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Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

theroadgoeson.com

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Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#151
post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Like I said, it's not clear to me what exactly established journals have been doing "better" historically than a preprint server could. You say they are better at "being a journal" -- OK. They are established, well connected (to science communities, industry, journalism, funding agencies, etc.) and have been maintaining a reputation for a long time, usually much longer than preprint servers exist. That's basically pr…

Your concerns are valid, and I think that my proposal of paying reviewers and replicators addresses them all. > It's not obvious that a journal is fundamentally better at organizing unpaid voluntary reviewers compared to a preprint server. So, let's not rely on unpaid, voluntary labor. Pay them. > they are selling prestige first and foremost, Yes. So give them a better business model--if they can make money reviewing…

> my proposal of paying reviewers and replicators addresses [all concerns]

Your other comment didn't say who might be paying reviewers. Journals clearly won't (why should they, they have grrat profits in the current system and will fight tooth and nail to delay any changes whatever). Universities and even funding agencies cannot (conflict of interest).

> Is the search engine going to do a better job than peer review of presenting you the papers you actually want to read?

I do actually expect to see that happen.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#152
post #150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Like I said, it's not clear to me what exactly established journals have been doing "better" historically than a preprint server could. You say they are better at "being a journal" -- OK. They are established, well connected (to science communities, industry, journalism, funding agencies, etc.) and have been maintaining a reputation for a long time, usually much longer than preprint servers exist. That's basically pr…

I'm clearly not articulating my point well. Obviously the idea is to "disrupt" the academic publication and review process, but this discussion seems to be focusing on the probably the easiest part - making and hosting the documents. > Next, in a separate process some institution could select important works, scrutinize and review them This is basically what happens now. Pre-prints are for things that aren't necessar…

> So what you are suggesting is that we do away with that (fine!) and replace it with --- something handwavy (not fine).

I wasn't really trying to suggest any concrete system to replace the current one. Neither would I be able to do so nor would it really matter since such a system couldn't be implemented in a top-down fashion. I was pondering how things are and why, which is hard enough, as well as what trends I see positively (which are simultaneously actionable recommendations for both funding agencies and scientists).

> many of your arguments about the lack of efficacy of the system or other flaws don't seem to me to capture how much worse it could be

Sure, I think science as a whole has never been more productive. Many trends also look positive: besides what I named above, there is also increased industry collaboration for applied research, increased funding overall, etc. The main challenge will be the price of creating fraudulent submissions going down and hacking the system becoming more prevalent. I think the only way to address this is to significantly reduce the "perceived authority" of any work that comes from using a LaTeX template, as well as authority that comes with the label "peer reviewed".

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#153
post #146

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your concerns are valid, and I think that my proposal of paying reviewers and replicators addresses them all. > It's not obvious that a journal is fundamentally better at organizing unpaid voluntary reviewers compared to a preprint server. So, let's not rely on unpaid, voluntary labor. Pay them. > they are selling prestige first and foremost, Yes. So give them a better business model--if they can make money reviewing…

> my proposal of paying reviewers and replicators addresses [all concerns] Your other comment didn't say who might be paying reviewers. Journals clearly won't (why should they, they have grrat profits in the current system and will fight tooth and nail to delay any changes whatever). Universities and even funding agencies cannot (conflict of interest). > Is the search engine going to do a better job than peer review…

> Your other comment didn't say who might be paying reviewers.

In the parent comment to this thread, I talk about this. My proposal is that when a researcher writes up the grant to get their research funded, they should estimate how much it would cost to pay reviewers and replicators, and include those figures in the cost.

If the researcher gets the grant approved, then the funding agency will put the money for peer review/replication into escrow. When the research is finished and the investigators have written up a paper to describe their methods and results, the money in escrow is disbursed to the reviewers and replicators.

If reviewers agree its good, and if it replicates, then the paper is published. If not, well we just dodged a bullet.

> I do actually expect to see that happen.

Are search engines getting better or worse for you? It was a lot easier getting the right paper from a search engine 10 years ago. Now, you just get half a page of irrelevant ads, and another half page of links boosted by payola.

