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Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

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41–50 of 142 posts

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#41

- More ambiguity for search engines and university students alike as more 3 letter abbreviations will be taken over by AI, ML herd - 1 stupidly simple app will be go from 0 to 100M users - The top phone companies will all team up with 1 or more LLM's - It will be increasingly tempting for relatives to chat with models of their dearly beloved departed. Oxford will create a word for this. OpenAI invests. - Dropbox will…

- HN will double it's infra to 2 servers running Arc

checks out

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#42

I predict Google will flounder on multiple fronts. They’ll either continue empty promises of a ChatGPT killer or release one that will be 2nd rate. Meanwhile more adoption of ChatGPT and the like will mean less search and less ad revenue. Azure and AWS will take more market share from GDP. They’ll release ad-blocker unfriendly chrome and users will switch to Firefox. YouTube will expand its trial of not operating wit…

>They’re the most user-hostile of the big tech companies and I want them to lose.

I disagree in two ways. I think Apple and MS are even more user-hostile (MS is putting ads in their OS...), but the reason I don't want Google to lose (first) is because then Apple would become even more powerful than they already are. I see Apple as more evil than Google, and also much more competent; Google is evil but pretty dumb frequently, which is a better kind of evil. A world without Google is a world where everyone is basically forced into being an Apple customer and iPhone user, like it or not. An Apple monopoly would be a terrible thing to live under, and I have zero faith that regulating bodies would handle this.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s hard to disagree with your first scenario as I keep seeing Trumps court cases, plural, line up closer and closer to the election.

It's less "civil war" and more "insurrection". In the sense that I don't see Californians, or indeed most Floridians, suddenly taking up arms and joining a militia. It's more likely to play out as Jan 6 did, a riled up mob that turns violent and is squashed. It becomes more of a police action than a civil war, and frankly, despite all the guns collected by the faithful, its not a fair fight. Indeed the sides are so u…

I thought it'll be "the second civil war", then turn into the Eugenics Wars, and then finally WW3 with 40% of Earth's population killed. Luckily, we Terrans haven't figured out how to make a warp bomb.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#44

I predict Google will flounder on multiple fronts. They’ll either continue empty promises of a ChatGPT killer or release one that will be 2nd rate. Meanwhile more adoption of ChatGPT and the like will mean less search and less ad revenue. Azure and AWS will take more market share from GDP. They’ll release ad-blocker unfriendly chrome and users will switch to Firefox. YouTube will expand its trial of not operating wit…

>They’re the most user-hostile of the big tech companies and I want them to lose. I disagree in two ways. I think Apple and MS are even more user-hostile (MS is putting ads in their OS...), but the reason I don't want Google to lose (first) is because then Apple would become even more powerful than they already are. I see Apple as more evil than Google, and also much more competent; Google is evil but pretty dumb fre…

Unfortunately Apple and MS seem like they’re going strong into 2024.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#45
post #30
post #25

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What will they do with it? In the videos I have seen it's just a bunch of people looking at photos on the couch or watching a movie, it looks boring. Do you think some sort of game will push it?

I’m not OP but I’ve always felt good VR will create parallel industries for travel, entertainment, etc. in ways way more interesting than gaming. Think of examples like seeing the Grand Canyon for 1/10 the price if you’re disabled or elderly. Or watching an official Taylor Swift concert like you’re actually there, for 1/2 price. No limits on ticket sales.

I haven't been to the Grand Canyon, but I've been to hundreds of concerts and I assure you, there's no existing tech that will make it "like you're actually there." The same goes for owning a house in VR worlds.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s hard to disagree with your first scenario as I keep seeing Trumps court cases, plural, line up closer and closer to the election.

It's less "civil war" and more "insurrection". In the sense that I don't see Californians, or indeed most Floridians, suddenly taking up arms and joining a militia. It's more likely to play out as Jan 6 did, a riled up mob that turns violent and is squashed. It becomes more of a police action than a civil war, and frankly, despite all the guns collected by the faithful, its not a fair fight. Indeed the sides are so u…

As someone who spends time in Eastern and rural California, I can totally see 'em taking up arms! A lot of Californians are already in militias. There are plenty of roiling pockets elsewhere outside these red counties, too. Don't get too comfortable with assumptions about "blue" states.

Re: Ask HN: What are your predictions for 2024?

#50
post #34

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think it's quantized inertia that finally gives a theory to explain how to get around the need to carry reaction mass. I'm patiently waiting for Barry-1 to push itself up into a higher orbit in that manner. Here's the tracking page https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/graph-orbit-data.php?CA...

and aliens use PHP.

What does PHP have to do with it? CelesTrak is an organization that distributes satellite tracking data .

You can use their data to watch for all sorts of things in orbit, like the International Space Station[1], weather satellites, etc.

[1] https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/graph-orbit-data.php?CA...

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