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Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

theroadgoeson.com

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Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#141
post #10

One of my profs once remarked, "All of science is done on a volunteer basis." He was talking about peer review, which--as crucial as it is--is not something you get paid for. Writing a review--a good review--is 1) hard work, 2) can only be done by somebody who has spent years in postgraduate study, and 3) takes up a lot of time, which has many other demands on it. The solution? Its obvious. In a free market, how do y…

And also has limited value as we practice it today. A useful review would involve: (a) "This paper won't be accepted by Cochrane for meta analysis", "N=20 get out of here", ... (b) Researchers provided their data files and Jupyter notebooks, the reviewer got them to run (c) Reviewers attempt their own analysis for at least some of the data (think of the model of accounting where auditors look at a sample of the books…

> I wouldn't say peer review is useless, I think it did improve papers I wrote a little

Let's get back to basics here. What is the whole point of doing things scientifically in the first place? I.e. what is so special about the combination of 1) communicable descriptions of experiments, which can be re-run by anybody, and 2) the performing of said experiments and reporting the results, and 3) having others review and reproduce the results?

Why are those 3 practices soooo special? Its because they are designed to either a) persuade everybody to agreement with you that your results are valid, or b) persuade you that you are wrong.

I.e.. the scientific method is uniquely designed for the purpose of compelling agreement among peers. Its the 2nd best method we have of reaching consensus (the first best being the methods of proof used in mathematics. )

This is important because even if you make a new gee-whiz discovery, its useless unless other people agree that it is real. And unlike politics, or a beauty contest, or an aristocracy, it doesn't matter who you are, if your results are observable and reproducible, other scientists will agree with you, and your discovery has some chance of being generally useful. And that's why they are anonymous--its supposed to cut through the biases and prejudices which, alas, sometimes prevent us from coming to consensus.

The point of peer review is to get a read on whether or not the author of the paper has justified their claims in enough detail that the results are likely to compile agreement. Yeah, we see if 3 or 4 people can agree on it, before asking everybody to agree on it. Whoda thunk?

Point being, peer review isn't to help you improve your paper.

> reviewers do not put enough effort into to reliably catch validity problems.

Yes. This. Any why don't they? Because there's only so much work you can expect somebody to do for free. Lets pay them.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#142
post #134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's just not true. Most publicly fundes research is hidden behind paywalls.

No it's exactly true. You can write up anything you want and put it on a site. The post I was replying to was suggesting an open access system (both read and write) for exchanging ideas. This exists. What it doesn't do is effectively replace the non-open system for access to academic journals. I have a lot of sympathy for open (read) access to research, particularly publicly funded. It just isn't sensible to wave a w…

Why do you think that peer review needs the journals to function?

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#143
post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What are those reasons? The only thing I see that journals do which preprint servers couldn't easily take over is prestige .

You have the causality wrong. Prestige comes to journals by doing a good (or at least, better than peers) job of being a journal, which is providing a necessary function to the academic research process. If you want to improve on that system, you have to improve on those functions, or reduce the reliance on them by providing something better. Put it another way, if you can design a system with a better ROC curve for…

Like I said, it's not clear to me what exactly established journals have been doing "better" historically than a preprint server could. You say they are better at "being a journal" -- OK. They are established, well connected (to science communities, industry, journalism, funding agencies, etc.) and have been maintaining a reputation for a long time, usually much longer than preprint servers exist. That's basically prestige, which isn't nothing (I didn't claim prestige is nothing). However, this doesn't demonstrate journals do anything relevant to the advancement of science fundamentally better right now.

What I "have" is that

1. It's not obvious that a journal is fundamentally better at organizing unpaid voluntary reviewers compared to a preprint server.

2. Scientific publishing has insanely high profit margins. How come? My theory is that they are selling prestige first and foremost, i.e., a luxury good, (to scientists, universities and funding agencies simultaneously) and purchasing decisions there are made by people who are spending public money, not their own. Both of these points (luxury good, public spending) seem like strong contributors to high margins. The public is paying for the research and for access to articles, while journals nowadays on first glance seem to only provide a little bit of web hosting, a little bit of reviewer coordination and a little bit of manuscript editing.

3. It's not obvious that the submission and peer review systems we have now (in journals) is worth the time and effort. The role of peer review is misrepresented in journalism and the expectations are not met. If one could separate publication ("preprint") on one side, and, on the other side, review and "being featured by important outlets or institutions", authors could save a lot of time time (that could be used for more research). Others would have access to interesting results earlier and be able to build on top of them. Next, in a separate process some institution could select important works, scrutinize and review them, perhaps paying experts to do so, and perhaps replicate where appropriate.

The issue with this is that academics need the prestige provided by journals for career advancement, universities need the prestige to justify their spending to funding agencies and politicians, and funding agencies likewise need the prestige to justify their spending to politicians. The "replication crisis" and the like indicate that this prestige is overvalued. The hope is, economically speaking, that the market for "academic prestige" can either be disrupted, or the price the public has to pay can be lowered "through competition". It's interesting what that might look like. Preprint servers, open data and more direct science communication seem like steps in the right direction.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#144
post #127
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I propose to supply those incentives—-pay for good reviewer and replicators. If you want something done, you gotta pay for it. We can’t just rely on volunteers.

I'm on board with that idea, as long as we can also provide guardrails against the perverse incentives of paying for them. E.g., we need to avoid frivolous reviews/replication as well as something evolving into a "pay for a good review" service.

Well, if you are paying somebody to do something, you gain a lot of leverage:

1. You can negotiate a due date. No more waiting for years before the journal's reviewers actually review your paper.

2. You can negotiate a set of deliverables. You can specify that they can't just say "this sux"; they have to show the lines where the big hairy proof are wrong, or if its an algorithm, they have to actually code it up and run it themselves before they say it doesn't work.