Just imagine what it will be like when there are literally MILLIONS of bad papers for each good paper. Then Billions. There is no finite limit to the amount of bullshit that LLMs can--and therefore will--output.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#154
post #147
post #144

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, if you are paying somebody to do something, you gain a lot of leverage: 1. You can negotiate a due date. No more waiting for years before the journal's reviewers actually review your paper. 2. You can negotiate a set of deliverables. You can specify that they can't just say "this sux"; they have to show the lines where the big hairy proof are wrong, or if its an algorithm, they have to actually code it up and r…

Sure, but I’m poking at the bad leverage you can also wield. 1) you can create undue schedule pressure that results in a cursory review that may not catch the more nuanced problems in your investigation. 2) you can be more belligerent about not sharing data. If they want to get, they won’t argue. 3) you can pay for reviewers who you know will give a positive review. Without guards against this, it’s almost a certaint…

#1 isn't an issue unique to paying peer reviewers. We've learned how to negotiate such hazards.

#2 Seems like a team who wants their paper published would be super-helpful to the reviewers and replicators....why wouldn't they be maximally motivated to help them to by sharing data, techniques, etc...and writing their paper so that its easy for reviews and replicators to do their jobs.

#3 The authors of a paper don't get to choose who their reviewers are!!

> consultants...play the game

And yet we have millions of clients hiring millions of consultants, and somehow they are able to make it work....yeah, all these issues can arise in other contexts, we know how to deal with them.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#156
post #150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm clearly not articulating my point well. Obviously the idea is to "disrupt" the academic publication and review process, but this discussion seems to be focusing on the probably the easiest part - making and hosting the documents. > Next, in a separate process some institution could select important works, scrutinize and review them This is basically what happens now. Pre-prints are for things that aren't necessar…

> So what you are suggesting is that we do away with that (fine!) and replace it with --- something handwavy (not fine). I wasn't really trying to suggest any concrete system to replace the current one. Neither would I be able to do so nor would it really matter since such a system couldn't be implemented in a top-down fashion. I was pondering how things are and why, which is hard enough, as well as what trends I see…

> I think the only way to address this is to significantly reduce the "perceived authority" of any work that comes from using a LaTeX template, as well as authority that comes with the label "peer reviewed".

Opening up access unavoidably makes the signal to noise problem worse, not just for the reasons you note (fraud, exploits) but also average quality drops. Whatever changes are made, will need a more effective filter, not less effective.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#157
post #133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The idea that fraud is rampant and driving the explosion in publication rates is deeply tempting to folks who don’t work directly in a scientific field. But it’s a misconception that’s largely driven by non-scientific media and bloggers. In practice literal fraud does exist, but it’s relatively rare in most scientific fields. The explosion in publication rates is largely caused by a combination of (1) more people ent…

> “paper slicing” I'm glad we agree that paper slicing is also plaguing academia. When I was a grad student, it bugged me to no end that those guys at Stanford were out-publishing me--because they got enough results for 1.5 papers, and then made (3 choose 2) papers out of them. And yeah, if you think I wasn't tempted to follow suit, think again. I eventually left academia because I didn't want to cheat, or compete wi…

"Publication" is the process of writing up works and distributing them to other researchers. Having fast and efficient channels for publishing our results is essential to the progress of science.

I strongly object to any proposal that would interrupt this essential process. If you (somehow) prevented me from distributing my preliminary results to other scientists, or from reading their preliminary results, then I would actively work around your proposal. Not because I hate you, but because science fundamentally requires access to these new ideas. Moreover, any researchers who waited for replication would fall behind and get scooped by the better-connected Ted-talk giving folks, who would obviously keep exchanging results.

However, it's obvious that when you say publication you don't mean it in the literal sense of communicating scientific results. Instead what you're trying to reform is academic credit. We all know that scientists [and the bureaucrats who fund them] love to find ways to measure research productivity, and they've chosen to use publications (in specific venues) as a proxy for that contribution.

