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7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

earthquake.usgs.gov

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Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#121

Post by spxneo »

jcranmer wrote: post #119
spxneo wrote: post #115

Earlier quoted context omitted.

so he's off by a few days? did you go back to his past predictions that also came true last year and the year before? he's better than any predictive processes we had so far

His prediction is wrong. He buttonholed it to a few specific days, and missed that window. As for prior predictions, I went back 6 months. None of his predictions panned out. Although, admittedly, it's a bit difficult for me to figure out what actually constitutes a prediction since most of them tend to be the kind of vague generality that's hard to grade: "The Mars-Mercury-Jupiter conjunction on 22 September can res…

you went only back 6 months and he was off by a few days was to conclude your own bias to begin with...

Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#122

Post by davidjytang »

thangngoc89 wrote: post #30
yellow_lead wrote: post #5

This was felt pretty strongly in Taipei, some reports of electricity outage too. All my friends and I seem ok though.

I’m also in Taipei. It’s the worst one ever I’ve felt in my life. Staying on the 7th floor with noway to escape in time is probably the worst feeling

As a Taiwanese, I got used to it.

Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#125

Post by dehrmann »

ateng wrote: post #47
rohan_ wrote: post #29

Anyone have a link to a video of that sweet Tuned Mass Damper ( https://www.atlasobscura.com/places/tuned-mass-damper-of-tai... ) in action this time around?

Not a live one, but this vid is from 2022 when there was a 6.8 magnitude earthquake https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tkz6b7Q3dRk

It's one of the few tuned mass dampers the public can go see.

Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#126

Post by a_random_canuck »

yellow_lead wrote: post #5

This was felt pretty strongly in Taipei, some reports of electricity outage too. All my friends and I seem ok though.

I'm also living in central Taipei, this one woke me up, we felt really strong shaking in our flat on the 4th floor. Some tiles fell off the buildings on my street but otherwise everyone is fine.

Right after the quake saw police and fire dept patrolling around.

Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#127

Post by christkv »

heavyset_go wrote: post #49
dylan604 wrote: post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

i'm always amazed how little appreciation people have for massive amount of water. a 3m wave will more than ruin your day. trust me, it's plenty

I lived in a coastal region where, every storm season, people would get swept out to sea and drown because they were watching storm waves from the beach. Sometimes they'd even go in the water, out on jetties or out on piers, without any appreciation for the sheer forces at work that push the water around. With enough force, even ankle to knee deep water can sweep you off your feet and suck you out to sea. Sadly paren…

We had two tourists just get killed last week during storms. Both swept off harbor walls wanting to look at the waves. There are literally warning signs everywhere.

Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#128

Post by kijin »

komali2 wrote: post #89
thangngoc89 wrote: post #30

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I’m also in Taipei. It’s the worst one ever I’ve felt in my life. Staying on the 7th floor with noway to escape in time is probably the worst feeling

If it's any consolation, there's not really time to escape a collapsing building from any level, since the bottom floors usually are crushed first and near instantaneously. If you look at pictures from partially collapsed buildings in Hualian you can see that sometimes it's just the bottom floor that's destroyed and the remaining floors are fine for sometimes days or even until the building is manually taken down. Th…

Any data on survivability of occupants of upper floors in cases where the bottom floor is destroyed and the rest of the building settles on top of the rubble instead of pancaking? This is exactly what happened with some apartment blocks in Japan earlier this year, too.

I guess it depends a lot on whether the building stays upright or falls over, as there are plenty of objects that can crush a person in any space that suddenly turns sideways.

Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#129

Post by Intralexical »

komali2 wrote: post #83

The Circle line has dislodged https://www.setn.com/News.aspx?NewsID=1448651 Live stream of news about the incident: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SydScnOrmf8 There's been pretty big aftershocks like clockwork after, it's gonna be a hard day. My dog is freaked out, my fish tanks are half empty, we're not sure if we can open the restaurant since the MRT is closed and our chef lives quite far, and that's just life in…

> Edit: I'm furious with YouTube for forcing this to be a "short" with bad-on-purpose UX but here's a video of odd water behavior in a port https://youtube.com/shorts/91Rmacvw4ho?si=d78KAUvDTeg_ovbh

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=91Rmacvw4ho

https://youtube.com/v/91Rmacvw4ho

Re: 7.4 earthquake in Taiwan, 34km depth

#130

Post by kijin »

ks2048 wrote: post #90
mastax wrote: post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Follow-up question. I understand how Richter Scale + depth could be useful, academically. But when communicating with the public, wouldn't it be easier to have a single number - rather than requiring the public to understand the relationship between two different quantities? Maybe: surface-equivalent Richter scale? Of course transitioning to a new standard would be even more confusing for a while. Edit: apparently th…

Also could take into account distance to the point of interest. So, in city X you have a number and city Y another.

That's exactly how the shindo scale is reported in Japan. They assign a number to every major city on a map, just like temperatures in a weather forecast.

For example, January's big quake was 7 in Ishikawa, but only 2-3 in the Tokyo area.

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