3. You can more reliably attract good reviewers. If you aren't begging for people to volunteer, but you are paying good money, you can be a lot pickier about who you hire.

I mean, I've been a consultant: what are the guardrails that I won't rip-off my clients? I don't want to ruin my reputation, I want repeat business, and I want to be able to charge a high hourly rate because I deliver a premium product.

Same guardrails would apply to peer reviewers and to reproducers.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#146
post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You have the causality wrong. Prestige comes to journals by doing a good (or at least, better than peers) job of being a journal, which is providing a necessary function to the academic research process. If you want to improve on that system, you have to improve on those functions, or reduce the reliance on them by providing something better. Put it another way, if you can design a system with a better ROC curve for…

Like I said, it's not clear to me what exactly established journals have been doing "better" historically than a preprint server could. You say they are better at "being a journal" -- OK. They are established, well connected (to science communities, industry, journalism, funding agencies, etc.) and have been maintaining a reputation for a long time, usually much longer than preprint servers exist. That's basically pr…

Your concerns are valid, and I think that my proposal of paying reviewers and replicators addresses them all.

> It's not obvious that a journal is fundamentally better at organizing unpaid voluntary reviewers compared to a preprint server.

So, let's not rely on unpaid, voluntary labor. Pay them.

> they are selling prestige first and foremost,

Yes. So give them a better business model--if they can make money reviewing papers, they won't have to create artificial value by creating artificial scarcity.

> The role of peer review is misrepresented in journalism and the expectations are not met.

If you pay somebody, you can specify the expectations you think should be met. If they don't meet those expectations, they don't get paid.

> this prestige is overvalued.

The prestige is not overvalued--it is just too easily obtainable by fraud. Something has got to be done.

> Preprint servers, open data and more direct science communication seem like steps in the right direction.

They are vanity presses.

And they don't even do what you think they are doing. Today, the problem isn't too little information, it's too much misinformation. LLMs can chug out papers by the millions. Is a search engine going to help you cut through that and find what you are looking for? What if 2 million papers which match your search criteria? You gunna read through them all, trying to find the 5 papers which were actually written by a real scientist?

Are you even going to see them? Is the search engine going to do a better job than peer review of presenting you the papers you actually want to read?

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#147
post #144
post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm on board with that idea, as long as we can also provide guardrails against the perverse incentives of paying for them. E.g., we need to avoid frivolous reviews/replication as well as something evolving into a "pay for a good review" service.

Well, if you are paying somebody to do something, you gain a lot of leverage: 1. You can negotiate a due date. No more waiting for years before the journal's reviewers actually review your paper. 2. You can negotiate a set of deliverables. You can specify that they can't just say "this sux"; they have to show the lines where the big hairy proof are wrong, or if its an algorithm, they have to actually code it up and r…

Sure, but I’m poking at the bad leverage you can also wield.

1) you can create undue schedule pressure that results in a cursory review that may not catch the more nuanced problems in your investigation.

2) you can be more belligerent about not sharing data. If they want to get, they won’t argue.

3) you can pay for reviewers who you know will give a positive review. Without guards against this, it’s almost a certainty that the glut of PhDs will result in some treating it like a scam de hustle where it’s more about the economics than the science.

Some consultants are well known to play the game where they tell clients what they want to hear rather than what they need to hear. I don’t think consultancy is a good model for this.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#149
post #134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No it's exactly true. You can write up anything you want and put it on a site. The post I was replying to was suggesting an open access system (both read and write) for exchanging ideas. This exists. What it doesn't do is effectively replace the non-open system for access to academic journals. I have a lot of sympathy for open (read) access to research, particularly publicly funded. It just isn't sensible to wave a w…

Why do you think that peer review needs the journals to function?

I didn't say that. It needs something. Handwaving about an emergent community isn't useful - moving from todays system to something else needs something concrete.

Re: Why isn't preprint review being adopted?

#150
post #135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You have the causality wrong. Prestige comes to journals by doing a good (or at least, better than peers) job of being a journal, which is providing a necessary function to the academic research process. If you want to improve on that system, you have to improve on those functions, or reduce the reliance on them by providing something better. Put it another way, if you can design a system with a better ROC curve for…

Like I said, it's not clear to me what exactly established journals have been doing "better" historically than a preprint server could. You say they are better at "being a journal" -- OK. They are established, well connected (to science communities, industry, journalism, funding agencies, etc.) and have been maintaining a reputation for a long time, usually much longer than preprint servers exist. That's basically pr…

I'm clearly not articulating my point well. Obviously the idea is to "disrupt" the academic publication and review process, but this discussion seems to be focusing on the probably the easiest part - making and hosting the documents.

> Next, in a separate process some institution could select important works, scrutinize and review them

This is basically what happens now. Pre-prints are for things that aren't necessarily ready yet (hence the "pre") but cooked enough to review and discuss and build on. The formal publication process takes some percentage of them (depending on server, could be quite small) and works through a publication process.

Currently that is mostly done by for-profit journals organizing the work. If you want to propose.

So what you are suggesting is that we do away with that (fine!) and replace it with --- something handwavy (not fine). There has to be some real proposed mechanism of organizing the work that needs to be done that a) doesnt' waste even more time of the limited pool of people who can and will do a reasonable job of reviewing, even worse editing, does at least as good a job filtering out the large amount of noise to find signal, and is at least as robust against manipulation.

For what it's worth, many of your arguments about the lack of efficacy of the system or other flaws don't seem to me to capture how much worse it could be. Best not lose track of that in trying to make it better....

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