And, following Goodhart's law, any measure that becomes a target ceases to be a good measure.

So the purpose of your proposal really has nothing to do with scientific publication for its first-order effects (i.e., distributing results to colleagues) but rather, you just want to reform the way that credit is allocated to scientists for purposes of funding, promotion, and general adulation (that's a joke.)

My suggestion is: if you want to reform the way credit is allocated, why not focus explicitly on that goal? There's no need to put in place complicated new systems that will make it harder for anyone to publish (and that real scientists will instantly work around.) Instead, just go to the NSF and NEH and various university administrations and convince them to stop hiring/funding/firing researchers using the metrics they currently use?

I think overall you'll find that this is still a tough sell, and a massive uphill battle. But it has the advantages of (1) addressing the actual problem you're concerned with, (2) not preventing researchers from doing their job, (3) has fewer overall points of failure, and (4) isn't subject to being worked around by funders/administrators who simply adopt new measures after you "reform" the publication system (e.g., switching to citation counts for arXiv works, or surveying other researchers for their opinion.)

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#158
post #154
post #147

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure, but I’m poking at the bad leverage you can also wield. 1) you can create undue schedule pressure that results in a cursory review that may not catch the more nuanced problems in your investigation. 2) you can be more belligerent about not sharing data. If they want to get, they won’t argue. 3) you can pay for reviewers who you know will give a positive review. Without guards against this, it’s almost a certaint…

#1 isn't an issue unique to paying peer reviewers. We've learned how to negotiate such hazards. #2 Seems like a team who wants their paper published would be super-helpful to the reviewers and replicators....why wouldn't they be maximally motivated to help them to by sharing data, techniques, etc...and writing their paper so that its easy for reviews and replicators to do their jobs. #3 The authors of a paper don't g…

You are right that #1 isn't unique. But I think you're wrong that we've got the issue easily solved because it's rooted in human psychology. Just look at the last few years of Boeing headlines and tell me you still think schedule pressure in a competitive environment is a solved problem.

Your response to #2 assumes the researcher wants to create the most transparent and highest-quality paper. Because of perverse incentives, I don't think this is the case. Many times researchers just want a publication because that gets them the career status they're after.

Good point on #3, but it still leaves the question about the tradeoff between quantity and quality. I can surely churn out many more reviews of questionable quality than I can a single, well-researched and thoughtful review. The quantity vs. quality tradeoff is really what is at the heart of that point.

>And yet we have millions of clients hiring millions of consultants

The existence of that market doesn't mean the market does what you're claiming. Many times, consultancy is a mechanism to pay for plausible deniability rather than a novel solution.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#159
post #158
post #154

Earlier quoted context omitted.

#1 isn't an issue unique to paying peer reviewers. We've learned how to negotiate such hazards. #2 Seems like a team who wants their paper published would be super-helpful to the reviewers and replicators....why wouldn't they be maximally motivated to help them to by sharing data, techniques, etc...and writing their paper so that its easy for reviews and replicators to do their jobs. #3 The authors of a paper don't g…

You are right that #1 isn't unique. But I think you're wrong that we've got the issue easily solved because it's rooted in human psychology. Just look at the last few years of Boeing headlines and tell me you still think schedule pressure in a competitive environment is a solved problem. Your response to #2 assumes the researcher wants to create the most transparent and highest-quality paper. Because of perverse ince…

re #1: Yeah, bad apples will be bad apples, but that doesn't stop us from hiring people to build us airplanes and run aerospace companies. Right now we are assuming that humans are so angelic they will give us quality reviews for free.

re#2: Under my proposal, an researchers in an independent lab would have to read a paper to see how to design and conduct an experiment to replicate the results. And if it didn't reproduce, they don't get their paper published.

Given the stakes, don't you think researchers would exert every effort to make their paper as transparent and as easy-to-read, as possible? How carefully would they describe their experiment if they knew somebody was going to take their description and use it to check their work?

Re #3: Yeah, but again that's not a problem specific to my proposal. The same risk hangs over every employer-employee relationship.

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