Earlier quoted context omitted.
A little bit, maybe, but probably not entirely. The joke is that debt investors have no memory. For example, Argentina has defaulted many times in recent memory but was still able to market a 100-year bond in 2017 (which it has already defaulted on).
miohtama is actually correct. Foreign investors have snatched back nearly 90% of the money they put into Chinese stocks this year (2023) https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/china-econom... Foreign investment in China turns negative for first time https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Foreign-investment-in-China-...
Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
161–170 of 364 posts
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#162Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Who wants to buy a half-finished building abandoned during construction This is actually not a big deal at all if you are following modern high-rise construction techniques.
The problem is can you trust the structure/QA process, is the documentation in place etc. Otherwise it’s a liability nightmare
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#163Earlier quoted context omitted.
Your math just says the median person doesn’t buy a condo. If only the top 10% can afford them, that’s still a huge pool of people. Pretty sure median US income can’t afford a condo in NYC.
At the end of the day - prices need to be supported by incomes (buyers or renters) or magic beans.
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#164Earlier quoted context omitted.
It was suspected that a lot of USDT is backed by Evergrande notes, though they have denied it. Evergrande liquidation may cause a USDT liquidation and cause USDT to lose peg. There are often idiots that will drag the rest of crypto including bitcoin with it, though.
That kind of thing has usually had the opposite effect. If USDT is worthless then you want to sell it, causing the price of Bitcoin to rise on those exchanges.
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#165That's going to be a tough liquidation. Who wants to buy a half-finished building abandoned during construction due to lack of a market? Such things have negative value.
> Who wants to buy a half-finished building abandoned during construction This is actually not a big deal at all if you are following modern high-rise construction techniques.
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#166Earlier quoted context omitted.
It was suspected that a lot of USDT is backed by Evergrande notes, though they have denied it. Evergrande liquidation may cause a USDT liquidation and cause USDT to lose peg. There are often idiots that will drag the rest of crypto including bitcoin with it, though.
Why would the USDT tell anyone if they were no longer backed 1:1?
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#167A couple of things to note: 1.) Why did it take Evergrande 3 years to liquidate? In western countries, liquidation happens in a few months. One should note that Evergrande did not get that big by itself; obviously it had the support of CCP elites to secure huge bank loans. Therefore, when it went bankrupt, the delay was to allow these elites to pull money/liquidable assets out of Evergrande. Thus after 3 years, Everg…
E.g. Your Edit stating that China banned short selling. They didn't ban short selling. They banned borrowing of shares that are "restricted" to short sell.
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#168Earlier quoted context omitted.
miohtama is actually correct. Foreign investors have snatched back nearly 90% of the money they put into Chinese stocks this year (2023) https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/china-econom... Foreign investment in China turns negative for first time https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Foreign-investment-in-China-...
Equities are different from bonds. Bonds are being snapped up by a lot of foreign investors.
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3248078/c...
That said, once foreign bond buyers realize how much foreign creditors get back from the Evergrande debt (0 cents on the dollar), pretty sure foreign bond purchases will drop fast
Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#169Earlier quoted context omitted.
There's probably a dozen people reading this thread who know enough Mandarin to handle a few short Douyin videos if you could provide us with links. Though as a platform it lends itself well to amplifying extreme claims backed by speculation that play into people's fears, so unless the accounts in question have a history of well-sourced factual reporting, I'd be rather skeptical.
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Re: Real estate giant China Evergrande will be liquidated
#170Earlier quoted context omitted.
The problem is can you trust the structure/QA process, is the documentation in place etc. Otherwise it’s a liability nightmare
Anyone with the means and ability to take over a project is going to know what they’re getting into before signing any papers or handing over any money :)
Tough doesn't mean it can't happen, just that it might be harder than normal to square it away