going to be so laid back.

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Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#46

I sat in on a lecture by a Stanford geophysicist, and he said that seismologists have every legal incentive to communicate that a large earthquake is imminent in the Bay, even if their work is inconclusive or suggests otherwise. They might get sued or prosecuted if they say it’s safe and a big one strikes.

Similarly, I've known of a psychic who was known for regularly making catastrophic earthquake predictions. Naturally he was wrong 99 times out of 100. But that 1 he got right was enough to build his whole career. "The Great Zambini, who predicted the 1998 earthquake"... People just forgot all his misses, only remembered his hit.

Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#47
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No epidemiologists were going around saying "eh it could never happen". In fact, many of them were warning after SARS. Trump actually took apart Obama's virus disaster-readiness warehouses and other programs in 2018-2019. Very bad timing, many such cases! I would suspect the majority of disaster-related experts are not going to be so laid back.

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Do you have a screenshot or copy of such a video?

Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#48
post #36

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No epidemiologists were going around saying "eh it could never happen". In fact, many of them were warning after SARS. Trump actually took apart Obama's virus disaster-readiness warehouses and other programs in 2018-2019. Very bad timing, many such cases! I would suspect the majority of disaster-related experts are not going to be so laid back.

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What the hell is a "public health influencer"?

Re: Seismologists suspect earthquake on San Andreas Fault is imminent

#50
post #47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Do you have a screenshot or copy of such a video?

Even if he has one. What is the credibility of "public health influencer". I could announce that i'm that kind of influencer and record you whatever video that generates engagement no mater the facts.
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